English
Related papers

Related papers: Erratum to: From Uncertainty Principles to Wegner …

200 papers

Introductory courses on quantum mechanics usually include lectures on uncertainty relations, typically the inequality derived by Robertson and, perhaps, other statements. For the benefit of the lecturers, we present a unified approach --…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-12-18 Berthold-Georg Englert

An analysis is made of Deutsch's recent claim to have derived the Born rule from decision-theoretic assumptions. It is argued that Deutsch's proof must be understood in the explicit context of the Everett interpretation, and that in this…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 David Wallace

We derive new inequalities for the probabilities of projective measurements in mutually unbiased bases of a qudit system. These inequalities lead to wider ranges of validity and tighter bounds on entropic uncertainty inequalities previously…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Shengjun Wu , Sixia Yu , Klaus Mølmer

Quantification of risk positions under model uncertainty is of crucial importance from both viewpoints of external regulation and internal management. The concept of model uncertainty, sometimes also referred to as model ambiguity. Although…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-06 Wentao Hu

We examine the problem of construction of confidence intervals within the basic single-parameter, single-iteration variation of the method of quasi-optimal weights. Two kinds of distortions of such intervals due to insufficiently large…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-05-27 A. D. Morozov , A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

Evaluation of per-sample uncertainty quantification from neural networks is essential for decision-making involving high-risk applications. A common approach is to use the predictive distribution from Bayesian or approximation models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 H. Martin Gillis , Isaac Xu , Thomas Trappenberg

Several uncertainty principles are proved for the Fock space.

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2015-01-13 Kehe Zhu

In this paper, a unified framework for representing uncertain information based on the notion of an interval structure is proposed. It is shown that the lower and upper approximations of the rough-set model, the lower and upper bounds of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Michael S. K. M. Wong , L. S. Wang , Y. Y. Yao

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Both uncertainty estimation and interpretability are important factors for trustworthy machine learning systems. However, there is little work at the intersection of these two areas. We address this gap by proposing a novel method for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-19 Javier Antorán , Umang Bhatt , Tameem Adel , Adrian Weller , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Heisenberg's uncertainty principle states that the position and momentum of a particle cannot be sharply determined simultaneously. Standard-deviation and entropic formulations capture the spread of the probability distribution but say…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-07 Jia-Yi Lin , Xin-Yu Li , Wei Wang , Shengjun Wu

Statistical estimation of the prediction uncertainty of physical models is typically hindered by the inadequacy of these models due to various approximations they are built upon. The prediction errors due to model inadequacy can be handled…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-09-11 Pascal Pernot

Posterior distributions on parameters computed from experimental data using Bayesian techniques are only as accurate as the models used to construct them. In many applications these models are incomplete, which both reduces the prospects of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-06-23 Christopher J. Moore , Jonathan R. Gair

Recommending the best course of action for an individual is a major application of individual-level causal effect estimation. This application is often needed in safety-critical domains such as healthcare, where estimating and communicating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Andrew Jesson , Sören Mindermann , Uri Shalit , Yarin Gal

This paper examines the accuracy of the PROSPECTOR model for uncertain reasoning. PROSPECTOR's solutions for a large number of computer-generated inference networks were compared to those obtained from probability theory and minimum…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Robert M. Yadrick , Bruce M. Perrin , David S. Vaughan , Peter D. Holden , Karl G. Kempf

We consider the problem of performing Bayesian inference in probabilistic models where observations are accompanied by uncertainty, referred to as "uncertain evidence." We explore how to interpret uncertain evidence, and by extension the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-27 Andreas Munk , Alexander Mead , Frank Wood

We consider a setting where an agent's uncertainty is represented by a set of probability measures, rather than a single measure. Measure-by-measure updating of such a set of measures upon acquiring new information is well-known to suffer…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Joseph Y. Halpern , Samantha Leung

Possible sources of uncertainties in the calculations of the internal conversion coefficients are studied. The uncertainties induced by them are estimated.

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2008-11-26 M. Rysavy , O. Dragoun

Some abstract argumentation approaches consider that arguments have a degree of uncertainty, which impacts on the degree of uncertainty of the extensions obtained from a abstract argumentation framework (AAF) under a semantics. In these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-21 Mariela Morveli-Espinoza , Juan Carlos Nieves , Cesar Augusto Tacla

Decision makers may suffer from uncertainty induced by limited data. This may be mitigated by accounting for epistemic uncertainty, which is however challenging to estimate efficiently for large neural networks. To this extent we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Simon Schmitt , John Shawe-Taylor , Hado van Hasselt