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An information-theoretic development is given for the problem of compound Poisson approximation, which parallels earlier treatments for Gaussian and Poisson approximation. Let $P_{S_n}$ be the distribution of a sum $S_n=\Sumn Y_i$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 A. D. Barbour , Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Mokshay Madiman

We study a local thinning $T_r$ that retains a point with probability $p(n_r)$, where $n_r$ counts neighbors within radius $r$. For Poisson input with spatially varying intensity, we obtain an exact intensity via a Poisson--mixture formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Kateryna Hlyniana

We consider Gibbs and block Gibbs samplers for a Bayesian hierarchical version of the one-way random effects model. Drift and minorization conditions are established for the underlying Markov chains. The drift and minorization are used in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Galin L. Jones , James P. Hobert

We generalize the Poisson limit theorem to binary functions of random objects whose law is invariant under the action of an amenable group. Examples include stationary random fields, exchangeable sequences, and exchangeable graphs. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Haoyu Ye , Peter Orbanz , Morgane Austern

We present sufficient conditions for sums of dependent point processes to converge in distribution to a Poisson process. This extends the classical result of Grigelionis [Theory Probab. Appl. 8 (1963) 172--182] for sums of uniformly null…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Matthew O. Jones , Richard F. Serfozo

In this paper we provide explicit upper bounds on some distances between the (law of the) output of a random Gaussian NN and (the law of) a random Gaussian vector. Our results concern both shallow random Gaussian neural networks with…

We generalise disagreement percolation to Gibbs point processes of balls with varying radii. This allows to establish the uniqueness of the Gibbs measure and exponential decay of pair correlations in the low activity regime by comparison…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-24 Christoph Hofer-Temmel , Pierre Houdebert

The Robbins-Monro algorithm is a recursive, simulation-based stochastic procedure to approximate the zeros of a function that can be written as an expectation. It is known that under some technical assumptions, Gaussian limit distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Valentin Konakov , Enno Mammen , Lorick Huang

We present an approximate calculation for the distribution of the maximum of a smooth stationary temporal signal X(t). As an application, we compute the persistence exponent associated to the probability that the process remains below a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Clément Sire

Gibbs point processes (GPPs) constitute a large and flexible class of spatial point processes with explicit dependence between the points. They can model attractive as well as repulsive point patterns. Feature selection procedures are an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Ismaïla Ba , Jean-François Coeurjolly

Pickands constants play a crucial role in the asymptotic theory of Gaussian processes. They are commonly defined as the limits of a sequence of expectations involving fractional Brownian motions and, as such, their exact value is often…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-05 Krzysztof Dębicki , Sebastian Engelke , Enkelejd Hashorva

We establish a quantitative normal approximation result for sums of random variables with multilevel local dependencies. As a corollary, we obtain a quantitative normal approximation result for linear functionals of random fields which may…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Julian Fischer

We prove that any stable method for resolving the Gibbs phenomenon - that is, recovering high-order accuracy from the first $m$ Fourier coefficients of an analytic and nonperiodic function - can converge at best root-exponentially fast in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Ben Adcock , Anders C. Hansen , Alexei Shadrin

The last decade has seen max-stable processes emerge as a common tool for the statistical modeling of spatial extremes. However, their application is complicated due to the unavailability of the multivariate density function, and so…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-23 Simone A. Padoan , Mathieu Ribatet , Scott A. Sisson

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang

In the language of random counting measures many structural properties of the Poisson process can be studied in arbitrary measurable spaces. We provide a similarly general treatise of Gibbs processes. With the GNZ equations as a definition…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Steffen Betsch

This paper studies the first hitting times of generalized Poisson processes $N^f(t)$, related to Bernstein functions $f$. For the space-fractional Poisson processes, $N^\alpha(t)$, $t>0$ (corresponding to $f= x^\alpha$), the hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-19 R. Garra , E. Orsingher , M. Scavino

In this paper we derive tight bounds on the expected value of products of {\em low influence} functions defined on correlated probability spaces. The proofs are based on extending Fourier theory to an arbitrary number of correlated…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-01 Elchanan Mossel

We investigate continuum percolation for Cox point processes, that is, Poisson point processes driven by random intensity measures. First, we derive sufficient conditions for the existence of non-trivial sub- and super-critical percolation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Christian Hirsch , Benedikt Jahnel , Elie Cali

We give a formula for the bivariate generating function of a stationary 1-dependent counting process in terms of its run probability generating function, with a probabilistic proof. The formula reduces to the well known bivariate generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Jim Pitman , Zhiyi You