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Fluctuating environments pose tremendous challenges to bacterial populations. It is observed in numerous bacterial species that individual cells can stochastically switch among multiple phenotypes for the population to survive in rapidly…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-20 Chen Jia , Min-Ping Qian , Yu Kang , Da-Quan Jiang

We study a model of directed percolation (DP) with immunization, i.e. with different probabilities for the first infection and subsequent infections. The immunization effect leads to an additional non-Markovian term in the corresponding…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Andrea Jimenez-Dalmaroni , Haye Hinrichsen

Bacteria often develop distinct phenotypes to adapt to environmental stress. In particular, they can produce biofilms, dense communities of bacteria that live in a complex extracellular matrix. Bacterial biofilms provide a safe haven from…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-29 Stephen Williams , Daravuth Cheam , Michele K. Nishiguchi , Suzanne S. Sindi , Shilpa Khatri , Erica M. Rutter

Between pandemics, the influenza virus exhibits periods of incremental evolution via a process known as antigenic drift. This process gives rise to a sequence of strains of the pathogen that are continuously replaced by newer strains,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-18 Adam Griffin , Simon E. F. Spencer , Gareth O. Roberts

Temporal evolution of a clonal bacterial population is modelled taking into account reversible mutation and selection mechanisms. For the mutation model, an efficient algorithm is proposed to verify whether experimental data can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-03 C. D. Bayliss , C. Fallaize , R. Howitt , M. V. Tretyakov

We introduce and investigate the escape problem for random walkers that may eventually die, decay, bleach, or lose activity during their diffusion towards an escape or reactive region on the boundary of a confining domain. In the case of a…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-01-03 D. S. Grebenkov , J. -F. Rupprecht

Motivated by various recent experimental findings, we propose a dynamical model of intermittently self-propelled particles: active particles that recurrently switch between two modes of motion, namely an active run-state and a turn state,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-10-30 Agniva Datta , Carsten Beta , Robert Großmann

When an infection spreads in a community, an individual's probability of becoming infected depends on both her susceptibility and exposure to the contagion through contact with others. While one often has knowledge regarding an individual's…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Maggie Makar , John Guttag , Jenna Wiens

In an attempt to explain the uniqueness of the coding mechanism of living cells as contrasted with multi-species structure of ecosystems we examine two models of individuals with some replicative properties. In the first model the system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Lipowski

Biofilm infections on medical implants are difficult to eradicate because insufficient nutrient availability promotes antibiotic-tolerant persister cells that survive treatment and reseed growth. Existing mathematical models usually omit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-23 Parna Mandal , Nigel J. Mottram , Sean McGinty

We introduce an interacting particle system which models the inherited sterility method. Individuals evolve on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ according to a contact process with parameter $\lambda>0$. With probability $p \in [0,1]$ an offspring is fertile…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Sonia Velasco

Chronic viral infections can persist in an infected person for decades. From the perspective of the virus, a single infection can span thousands of generations, leading to a highly diverse population of viruses with its own complex…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-30 Dmitry Gromov , Ethan O. Romero-Severson

Heterogeneous systems of active matter exhibit a range of complex emergent dynamical patterns. In particular, it is difficult to predict the properties of the mixed system based on its constituents. These considerations are particularly…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-04-07 Shlomit Peled , Shawn D. Ryan , Sebastian Heidenreich , Markus Bar , Gil Ariel , Avraham Be'er

We model an enclosed system of bacteria, whose motility-induced phase separation is coupled to slow population dynamics. Without noise, the system shows both static phase separation and a limit cycle, in which a rising global population…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-08 Tobias Grafke , Michael E. Cates , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Given an autoregressive process X of order p (i.e. X_n = a_1 X_{n-1} + ...+ a_p X_{n_p} + Y_n where the random variables Y_1, Y_2, ... are i.i.d.), we study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the process does not exceed a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Christoph Baumgarten

This work introduces a new statistical physics lattice model of bacteria interacting with anti-microbial drugs that can reproduce qualitative features of resistance emergence and whose model parameters and outputs can be measured with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-17 Roberto C. Alamino

We consider a spatial stochastic model for a pathogen population growing inside a host that attempts to eliminate the pathogens through its immune system. The pathogen population is divided into different types. A pathogen can either…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Fábio Lopes , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

We study the long-time dynamics in non-Markovian single-population stochastic models, where one or more reactions are modelled as a stochastic process with a fat-tailed non-exponential distribution of waiting times, mimicking long-term…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-05 Ohad Vilk , Michael Assaf

The infection dynamics of a population under stationary isolation conditions is modeled. It is underlined that the stationary character of the isolation measures can be expected to imply that an effective SIR model with constant parameters…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-19 Alejandro Cabo Montes de Oca , Nana Geraldine Cabo Bizet

Approximating the time to extinction of infection is an important problem in infection modelling. A variety of different approaches have been proposed in the literature. We study the performance of a number of such methods, and characterize…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Damian Clancy , Elliott Tjia