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Related papers: Spatio-temporal Granger causality: a new framework

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We analyze a neural system which mimics a sensorial cortex, with different input characteristics, in presence of transmission delays. We propose a new measure to characterize collective behavior, based on the nonlinear extension of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-25 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

Causal inference uses observations to infer the causal structure of the data generating system. We study a class of functional models that we call Time Series Models with Independent Noise (TiMINo). These models require independent residual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-18 Jonas Peters , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schölkopf

Functional magnetic resonance imaging or functional MRI (fMRI) is a very popular tool used for differing brain regions by measuring brain activity. It is affected by physiological noise, such as head and brain movement in the scanner from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-30 Fangyijie Wang , Michael Salter-Townshend

Differential Granger causality, that is understanding how Granger causal relations differ between two related time series, is of interest in many scientific applications. Modeling each time series by a vector autoregressive (VAR) model, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-24 Yue Wang , Jing Ma , Ali Shojaie

When dealing with time series data, causal inference methods often employ structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) processes to model time-evolving random systems. In this work, we rephrase recursive SVAR processes with possible latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-19 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Andreas Gerhardus , Jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

Linear regression model (LRM) based on mean square error (MSE) criterion is widely used in Granger causality analysis (GCA), which is the most commonly used method to detect the causality between a pair of time series. However, when signals…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Badong Chen , Rongjin Ma , Siyu Yu , Shaoyi Du , Jing Qin

Inferring a cause from its effect using observed time series data is a major challenge in natural and social sciences. Assuming the effect is generated by the cause trough a linear system, we propose a new approach based on the hypothesis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-05 Naji Shajarisales , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Shoelkopf , Michel Besserve

While correlation measures are used to discern statistical relationships between observed variables in almost all branches of data-driven scientific inquiry, what we are really interested in is the existence of causal dependence. Designing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-26 Ishanu Chattopadhyay

Although understanding and characterizing causal effects have become essential in observational studies, it is challenging when the confounders are high-dimensional. In this article, we develop a general framework $\textit{CausalEGM}$ for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-20 Qiao Liu , Zhongren Chen , Wing Hung Wong

In this paper we consider a claim that in the natural world there is no fact of the matter about the spatio-temporal separation of events. In order to make sense of such a notion and construct useful models of the world, it is proposed to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-18 Bartosz Jura

Unveil, model, and comprehend the causal mechanisms underpinning natural phenomena stand as fundamental endeavors across myriad scientific disciplines. Meanwhile, new knowledge emerges when discovering causal relationships from data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Jiaxuan Liang , Jun Wang , Guoxian Yu , Shuyin Xia , Guoyin Wang

We introduce an operator-theoretic framework for analyzing directional dependence in multivariate time series based on order-constrained spectral non-invariance. Directional influence is defined as the sensitivity of second-order dependence…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-10 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

We study the problem of learning Granger causality between event types from asynchronous, interdependent, multi-type event sequences. Existing work suffers from either limited model flexibility or poor model explainability and thus fails to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Wei Zhang , Thomas Kobber Panum , Somesh Jha , Prasad Chalasani , David Page

Causality analysis is an important problem lying at the heart of science, and is of particular importance in data science and machine learning. An endeavor during the past 16 years viewing causality as real physical notion so as to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-26 X. San Liang

Causal discovery in time-series is a fundamental problem in the machine learning community, enabling causal reasoning and decision-making in complex scenarios. Recently, researchers successfully discover causality by combining neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Yuxiao Cheng , Lianglong Li , Tingxiong Xiao , Zongren Li , Qin Zhong , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He

The information flow-based quantitative causality analysis has been widely applied in different disciplines because of its origin from first principles, its concise form, and its computational efficiency. So far the algorithm for its…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-03-08 X. San Liang

This paper presents a framework for time-causal wavelet analysis. It targets real-time processing of temporal signals, where data from the future are not available. The study builds upon temporal scale-space theory, originating from a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Tony Lindeberg

The broad abundance of time series data, which is in sharp contrast to limited knowledge of the underlying network dynamic processes that produce such observations, calls for a rigorous and efficient method of causal network inference. Here…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Jie Sun , Dane Taylor , Erik M. Bollt

This paper studies causal discovery in irregularly sampled time series-a key challenge in risk-sensitive domains like finance, healthcare, and climate science, where missing data and inconsistent sampling frequencies distort causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Weihong Li , Baohong Li , Anpeng Wu , Zhihan Li , Ming Ma , Keting Yin , Kun Kuang

Going beyond correlations, the understanding and identification of causal relationships in observational time series, an important subfield of Causal Discovery, poses a major challenge. The lack of access to a well-defined ground truth for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-19 Andrew R. Lawrence , Marcus Kaiser , Rui Sampaio , Maksim Sipos