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Causal structure learning has been a challenging task in the past decades and several mainstream approaches such as constraint- and score-based methods have been studied with theoretical guarantees. Recently, a new approach has transformed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Ignavier Ng , Shengyu Zhu , Zhitang Chen , Zhuangyan Fang

Granger causality (GC) is undoubtedly the most widely used method to infer cause-effect relations from observational time series. Several nonlinear alternatives to GC have been proposed based on kernel methods. We generalize kernel Granger…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-10 Diego Bueso , Maria Piles , Gustau Camps-Valls

Graphical modelling techniques based on sparse selection have been applied to infer complex networks in many fields, including biology and medicine, engineering, finance, and social sciences. One structural feature of some of the networks…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Annaliza McGillivray , Abbas Khalili , David A. Stephens

Extracting the interaction rules of biological agents from movement sequences pose challenges in various domains. Granger causality is a practical framework for analyzing the interactions from observed time-series data; however, this…

There is increasing interest in identifying changes in the underlying states of brain networks. The availability of large scale neuroimaging data creates a strong need to develop fast, scalable methods for detecting and localizing in time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Peiliang Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

Multi-relational networks among entities are frequently observed in the era of big data. Quantifying the effects of multiple networks have attracted significant research interest recently. In this work, we model multiple network effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Yimeng Ren , Xuening Zhu , Ganggang Xu , Yanyuan Ma

Learning Granger causality from event sequences is a challenging but essential task across various applications. Most existing methods rely on the assumption that event sequences are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Yuequn Liu , Ruichu Cai , Wei Chen , Jie Qiao , Yuguang Yan , Zijian Li , Keli Zhang , Zhifeng Hao

Network economics is the study of a rich class of equilibrium problems that occur in the real world, from traffic management to supply chains and two-sided online marketplaces. In this paper we explore causal inference in network economics,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Sridhar Mahadevan

Financial crises often occur without warning, yet markets leading up to these events display increasing volatility and complex interdependencies across multiple sectors. This study proposes a novel approach to predicting market crises by…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-19 Mahdi Kohan Sefidi

Traditionally, statistical and causal inference on human subjects rely on the assumption that individuals are independently affected by treatments or exposures. However, recently there has been increasing interest in settings, such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-25 Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Ilya Shpitser , Youjin Lee

This paper presents a novel application of graph neural networks for modeling and estimating network heterogeneity. Network heterogeneity is characterized by variations in unit's decisions or outcomes that depend not only on its own…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-30 Yike Wang , Chris Gu , Taisuke Otsu

In this letter we discuss use of Granger causality to the analyze systems of coupled circular variables, by modifying a recently proposed method for multivariate analysis of causality. We show the application of the proposed approach on…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 Leonardo Angelini , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

The exploration of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for processing graph-structured data has expanded, particularly their potential for causal analysis due to their universal approximation capabilities. Anticipated to significantly enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Simi Job , Xiaohui Tao , Taotao Cai , Lin Li , Haoran Xie , Jianming Yong

We provide a comprehensive review of causal dependence through a max-linear structural equation model. Such models express each node variable as a max-linear function of its parental node variables in a directed acyclic graph and some…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-29 Claudia Klüppelberg , Mario Krali

We study the problem of automatically discovering Granger causal relations from observational multivariate time-series data.Vector autoregressive (VAR) models have been time-tested for this problem, including Bayesian variants and more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-27 He Zhao , Vassili Kitsios , Terence J. O'Kane , Edwin V. Bonilla

We study the problem of modeling multiple symmetric, weighted networks defined on a common set of nodes, where networks arise from different groups or conditions. We propose a model in which each network is expressed as the sum of a shared…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Hao Yan , Keith Levin

Graphical models can represent a multivariate distribution in a convenient and accessible form as a graph. Causal models can be viewed as a special class of graphical models that not only represent the distribution of the observed system…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Christina Heinze-Deml , Marloes H. Maathuis , Nicolai Meinshausen

We explore time-varying networks for high-dimensional locally stationary time series, using the large VAR model framework with both the transition and (error) precision matrices evolving smoothly over time. Two types of time-varying graphs…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Jia Chen , Degui Li , Yuning Li , Oliver Linton

This paper addresses the problem of inferring sparse causal networks modeled by multivariate auto-regressive (MAR) processes. Conditions are derived under which the Group Lasso (gLasso) procedure consistently estimates sparse network…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-28 Andrew Bolstad , Barry Van Veen , Robert Nowak

This work extends causal inference with stochastic confounders. We propose a new approach to variational estimation for causal inference based on a representer theorem with a random input space. We estimate causal effects involving latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-26 Thanh Vinh Vo , Pengfei Wei , Wicher Bergsma , Tze-Yun Leong
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