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Related papers: Physics peeks into the ballot box

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Integrity of elections is vital to democratic systems, but it is frequently threatened by malicious actors. The study of algorithmic complexity of the problem of manipulating election outcomes by changing its structural features is known as…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Andrew Estornell , Sanmay Das , Edith Elkind , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

The Bradley effect concerns the discrepancy between opinion polls and actual election outcomes that emerges when candidates do not exhibit ideological, sexual or racial mainstream features. This effect was first observed during the 1982…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-21 Luca Gamberi , Pierpaolo Vivo , Yanik-Pascal Förster , Evan Tzanis , Alessia Annibale

Despite the prevalence of voting systems in the real world there is no consensus among researchers of how people vote strategically, even in simple voting settings. This paper addresses this gap by comparing different approaches that have…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Roy Fairstein , Adam Lauz , Kobi Gal , Reshef Meir

The fundamental equations of various disciplines often seem to share the same basic structure. Natural selection increases information in the same way that Bayesian updating increases information. Thermodynamics and the forms of common…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-18 Steven A. Frank

In an election in which each voter ranks all of the candidates, we consider the head-to-head results between each pair of candidates and form a labeled directed graph, called the margin graph, which contains the margin of victory of each…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-09-08 Matthew Harrison-Trainor

The computational study of elections generally assumes that the preferences of the electorate come in as a list of votes. Depending on the context, it may be much more natural to represent the list succinctly, as the distinct votes of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Zack Fitzsimmons , Edith Hemaspaandra

The notion that the geometry of our space-time is not only a static background but can be physically dynamic is well established in general relativity. Geometry can be described as shaped by the presence of matter, where such shaping…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 Lukas A. Saul

This study demonstrates the persistent dominance of identity based voting across democratic systems, using the United States as a primary case and comparative analyses of 19 other democracies as counterfactuals. Drawing solely on election…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-27 Venkat Ram Reddy Ganuthula , Krishna Kumar Balaraman

The election, a cornerstone of democracy, is one of the best-recognizable symbols of democratic governance. Voters' confidence in elections is essential, and these days, we can watch practically in live broadcast what consequences distrust…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Šimon Schierreich

This paper formalizes the lattice structure of the ballot voters cast in a ranked-choice election and the preferences that this structure induces. These preferences are shown to be counter to previous assumptions about the preferences of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-01-10 Brian Duricy

The voter model is a paradigm of ordering dynamics. At each time step, a random node is selected and copies the state of one of its neighbors. Traditionally, this state has been considered as a binary variable. Here, we relax this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-05 Michele Starnini , Andrea Baronchelli , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

Condorcet's paradox is a fundamental result in social choice theory which states that there exist elections in which, no matter which candidate wins, a majority of voters prefer a different candidate. In fact, even if we can select any $k$…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Moses Charikar , Prasanna Ramakrishnan , Kangning Wang

A boardroom election is an election that takes place in a single room -- the boardroom -- in which all voters can see and hear each other. We present an initial exploration of boardroom elections with ballot privacy and voter verifiability…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Enka Blanchard , Ted Selker , Alan T. Sherman

Voters from m disjoint constituencies (regions, federal states, etc.) are represented in an assembly which contains one delegate from each constituency and applies a weighted voting rule. All agents are assumed to have single-peaked…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-28 Sascha Kurz , Nicola Maaser , Stefan Napel

There is still debate on whether voters can detect malicious changes in their printed ballot after making their selections on a Ballot Marking Device (BMD). In this study, we altered votes on a voter's ballot after they had made their…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Philip Kortum , Michael D. Byrne , Chidera O. Azubike , Laura E. Roty

There is growing evidence of systematic attempts to influence democratic elections by controlled and digitally organized dissemination of fake news. This raises the question of the intrinsic robustness of democratic electoral processes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-03 Glory M. Givi , Robin Delabays , Matthieu Jacquemet , Philippe Jacquod

We describe nonparametric deconvolution models (NDMs), a family of Bayesian nonparametric models for collections of data in which each observation is the average over the features from heterogeneous particles. For example, these types of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Allison J. B. Chaney , Archit Verma , Young-suk Lee , Barbara E. Engelhardt

We give an overview of the diverse electoral systems used in local, national, or super-national elections around the world. We discuss existing methods for selecting single and multiple winners and give real-world examples for some more…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-25 Siamak F. Shahandashti

Voting can abstractly model any decision-making scenario and as such it has been extensively studied over the decades. Recently, the related literature has focused on quantifying the impact of utilizing only limited information in the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Evi Micha , Alexandros A. Voudouris

Numerous models in opinion dynamics focus on the temporal dynamics within a single electoral unit (e.g., country). The empirical observations, on the other hand, are often made across multiple electoral units (e.g., polling stations) at a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-11 Aleksejus Kononovicius
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