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This paper investigates the implications of the future continuation of the demonstrated past (1960-2012) strong correlation between first-difference atmospheric CO2 and global surface temperature. It does this, for the period from the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-04-30 L. M. W Leggett , D. A. Ball

The reliability of ERA5 satellite-based air temperature data is under investigation in this paper. To evaluate this, the ERA5 data will be compared with land-based data obtained from weather stations on the Global Historical Climatology…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-04-25 Barry McNicholl , Yee Hui Lee , Abraham G. Campbell , Soumyabrata Dev

Many regions across the globe broke their surface temperature records in recent years, further sparking concerns about the impending arrival of "tipping points" later in the 21st century. This study analyzes observed global surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-13 Nicole Ma , Jonathan H. Jiang , Kennard Hou , Yun Lin , Trung Vu , Philip E. Rosen , Yu Gu , Kristen A. Fahy

We fit 12 independent surface temperature time series (zones of latitude), 6 land- and 6 ocean-based, with a Gaussian (centered around WW2) on a quadratic background. The four polar zones are unusable. Each of the remaining 8 shows evidence…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-03-21 Bernard Gottschalk

We consider the effect of different temporal error structures on the inference of equilibrium climate sensitivity\footnote{ECS is defined as the realized equilibrium surface warming---globally-averaged surface air temperature---for a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-09-13 B. T. Nadiga , N. M. Urban

This study explores wind energy resources in different locations through the Gulf of Oman and also their future variability due climate change impacts. In this regard, EC-EARTH near surface wind outputs obtained from CORDEX-MENA simulations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-02-25 Shahab Shamshirband , Amir Mosavi , Narjes Nabipour , Kwok-wing Chau

An approach is demonstrated for comparing the temperature of the upper atmosphere obtained by ground-based and satellite methods. A method for calibrating ground-based instruments (Fabry-Perot interferometer) based on the data obtained and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-03 A. V. Saunkin , R. V. Vasilyev , M. F. Artamonov

Network theory provides various tools for investigating the structural or functional topology of many complex systems found in nature, technology and society. Nevertheless, it has recently been realised that a considerable number of systems…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-03-23 Jonathan F. Donges , Hanna C. H. Schultz , Norbert Marwan , Yong Zou , Juergen Kurths

The evaluation of climate models is a crucial step in climate studies. It consists of quantifying the resemblance of model outputs to reference data to identify models with superior capacity to replicate specific climate variables. Clearly,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-11 Mario J. Gómez , Luis A. Barboza , Hugo G. Hidalgo , Eric J. Alfaro

The surface air temperature daily records at the land-based locations with different climate conditions (from Arctic to Patagonia) have been studied on the daily to intraseasonal time scales (low frequency annual and seasonal variations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-03-01 A. Bershadskii

The subpolar gyre is at risk of crossing a tipping point under future climate change associated with the collapse of deep convection. As such tipping can have significant climate impacts, it is important to understand the mechanisms at play…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-24 Swinda K. J. Falkena , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

A possible deepening of the ocean mixed layer was investigated at a selected point of the Patagonian continental shelf where a significant positive wind speed trend was estimated. Using a 1-dimensional vertical numerical model (S2P3) forced…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-05-08 Juan Zanella , Ezequiel Alvarez , Andres Pescio , Walter Dragani

Modern weather and climate models share a common heritage, and often even components, however they are used in different ways to answer fundamentally different questions. As such, attempts to emulate them using machine learning should…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-21 Duncan Watson-Parris

Power spectra of global surface temperature (GST) records reveal major periodicities at about 9.1, 10-11, 19-22 and 59-62 years. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) general circulation models (GCMs), to be used in the IPCC…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-10-29 Nicola Scafetta

Global warming presents an unprecedented challenge to our planet however comprehensive understanding remains hindered by geographical biases temporal limitations and lack of standardization in existing research. An end to end visual…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-19 Meihua Zhou , Nan Wan , Tianlong Zheng , Hanwen Xu , Li Yang , Tingting Wang

Global Climate Models are key tools for predicting the future response of the climate system to a variety of natural and anthropogenic forcings. Here we show how to use statistical mechanics to construct operators able to flexibly predict…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Francesco Ragone

A set of idealized experiments are performed to analyze the competing effects of declining atmospheric CO2 concentrations, the opening of an ocean gateway, and varying orbital parameters. These forcing mechanisms, which influence the global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-02-04 Eileen Hertwig , Frank Lunkeit , Klaus Fraedrich

Since the prediction of climate is mainly considered as a prediction of second kind, it is indispensable to assess the accuracy with which these boundary conditions can be determined so that we can find a reasonable answer, whether climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Gerhard Kramm , Ralph Dlugi

We study the surface tension and the phenomenon of phase coexistence for the Ising model on $\mathbbm{Z}^d$ ($d \geqslant 2$) with ferromagnetic but random couplings. We prove the convergence in probability (with respect to random…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-17 Marc Wouts

The spatial pattern of sea surface temperature (SST) plays a central role in shaping the climate system, yet the influence of land surface temperature (LST) remains poorly understood. Using a state-of-the-art coupled ocean--land--atmosphere…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-07 Bosong Zhang , Timothy M. Merlis