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The mixing time of a Markov chain determines how fast the iterates of the Markov chain converge to the stationary distribution; however, it does not control the dependencies between samples along the Markov chain. In this paper, we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Jiaming Liang , Siddharth Mitra , Andre Wibisono

We investigate a piecewise-deterministic Markov process, evolving on a Polish metric space, whose deterministic behaviour between random jumps is governed by some semi-flow, and any state right after the jump is attained by a randomly…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We prove a sample path Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for a class of jump processes whose rates are not uniformly Lipschitz continuous in phase space. Building on it we further establish the corresponding Wentzell-Freidlin (W-F) (infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Andrea Agazzi , Amir Dembo , Jean-Pierre Eckmann

We consider $N$ counters taking integer values which are subject to the following dynamics. At every time, a pair of distinct counters is chosen uniformly at random and their states are updated according to the following rule. If the states…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Denis Denisov , Seva Shneer , Vitali Wachtel

We consider probability measures on $A^N$, the set of sequences of symbols on a finite alphabet $A$ of length $N$, that give a weight to each sequence in terms of a collection of matrices with non-negative entries and having rows and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Davide Gabrielli , Federica Iacovissi

We address the general problem of formulating the dynamical large deviations of non-Markovian systems in a closed form. Specifically, we consider a broad class of ``self-interacting'' jump processes whose dynamics depends on the past…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-25 Francesco Coghi , Amarjit Budhiraja , Juan P. Garrahan

Motivated by applications in Markov chain Monte Carlo, we discuss what it means for one Markov chain to be an approximation to another. Specifically included in that discussion are situations in which a Markov chain with continuous state…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mark Jerrum

We introduce a general class of distances (metrics) between Markov chains, which are based on linear behaviour. This class encompasses distances given topologically (such as the total variation distance or trace distance) as well as by…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-27 Przemysław Daca , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Křetínský , Tatjana Petrov

We show the variational convergence of an irreversible Markov jump process describing a finite stochastic particle system to the solution of a countable infinite system of deterministic time-inhomogeneous quadratic differential equations…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Jasper Hoeksema , Chun Yin Lam , André Schlichting

We study the statistics of first passage times (FPTs) of trajectory observables in both classical and quantum Markov processes. We consider specifically the FPTs of counting observables, that is, the times to reach a certain threshold of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-17 George Bakewell-Smith , Federico Girotti , Mădălin Guţă , Juan P. Garrahan

Given noisy, partial observations of a time-homogeneous, finite-statespace Markov chain, conceptually simple, direct statistical inference is available, in theory, via its rate matrix, or infinitesimal generator, $\mathsf{Q}$, since $\exp…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-23 Chris Sherlock

We study a one-dimensional Markov modulated random walk with jumps. It is assumed that amplitudes of jumps as well as a chosen velocity regime are random and depend on a time spent by the process at a previous state of the underlying Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-13 Nikita Ratanov

We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-26 Bernard Derrida , Tridib Sadhu

We study the problem of exponential mixing and large deviations for discrete-time Markov processes associated with a class of random dynamical systems. Under some dissipativity and regularisation hypotheses for the underlying deterministic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Vojkan Jaksic , Vahagn Nersesyan , Claude-Alain Pillet , Armen Shirikyan

The fluctuation-dissipation theorem is a central result in statistical mechanics and is usually formulated for systems described by diffusion processes. In this paper, we propose a generalization for a wider class of stochastic processes,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-20 Alberto Montefusco , Mark A. Peletier , Hans Christian Öttinger

A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

The Large Deviation Principle is established for stochastic models defined by past-dependent non linear recursions with small noise. In the Markov case we use the result to obtain an explicit expression for the asymptotics of exit time.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Klebaner , R. Liptser

A large deviation principle is established for a two-scale stochastic system in which the slow component is a continuous process given by a small noise finite dimensional It\^{o} stochastic differential equation, and the fast component is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Arnab Ganguly

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

We consider the superposition of a symmetric simple exclusion dynamics, speeded-up in time, with a spin-flip dynamics in a one-dimensional interval with periodic boundary conditions. We prove the large deviations principle for the empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Jonathan Farfan , Claudio Landim , Kenkichi Tsunoda
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