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A central task in stochastic thermodynamics is the estimation of entropy production for partially accessible Markov networks. We establish an effective transition-based description for such networks with transitions that are not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-20 Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

This letter presents an improved version of diffusion least mean ppower (LMP) algorithm for distributed estimation. Instead of sum of mean square errors, a weighted sum of mean square error is defined as the cost function for global and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-09 H. Zayyani , M. Korki

This article provides an introduction to the asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes. Maximum likelihood estimation is considered. The aim of this introduction is to be accessible to a wide audience and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-16 François Bachoc

This note presents a new definition of nonlinear statistics mean and variance to simplify the nonlinear statistics computations. These concepts aim to provide a theoretical explanation of a novel nonlinear weighted residual methodology…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 W. Chen

A temporal point process is a stochastic process that predicts which type of events is likely to happen and when the event will occur given a history of a sequence of events. There are various examples of occurrence dynamics in the daily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Deokjun Eom , Sehyun Lee , Jaesik Choi

Recently, it was shown that most popular IR measures are not interval-scaled, implying that decades of experimental IR research used potentially improper methods, which may have produced questionable results. However, it was unclear if and…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Marco Ferrante , Nicola Ferro , Norbert Fuhr

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

In this paper we study time-inhomogeneous affine processes beyond the common assumption of stochastic continuity. In this setting times of jumps can be both inaccessible and predictable. To this end we develop a general theory of finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Martin Keller-Ressel , Thorsten Schmidt , Robert Wardenga

This paper defines the class of c\`adl\`ag functional marked point processes (CFMPPs). These are (spatio-temporal) point processes marked by random elements which take values in a c\`adl\`ag function space, i.e. the marks are given by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Ottmar Cronie , Jorge Mateu

There are several ways to establish the asymptotic normality of $L$-statistics, which depend on the choice of the weights-generating function and the cumulative distribution selection of the underlying model. In this study, we focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Chudamani Poudyal

A weighted U-statistic based on a random sample X_1,...,X_n has the form U_n=\sum_{1\le i,j\le n}w_{i-j}K(X_i,X_j), where K is a fixed symmetric measurable function and the w_i are symmetric weights. A large class of statistics can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tailen Hsing , Wei Biao Wu

An extension of the Hawkes model where the productivity is variable is considered. In particular, the case is considered where each point may have its own productivity and a simple analytic formula is derived for the maximum likelihood…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-20 Frederic Paik Schoenberg

The large-deviation method allows to characterize an ergodic counting process in terms of a thermodynamic frame where a free energy function determines the asymptotic non-stationary statistical properties of its fluctuations. Here, we study…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-13 Adrian A. Budini

A novel heuristic approach is proposed here for time series data analysis, dubbed Generalized weighted permutation entropy, which amalgamates and generalizes beyond their original scope two well established data analysis methods:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-19 Darko Stosic , Dusan Stosic , Tatijana Stosic , Borko Stosic

Financial markets are prominent examples for highly non-stationary systems. Sample averaged observables such as variances and correlation coefficients strongly depend on the time window in which they are evaluated. This implies severe…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Assuming that a threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate the parameters. Our theoretical basis is the celebrated ergodic theorem. To use this theorem we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

Point processes offer a versatile framework for sequential event modeling. However, the computational challenges and constrained representational power of the existing point process models have impeded their potential for wider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Zheng Dong , Zekai Fan , Shixiang Zhu

In this paper, we present the asymptotic distribution of M-estimators for parameters in non-stationary AR(p) processes. The innovations are assumed to be in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index $0<\alpha\le2$. In particular,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-13 Maryam Sohrabi , Mahmoud Zarepour

For a Markov decision process with countably infinite states, the optimal value may not be achievable in the set of stationary policies. In this paper, we study the existence conditions of an optimal stationary policy in a countable-state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Li Xia , Xianping Guo , Xi-Ren Cao

When we are interested in high-dimensional system and focus on classification performance, the $\ell_{1}$-penalized logistic regression is becoming important and popular. However, the Lasso estimates could be problematic when penalties of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Huamei Huang , Yujing Gao , Huiming Zhang , Bo Li