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We study accuracy of bootstrap procedures for estimation of quantiles of a smooth function of a sum of independent sub-Gaussian random vectors. We establish higher-order approximation bounds with error terms depending on a sample size and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-21 Mayya Zhilova

We provide guarantees for approximate Gaussian Process (GP) regression resulting from two common low-rank kernel approximations: based on random Fourier features, and based on truncating the kernel's Mercer expansion. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-22 Constantinos Daskalakis , Petros Dellaportas , Aristeidis Panos

We provide guarantees for approximate Gaussian Process (GP) regression resulting from two common low-rank kernel approximations: based on random Fourier features, and based on truncating the kernel's Mercer expansion. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-16 Constantinos Daskalakis , Petros Dellaportas , Aristeidis Panos

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

We consider functional linear regression models where functional outcomes are associated with scalar predictors by coefficient functions with shape constraints, such as monotonicity and convexity, that apply to sub-domains of interest. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Kyunghee Han , Yeonjoo Park , Soo-Young Kim

This paper investigates the bias and the weak Bahadur representation of a local polynomial estimator of the conditional quantile function and its derivatives. The bias and Bahadur remainder term are studied uniformly with respect to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Emmanuel Guerre , Camille Sabbah

The Birnbaum-Saunders regression model is commonly used in reliability studies. We address the issue of performing inference in this class of models when the number of observations is small. We show that the likelihood ratio test tends to…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-25 Artur J. Lemonte , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Francisco Cribari-Neto

Quantile regression is an important tool for estimation of conditional quantiles of a response Y given a vector of covariates X. It can be used to measure the effect of covariates not only in the center of a distribution, but also in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Victor Chernozhukov

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

We study the fundamental problems of Gaussian mean estimation and linear regression with Gaussian covariates in the presence of Huber contamination. Our main contribution is the design of the first sample near-optimal and almost linear-time…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Ankit Pensia , Thanasis Pittas

The results of Koml\'{o}s, Major and Tusn\'{a}dy give optimal Wiener approximation of partial sums of i.i.d. random variables and provide an extremely powerful tool in probability and statistical inference. Recently Wu [Ann. Probab. 35…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-14 István Berkes , Siegfried Hörmann , Johannes Schauer

We construct a least squares approximation method for the recovery of complex-valued functions from a reproducing kernel Hilbert space on $D \subset \mathbb{R}^d$. The nodes are drawn at random for the whole class of functions and the error…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-05 Lutz Kämmerer , Tino Ullrich , Toni Volkmer

Bayesian coresets speed up posterior inference in the large-scale data regime by approximating the full-data log-likelihood function with a surrogate log-likelihood based on a small, weighted subset of the data. But while Bayesian coresets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-18 Trevor Campbell

Non-asymptotic bounds for Gaussian and bootstrap approximation have recently attracted significant interest in high-dimensional statistics. This paper studies Berry-Esseen bounds for such approximations with respect to the multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Miles E. Lopes

Gaussian processes scale prohibitively with the size of the dataset. In response, many approximation methods have been developed, which inevitably introduce approximation error. This additional source of uncertainty, due to limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Jonathan Wenger , Geoff Pleiss , Marvin Pförtner , Philipp Hennig , John P. Cunningham

We propose to smooth the entire objective function, rather than only the check function, in a linear quantile regression context. Not only does the resulting smoothed quantile regression estimator yield a lower mean squared error and a more…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-16 Marcelo Fernandes , Emmanuel Guerre , Eduardo Horta

Kernel Density Estimation is a very popular technique of approximating a density function from samples. The accuracy is generally well-understood and depends, roughly speaking, on the kernel decay and local smoothness of the true density.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Maciej Skorski

Variational inference has become one of the most widely used methods in latent variable modeling. In its basic form, variational inference employs a fully factorized variational distribution and minimizes its KL divergence to the posterior.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Robert Bamler , Cheng Zhang , Manfred Opper , Stephan Mandt

We propose a self-tuning $\sqrt{\mathrm {Lasso}}$ method that simultaneously resolves three important practical problems in high-dimensional regression analysis, namely it handles the unknown scale, heteroscedasticity and (drastic)…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-27 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Lie Wang

This paper considers generalized linear models in the presence of many controls. We lay out a general methodology to estimate an effect of interest based on the construction of an instrument that immunize against model selection mistakes…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Ying Wei