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Generalized linear models are a popular tool in applied statistics, with their maximum likelihood estimators enjoying asymptotic Gaussianity and efficiency. As all models are wrong, it is desirable to understand these estimators' behaviours…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Elliot H. Young , Rajen D. Shah

We analyze binary data, available for a relatively large number (big data) of families (or households), which are within small areas, from a population-based survey. Inference is required for the finite population proportion of individuals…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-04 Balgobin Nandram , Lu Chen , Shuting Fu , Binod Manandhar

We introduce a new setting, optimize-and-estimate structured bandits. Here, a policy must select a batch of arms, each characterized by its own context, that would allow it to both maximize reward and maintain an accurate (ideally unbiased)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Peter Henderson , Ben Chugg , Brandon Anderson , Kristen Altenburger , Alex Turk , John Guyton , Jacob Goldin , Daniel E. Ho

Using data from 2000 through 2022, we analyze the predictive capability of the annual numbers of new home constructions and four available environmental, social, and governance factors on the average annual price of homes sold in eight…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-11 Jason R. Bailey , W. Brent Lindquist , Svetlozar T. Rachev

The household secondary attack risk (SAR), often called the secondary attack rate or secondary infection risk, is the probability of infectious contact from an infectious household member A to a given household member B, where we define…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Yushuf Sharker , Eben Kenah

Metrics of model goodness-of-fit, model comparison, and model parameter estimation are the main categories of statistical problems in science. Bayesian and frequentist methods that address these questions often rely on a likelihood…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-26 Carlos A. Argüelles , Austin Schneider , Tianlu Yuan

Penalized generalized estimating equations (PGEE) stabilize point estimation for longitudinal binary data under near-separation, but inference still depends on how the sandwich variance is corrected. Existing corrections for PGEE can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Awan Afiaz , M. Shafiqur Rahman

The exact expression is derived for the expected value, $< {p_i}> $, for the parameter for any bin $i$ of a histogram following a multinomial distribution derived by sorting $N$ observations into bins of $B$ classes, if $n_i$ of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-18 Jonathan M. Friedman

In many data analyses, each measurement may come with a simple yes/no correction; for example, belonging to one of two populations or being contaminated or not. Ignoring such binary effects may bias the results, while accounting for them…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-13 Marcus Högås , Edvard Mörtsell

Data analysis in HEP experiments often uses binned likelihood from data and finite Monte Carlo sample. Statistical uncertainty of Monte Carlo sample has been introduced in Frequentist Inference in some literatures, but they are not suitable…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-09-28 Shilin Liu , Clark McGrew

Binned data often appears in different fields of research, and it is generated after summarizing the original data in a sequence of pairs of bins (or their midpoints) and frequencies. There may exist different reasons to only provide this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Asael Fabian Martínez , Carlos Díaz-Avalos

Measuring the concentration of random variables is a fundamental concept in probability and statistics. Here, we explore a type of concentration measure for continuous random variables with bounded support and use it to provide a notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-06 S. Portnoy , N. Torrado , J. J. P. Veerman

Generalized linear models (GLMs) using a regression procedure to fit relationships between predictor and target variables are widely used in automobile insurance data. Here, in the process of ratemaking and in order to compute the premiums…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-02 J. M. Pérez-Sánchez , E. Gómez-Déniz

Income inequality estimators are biased in small samples, leading generally to an underestimation. This aspect deserves particular attention when estimating inequality in small domains and performing small area estimation at the area level.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Silvia De Nicolò , Maria Rosaria Ferrante , Silvia Pacei

We approach the Generalized Beta (GB) family of distributions using a mean-reverting stochastic differential equation (SDE) for a power of the variable, whose steady-state (stationary) probability density function (PDF) is a modified GB…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-10 Jiong Liu , R. A. Serota

This paper introduces a new version of the smoothly trimmed mean with a more general version of weights, which can be used as an alternative to the classical trimmed mean. We derive its asymptotic variance and to further investigate its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Elina Kresse , Emils Silins , Janis Valeinis

We propose a Small Area Estimation model based on Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape (SAE-GAMLSS), for the estimation of household economic indicators. SAE-GAMLSS release the exponential family distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Lorenzo Mori , Maria Rosaria Ferrante

Energy-based models (EBMs) are powerful probabilistic models, but suffer from intractable sampling and density evaluation due to the partition function. As a result, inference in EBMs relies on approximate sampling algorithms, leading to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Dieterich Lawson , George Tucker , Bo Dai , Rajesh Ranganath

Series and polynomial regression are able to approximate the same function classes as neural networks. However, these methods are rarely used in practice, although they offer more interpretability than neural networks. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-19 Sylvia Klosin , Jaume Vives-i-Bastida

The personal income distribution (PID) above the Pareto threshold is studied and modeled. A microeconomic model is proposed to simulate the PID and its evolution below and above the Pareto income threshold. The model balances processes of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Ivan O. Kitov