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Frequentist coverage of $(1-\alpha)$-highest posterior density (HPD) credible sets is studied in a signal plus noise model under a large class of noise distributions. We consider a specific class of spike-and-slab prior distributions.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Kevin Duisters , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

Constructing valid inferential methods for constrained parameters in normal and Poisson distributions represents two fundamental and important problems in applied statistics, for which there is currently no unified framework for statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Hezhi Lu , Qijun Wu

We propose an adaptive confidence interval procedure (CIP) for the coefficients in the normal linear regression model. This procedure has a frequentist coverage rate that is constant as a function of the model parameters, yet provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-10 Peter D. Hoff , Chaoyu Yu

A generalization of the Poisson distribution based on the generalized Mittag-Leffler function $E_{\alpha, \beta}(\lambda)$ is proposed and the raw moments are calculated algebraically in terms of Bell polynomials. It is demonstrated, that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Richard Herrmann

In statistical practice, whether a Bayesian or frequentist approach is used in inference depends not only on the availability of prior information but also on the attitude taken toward partial prior information, with frequentists tending to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

We propose a frequentist testing procedure that maintains a defined coverage and is optimal in the sense that it gives maximal power to detect deviations from a null hypothesis when the alternative to the null hypothesis is sampled from a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Christian Bartels , Johanna Mielke , Ekkehard Glimm

When do nonparametric Bayesian procedures ``overfit''? To shed light on this question, we consider a binary regression problem in detail and establish frequentist consistency for a certain class of Bayes procedures based on hierarchical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc Coram , Steven P. Lalley

This paper derives lower bounds for the mean square errors of parameter estimators in the case of Poisson distributed data subjected to multiple abrupt changes. Since both change locations (discrete parameters) and parameters of the Poisson…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-31 Lucien Bacharach , Mohammed Nabil El Korso , Alexandre Renaux , Jean-Yves Tourneret

We generalize the na\"ive estimator of a Poisson regression model with measurement errors as discussed in Kukush et al. [1]. The explanatory variable is not always normally distributed as they assume. In this study, we assume that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Kentarou Wada , Takeshi Kurosawa

A transformation group approach to the prior for the parameters of the beta distribution is suggested which accounts for finite sets of data by imposing a limit to the range of parameter values under consideration. The relationship between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-10-18 Robert W. Johnson

Especially when facing reliability data with limited information (e.g., a small number of failures), there are strong motivations for using Bayesian inference methods. These include the option to use information from physics-of-failure or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Qinglong Tian , Colin Lewis-Beck , Jarad Niemi , William Meeker

A priori bound for the parameter to be estimated is incorporated into confidence intervals within frequentistic approach in a straightforward and optimal fashion, ensuring the best resolution of non-boundary values as well as robustness for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-04-06 Fyodor V. Tkachov

Suppose that $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ are a stream of independent, identically distributed Poisson random variables with mean $\mu$. This work presents a new estimate $\mu_k$ for $\mu$ with the property that the distribution of the relative error…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-01 Mark Huber

We review the methods of constructing confidence intervals that account for a priori information about one-sided constraints on the parameter being estimated. We show that the so-called method of sensitivity limit yields a correct solution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

Count outcomes in longitudinal studies are frequent in clinical and engineering studies. In frequentist and Bayesian statistical analysis, methods such as Mixed linear models allow the variability or correlation within individuals to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Alejandra Estefanía Patiño Hoyos , Johnatan Cardona Jiménez

Using a collection of simulated an real benchmarks, we compare Bayesian and frequentist regularization approaches under a low informative constraint when the number of variables is almost equal to the number of observations on simulated and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Gilles Celeux , Mohammed El Anbari , Jean-Michel Marin , Christian P. Robert

We propose randomized confidence intervals based on the Neyman-Pearson lemma, in order to make them more broadly applicable to distributions that do not satisfy regularity conditions. This is achieved by using the definition of fuzzy…

We propose a construction of frequentist confidence intervals that is effective near unphysical regions and unifies the treatment of two-sided and upper limit intervals. It is rigorous, has coverage, is computationally simple and avoids the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-31 Mark Mandelkern , Jonas Schultz

Bayesian and frequentist methods differ in many aspects, but share some basic optimality properties. In practice, there are situations in which one of the methods is more preferred by some criteria. We consider the case of inference about a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-25 Ao Yuan