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Stochastic differential equations provide a powerful tool for modelling dynamic phenomena affected by random noise. In case of repeated observations of time series for several experimental units, it is often the case that some of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

We propose a general algorithm for approximating nonstandard Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence of an approximating distribution to the intractable posterior distribution. Our method…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-29 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles

The existing literature on stochastic simulation of chemical reaction networks has a tendency to move as quickly as possible to the abstract formulation of the stochastic dynamics in terms of probabilities based on the concept of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Sergey Plyasunov

In the past few decades, the development of fluorescent technologies and microscopic techniques has greatly improved scientists' ability to observe real-time single-cell activities. In this paper, we consider the filtering problem associate…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-27 Zhou Fang , Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

Stochastic processes defined on integer valued state spaces are popular within the physical and biological sciences. These models are necessary for capturing the dynamics of small systems where the individual nature of the populations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-15 Luke O'Loughlin , John Maclean , Andrew Black

Stochastic simulation can make the molecular processes of cellular control more vivid than the traditional differential-equation approach by generating typical system histories instead of just statistical measures such as the mean and…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-18 Kevin Y. Chen , Daniel M. Zuckerman , Philip C. Nelson

The dynamics of biological systems, from proteins to cells to organisms, is complex and stochastic. To decipher their physical laws, we need to bridge between experimental observations and theoretical modeling. Thanks to progress in…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-06-05 Pierre Ronceray

We explore the influence of precision of the data and the algorithm for the simulation of chaotic dynamics by neural networks techniques. For this purpose, we simulate the Lorenz system with different precisions using three different neural…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-11-09 S. Bompas , B. Georgeot , D. Guéry-Odelin

This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Homer L. Chin , Gregory F. Cooper

The past decade has seen a revived interest in the unavoidable or intrinsic noise in biochemical and genetic networks arising from the finite copy number of the participating species. That is, rather than modeling regulatory networks in…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Aleksandra M. Walczak , Andrew Mugler , Chris H. WIggins

We propose algorithms to approximate directed information graphs. Directed information graphs are probabilistic graphical models that depict causal dependencies between stochastic processes in a network. The proposed algorithms identify…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Christopher J. Quinn , Ali Pinar , Negar Kiyavash

A conceptual model for microscopic-macroscopic slow-fast stochastic systems is considered. A dynamical reduction procedure is presented in order to extract effective dynamics for this kind of systems. Under appropriate assumptions, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Jian Ren , Hongbo Fu , Daomin Cao , Jinqiao Duan

Biochemical reaction networks frequently consist of species evolving on multiple timescales. Stochastic simulations of such networks are often computationally challenging and therefore various methods have been developed to obtain sensible…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-20 Jae Kyoung Kim , Grzegorz A. Rempala , Hye-Won Kang

In applied sciences, we often deal with deterministic simulation models that are too slow for simulation-intensive tasks such as calibration or real-time control. In this paper, an emulator for a generic dynamic model, given by a system of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-06 Carlo Albert

Macroscopic dynamical descriptions of complex physical systems are crucial for understanding and controlling material behavior. With the growing availability of data and compute, machine learning has become a promising alternative to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Mengyi Chen , Pengru Huang , Kostya S. Novoselov , Qianxiao Li

Several problems in modeling and control of stochastically-driven dynamical systems can be cast as regularized semi-definite programs. We examine two such representative problems and show that they can be formulated in a similar manner. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Armin Zare , Hesameddin Mohammadi , Neil K. Dhingra , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Mihailo R. Jovanović

For dynamical systems that can be modelled as asymptotically stable linear systems forced by Gaussian noise, this paper develops methods to infer or estimate their modes from observations in real time. The modes can be real or complex. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-30 Robert S. MacKay

Stochastic approximation is a framework unifying many random iterative algorithms occurring in a diverse range of applications. The stability of the process is often difficult to verify in practical applications and the process may even be…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

Finding reduced models of spatially-distributed chemical reaction networks requires an estimation of which effective dynamics are relevant. We propose a machine learning approach to this coarse graining problem, where a maximum entropy…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-08-15 Oliver K. Ernst , Thomas Bartol , Terrence Sejnowski , Eric Mjolsness

We consider the problem of estimating parameter sensitivities for stochastic models of multiscale reaction networks. These sensitivity values are important for model analysis, and, the methods that currently exist for sensitivity estimation…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash