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We prove limit theorems of an entirely new type for certain long memory regularly varying stationary infinitely divisible random processes. These theorems involve multiple phase transitions governed by how long the memory is. Apart from one…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Gennady Samorodnitsky , Yizao Wang

We provide escape rates formulae for piecewise expanding interval maps with `random holes'. Then we obtain rigorous approximations of invariant densities of randomly perturbed metabstable interval maps. We show that our escape rates…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Wael Bahsoun , Sandro Vaienti

We study nonstationary intermittent dynamical systems, such as compositions of a (deterministic) sequence of Pomeau-Manneville maps. We prove two main results: sharp bounds on memory loss, including the "unexpected" faster rate for a large…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-21 Alexey Korepanov , Juho Leppänen

We prove an invariance principle for non-stationary random processes and establish a rate of convergence under a new type of mixing condition. The dependence is exponentially decaying in the gap between the past and the future and is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Ion Grama , Émile Le Page , Marc Peigné

We prove vector-valued almost sure invariance principle (VASIP) for nonstationary dynamical systems, under assumptions of correlation decay and variance growth. Applications include VASIP for non-stationary (non)uniformly expanding…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Yaofeng Su

We established the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem for stopped sums of a class of martingale difference sequences.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Lahcen Ouchti

We derive some simple relations that demonstrate how the posterior convergence rate is related to two driving factors: a "penalized divergence" of the prior, which measures the ability of the prior distribution to propose a nonnegligible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-12 Wenxin Jiang

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals (CIs) for the population mean of $N$ values $\{x_1, \ldots, x_N\} \subset \Sigma^N$ based on a random sample of size $n$, denoted by $X^n \equiv (X_1, \ldots, X_n)$, drawn…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Aaditya Ramdas

Using changes of probability measure developed by \mbox{Grama} and Haeusler (Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 2000), we obtain two generalizations of the deviation inequalities of Lanzinger and Stadtm\"{u}ller (Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 2000)…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan

Using Zvonkin's transform and the Poisson equation in $R^d$ with a parameter, we prove the averaging principle for stochastic differential equations with time-dependent H\"older continuous coefficients. Sharp convergence rates with order…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Michael Röckner , Xiaobin Sun , Longjie Xie

We introduce a novel notion of invariance feedback entropy to quantify the state information that is required by any controller that enforces a given subset of the state space to be invariant. We establish a number of elementary properties,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-08-07 Mahendra Singh Tomar , Matthias Rungger , Majid Zamani

This paper focuses on systems of nonlinear second-order stochastic differential equations with multi-scales. The motivation for our study stems from mathematical physics and statistical mechanics, for examples, Langevin dynamics and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Nhu N. Nguyen , George Yin

Given a sequence $(M^n)^{\infty}_{n=1}$ of nonnegative martingales starting at $M^n_0=1$, we find a sequence of convex combinations $(\widetilde{M}^n)^{\infty}_{n=1}$ and a limiting process $X$ such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Christoph Czichowsky , Walter Schachermayer

We consider systems characterized by the presence of a rapidly oscillating force. A general method is presented for the construction of the effective action governing the large-scale nonlinear dynamics of such systems order by order in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-29 Afshin Besharat , Alexander A. Penin

This paper provides new uniform rate results for kernel estimators of absolutely regular stationary processes that are uniform in the bandwidth and in infinite-dimensional classes of dependent variables and regressors. Our results are…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-21 Juan Carlos Escanciano

In this paper, we obtain stability results for martingale representations in a very general framework. More specifically, we consider a sequence of martingales each adapted to its own filtration, and a sequence of random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Antonis Papapantoleon , Dylan Possamai , Alexandros Saplaouras

Much of statistics relies upon four key elements: a law of large numbers, a calculus to operationalize stochastic convergence, a central limit theorem, and a framework for constructing local approximations. These elements are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Anil Aswani

We develop a martingale approximation framework yielding quantitative maximal large deviations estimates for invertible dynamical systems. From suitable decay of correlations, we deduce these estimates and, as an application, we obtain…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-08 José F. Alves , João S. Matias , Ian Melbourne

In this paper, we study the averaging principle for a class of stochastic differential equations driven by $\alpha$-stable processes with slow and fast time-scales, where $\alpha\in(1,2)$. We prove that the strong and weak convergence order…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Xiaobin Sun , Longjie Xie , Yingchao Xie

The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Leonid , Kontorovich , Kavita Ramanan