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We present a reduction of the termination problem for a Turing machine (in the simplified form of the Post correspondence problem) to the problem of determining whether a continuous-time Markov chain presented as a set of Kappa…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-06-09 Vincent Danos , Nicolas Oury

A central task in many applications is reasoning about processes that change in a continuous time. The mathematical framework of Continuous Time Markov Processes provides the basic foundations for modeling such systems. Recently, Nodelman…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman , Daphne Koller , Raz Kupferman

This study introduces a novel approach for learning mixtures of Markov chains, a critical process applicable to various fields, including healthcare and the analysis of web users. Existing research has identified a clear divide in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Fabian Spaeh , Konstantinos Sotiropoulos , Charalampos E. Tsourakakis

In this paper we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time-varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-06 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

The focus of this article is on entropy and Markov processes. We study the properties of functionals which are invariant with respect to monotonic transformations and analyze two invariant "additivity" properties: (i) existence of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-12 A. N. Gorban , P. A. Gorban , G. Judge

In this paper, we are devoted to developing matrix-analytic methods for solving Poisson's equation for irreducible and positive recurrent discrete-time Markov chains (DTMCs). Two special solutions, including the deviation matrix D and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Jinpeng Liu , Yuanyuan Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

The asymptotic variance is an important criterion to evaluate the performance of Markov chains, especially for the central limit theorems. We give the variational formulas for the asymptotic variance of discrete-time (non-reversible) Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lu-Jing Huang , Yong-Hua Mao

In many dynamical systems in nature, the law of the dynamics changes along with the temporal evolution of the system. These changes are often associated with the occurrence of certain events. The timing of occurrence of these events…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-12 S. Gallo , G. Iacobelli , G. Ost , D. Y. Takahashi

We present a new family of models that is based on graphs that may have undirected, directed and bidirected edges. We name these new models marginal AMP (MAMP) chain graphs because each of them is Markov equivalent to some AMP chain graph…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-10 Jose M. Peña

Graphical models are popular statistical tools which are used to represent dependent or causal complex systems. Statistically equivalent causal or directed graphical models are said to belong to a Markov equivalent class. It is of great…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-30 Yangbo He , Jinzhu Jia , Bin Yu

Monte Carlo (MC) simulations of transport in random porous networks indicate that for high variances of the log-normal permeability distribution, the transport of a passive tracer is non-Fickian. Here we model this non-Fickian dispersion in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-08-01 Amir H. Delgoshaie , Patrick Jenny , Hamdi A. Tchelepi

We describe recent achievements in the theory of weight systems, which are functions on chord diagrams satisfying so-called $4$-term relations. Our main attention is devoted to constructions of weight systems. The two main sources of these…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-02-24 Maxim Kazaryan , Sergei Lando

Many complex systems exhibit interactions that depend not only on pairwise connections, but also group structures and memory effects. To capture such effects, we develop a unified tensor framework for modeling higher-order Markov chains…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Shaoxuan Cui , Lingfei Wang , Hildeberto Jardon-Kojakhmetov , Karl Henrik Johansson , Ming Cao

General characterizations of ergodic Markov chains have been developed in considerable detail. In this paper, we study the transience for discrete-time Markov chains on general state spaces, including the geometric transience and algebraic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Yong-Hua Mao , Yan-Hong Song

We investigate the structure of connected graphs, not necessarily locally finite, with infinitely many ends. On the one hand we study end-transitive such graphs and on the other hand we study such graphs with the property that the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Matthias Hamann

We consider the problem of uniformly generating a spanning tree, of a connected undirected graph. This process is useful to compute statistics, namely for phylogenetic trees. We describe a Markov chain for producing these trees. For cycle…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Luís M. S. Russo , Andreia Sofia Teixeira , Alexandre P Francisco

The problem of efficiently sampling from a set of (undirected, or directed) graphs with a given degree sequence has many applications. One approach to this problem uses a simple Markov chain, which we call the switch chain, to perform the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Catherine Greenhill , Matteo Sfragara

Graphical Markov models combine conditional independence constraints with graphical representations of stepwise data generating processes.The models started to be formulated about 40 years ago and vigorous development is ongoing.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-12 Nanny Wermuth

The number of observable degrees of freedom is typically limited in experiments. Here, we consider discrete Markov networks in which an observer has access to a few visible transitions and the waiting times between these transitions.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-26 Alexander M. Maier , Udo Seifert , Jann van der Meer

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci
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