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Polynomial Chaos Expansions represent a powerful tool to simulate stochastic models of dynamical systems. Yet, deriving the expansion's coefficients for complex systems might require a significant and non-trivial manipulation of the model,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-13 Lorenzo Fagiano , Mustafa Khammash

Polynomial chaos based methods enable the efficient computation of output variability in the presence of input uncertainty in complex models. Consequently, they have been used extensively for propagating uncertainty through a wide variety…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-18 Tuhin Sahai

Polynomial chaos is a powerful technique for propagating uncertainty through ordinary and partial differential equations. Random variables are expanded in terms of orthogonal polynomials and differential equations are derived for the…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-18 José Miguel Pasini , Tuhin Sahai

Uncertainty quantification seeks to provide a quantitative means to understand complex systems that are impacted by parametric uncertainty. The polynomial chaos method is a computational approach to solve stochastic partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Melvin Leok , Gautam Wilkins

In this paper, we develop a numerical approach based on Chaos expansions to analyze the sensitivity and the propagation of epistemic uncertainty through a queueing systems with breakdowns. Here, the quantity of interest is the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Katia Bachi , Cédric Chauvière , Hacène Djellout , Karim Abbas

Model predictive control is an advanced control approach for multivariable systems with constraints, which is reliant on an accurate dynamic model. Most real dynamic models are however affected by uncertainties, which can lead to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-10 E. Bradford , L. Imsland

The work presented here investigates the application of polynomial chaos expansion toward input shaper design in order to maintain robustness in dynamical systems subject to uncertainty. Furthermore, this work intends to specifically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-05 Johannes Güttler , Karan Baker , Premjit Saha , James Warner , Adrian Stein

In the context of uncertainty quantification, computational models are required to be repeatedly evaluated. This task is intractable for costly numerical models. Such a problem turns out to be even more severe for stochastic simulators, the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-29 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Methods based on polynomial chaos expansion allow to approximate the behavior of systems with uncertain parameters by deterministic dynamics. These methods are used in a wide range of applications, spanning from simulation of uncertain…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Rolf Findeisen , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser

A novel and efficient algorithm based on the Wiener chaos expansion is proposed for the stochastic Maxwell equations driven by Wiener process. The proposed algorithm can reduce the original stochastic system to the deterministic case and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Lihai Ji , Kuan Xue , Liying Zhang

This letter proposes a data-driven sparse polynomial chaos expansion-based surrogate model for the stochastic economic dispatch problem considering uncertainty from wind power. The proposed method can provide accurate estimations for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-20 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , Yunhe Hou , François Bouffard

A probabilistic performance-oriented controller design approach based on polynomial chaos expansion and optimization is proposed for flight dynamic systems. Unlike robust control techniques where uncertainties are conservatively handled,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-20 Dalong Shi , Xiang Fang , Florian Holzapfel

In this contribution, we discuss the construction of Polynomial Chaos surrogates for Monte Carlo radiation transport applications via non-intrusive spectral projection. This contribution focuses on improvements with respect to the approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Gianluca Geraci , Kayla Clements , Aaron J Olson

Stochastic expansion-based methods of uncertainty quantification, such as polynomial chaos and separated representations, require basis functions orthogonal with respect to the density of random inputs. Many modern engineering problems…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-06 Brandon A. Jones , Marc Balducci

This article considers the $\mathcal{H}_\infty$ static output-feedback control for linear time-invariant uncertain systems with polynomial dependence on probabilistic time-invariant parametric uncertainties. By applying polynomial chaos…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-02 Yiming Wan , Dongying E. Shen , Sergio Lucia , Rolf Findeisen , Richard D. Braatz

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a classical and widely used surrogate modeling technique in physical simulation and uncertainty quantification. By taking a linear combination of a set of basis polynomials - orthonormal with respect to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Johannes Exenberger , Sascha Ranftl , Robert Peharz

Stochastic spectral methods are efficient techniques for uncertainty quantification. Recently they have shown excellent performance in the statistical analysis of integrated circuits. In stochastic spectral methods, one needs to determine a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Zheng Zhang , Tarek A. El-Moselhy , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , Luca Daniel

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have proven efficiency in a number of fields for propagating parametric uncertainties through computational models of complex systems, namely structural and fluid mechanics, chemical reactions and…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-13 Chu V. Mai , Bruno Sudret

In this paper, we combine deterministic splitting methods with a polynomial chaos expansion method for solving stochastic parabolic evolution problems. The stochastic differential equation is reduced to a system of deterministic equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Andreas Kofler , Tijana Levajković , Hermann Mena , Alexander Ostermann

Stochastic economic dispatch models address uncertainties in forecasts of renewable generation output by considering a finite number of realizations drawn from a stochastic process model, typically via Monte Carlo sampling. Accurate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-08-24 Cosmin Safta , Richard L. -Y. Chen , Habib N. Najm , Ali Pinar , Jean-Paul Watson
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