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Variance in predictions across different trained models is a significant, under-explored source of error in fair binary classification. In practice, the variance on some data examples is so large that decisions can be effectively arbitrary.…

Machine learning tools have empowered a qualitatively new way to perform differential cross section measurements whereby the data are unbinned, possibly in many dimensions. Unbinned measurements can enable, improve, or at least simplify…

Machine learning models are susceptible to being misled by biases in training data that emphasize incidental correlations over the intended learning task. In this study, we demonstrate the impact of data bias on the performance of a machine…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-12-11 Ali Davariashtiyani , Busheng Wang , Samad Hajinazar , Eva Zurek , Sara Kadkhodaei

The original formulation of BEAMS - Bayesian Estimation Applied to Multiple Species - showed how to use a dataset contaminated by points of multiple underlying types to perform unbiased parameter estimation. An example is cosmological…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-02 James Newling , Bruce. A. Bassett , Renée Hlozek , Martin Kunz , Mathew Smith , Melvin Varughese

Publication bias arises whenever the probability that a study is published depends on the statistical significance of its results. This bias, often called the file-drawer effect since the unpublished results are imagined to be tucked away…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Jeffrey D. Scargle

Inverse Ising inference allows pairwise interactions of complex binary systems to be reconstructed from empirical correlations. Typical estimators used for this inference, such as Pseudo-likelihood maximization (PLM), are biased. Using the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-07-19 Maximilian Benedikt Kloucek , Thomas Machon , Shogo Kajimura , C. Patrick Royall , Naoki Masuda , Francesco Turci

Pairwise similarities and dissimilarities between data points might be easier to obtain than fully labeled data in real-world classification problems, e.g., in privacy-aware situations. To handle such pairwise information, an empirical risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Takuya Shimada , Han Bao , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

Bayesian variable selection has gained much empirical success recently in a variety of applications when the number $K$ of explanatory variables $(x_1,...,x_K)$ is possibly much larger than the sample size $n$. For generalized linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Wenxin Jiang

Observational data is often readily available in large quantities, but can lead to biased causal effect estimates due to the presence of unobserved confounding. Recent works attempt to remove this bias by supplementing observational data…

We consider a problem of data integration. Consider determining which genes affect a disease. The genes, which we call predictor objects, can be measured in different experiments on the same individual. We address the question of finding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-04 Xin Gao , Raymond J. Carroll

Most positive and unlabeled data is subject to selection biases. The labeled examples can, for example, be selected from the positive set because they are easier to obtain or more obviously positive. This paper investigates how learning can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-01 Jessa Bekker , Pieter Robberechts , Jesse Davis

In data mining, when binary prediction rules are used to predict a binary outcome, many performance measures are used in a vast array of literature for the purposes of evaluation and comparison. Some examples include classification…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-08 Zheng Yuan , Wenxin Jiang

The increasing availability of passively observed data has yielded a growing methodological interest in "data fusion." These methods involve merging data from observational and experimental sources to draw causal conclusions -- and they…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-15 Evan Rosenman , Art B. Owen

Data driven modelling is vital to many analyses at collider experiments, however the derived inference of physical properties becomes subject to details of the model fitting procedure. This work brings a principled Bayesian picture, based…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-05-23 David Yallup , Will Handley

Supervised (linear) embedding models like Wsabie and PSI have proven successful at ranking, recommendation and annotation tasks. However, despite being scalable to large datasets they do not take full advantage of the extra data due to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Jason Weston , Ron Weiss , Hector Yee

We investigate a new sampling scheme aimed at improving the performance of particle filters whenever (a) there is a significant mismatch between the assumed model dynamics and the actual system, or (b) the posterior probability tends to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-20 Ömer Deniz Akyıldız , Joaquín Míguez

This paper presents a quantitative user study to evaluate how well users can visually perceive the underlying data distribution from a histogram representation. We used different sample and bin sizes and four different distributions…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Raphael Sahann , Torsten Möller , Johanna Schmidt

Causal analysis may be affected by selection bias, which is defined as the systematic exclusion of data from a certain subpopulation. Previous work in this area focused on the derivation of identifiability conditions. We propose instead a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-03 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas , David Huber , Dario Azzimonti

The effect of bias on hypothesis formation is characterized for an automated data-driven projection pursuit neural network to extract and select features for binary classification of data streams. This intelligent exploratory process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-05 John Patterson , Chris Avery , Tyler Grear , Donald J. Jacobs

The mathematical models used to capture features of complex, biological systems are typically non-linear, meaning that there are no generally valid simple relationships between their outputs and the data that might be used to validate them.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-23 Thomas House
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