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The mean field spin glass model is analyzed by a combination of mathematically rigororous methods and a powerful Ansatz. The method exploited is general, and can be applied to others disordered mean field models such as, e.g., neural…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Francesco Baffioni , Francesco Rosati

Collaboration among multiple teams has played a major role in probabilistic forecasting events of influenza outbreaks, the COVID-19 pandemic, other disease outbreaks, and in many other fields. When collecting forecasts from individual…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-19 Spencer Wadsworth , Jarad Niemi , Nick Reich

One-flip stable configurations of an Ising-model on a random graph with fluctuating connectivity are examined. In order to perform the quenched average of the number of stable configurations we introduce a global order-parameter function…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Johannes Berg , Mauro Sellitto

In this pedagogical text aimed at those wanting to start thinking about or brush up on probabilistic inference, I review the rules by which probability distribution functions can (and cannot) be combined. I connect these rules to the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-05-22 David W. Hogg

In response to the comment made by Dr. Shirakura {\it et al} (cond-mat/0011235), we explain that their scaling forms of the order parameter distribution are inadequate. We then present an appropriate scaling form of the order parameter…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 H. Kitatani , A. Sinada

A research frontier has emerged in scientific computation, wherein numerical error is regarded as a source of epistemic uncertainty that can be modelled. This raises several statistical challenges, including the design of statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-19 François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates , Mark Girolami , Michael A. Osborne , Dino Sejdinovic

In this article, we introduce finite mixture models (FMMs) renowned for capturing population heterogeneity. Our focus lies in establishing stochastic comparisons between two arithmetic (finite) mixture models, employing the vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Raju Bhakta , Nuria Torrado , Sangita Das , Suchandan Kayal

An order parameter, termed the maximal row correlation, is proposed for classical spin systems. Monte Carlo simulations on various Potts models suggest that this order parameter is applicable to a broad range of spin systems, including…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-18 Yong-Yi Tang , Yin Zhong , Hantao Lu

Ising model with quenched random magnetic fields is examined for single Gaussian, bimodal and double Gaussian random field distributions by introducing an effective field approximation that takes into account the correlations between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-14 Yusuf Yüksel , Ümit Akıncı , Hamza Polat

Probability distribution theory helps in studying the impact of various dimensions in life while the Mittag-Leffler function and bicomplex are used in electromagnetism, quantum mechanics, and signal theory. Considering the importance of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Dharmendra Kumar Singh , Chinmay Sharma

We provide a general and rigorous proof for the strong consistency of maximum likelihood estimators of the cumulative distribution function of the mixing distribution and structural parameter under finite mixtures of location-scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Guanfu Liu , Pengfei Li , Yukun Liu , Xiaolong Pu

We study the probability distribution function of the long-time values of observables being time-evolved by Hamiltonians modeling clean and disordered one-dimensional chains of many spin-1/2 particles. In particular, we analyze the return…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-10-10 I. Vallejo-Fabila , E. Jonathan Torres-Herrera

The mutual information method has demonstrated to be very useful for deriving the potential order parameter of a system. Although the method suggests some constraints which help to define this quantity, there is still some freedom in the…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2024-10-08 Ivan Arraut , Wing Chi Yu

Consider random matrices $A$, of dimension $m\times (m+n)$, drawn from an ensemble with probability density $f(\rmtr AA^\dagger)$, with $f(x)$ a given appropriate function. Break $A = (B,X)$ into an $m\times m$ block $B$ and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Joshua Feinberg

In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Matthias Morzfeld , Marcus S. Day , Ray W. Grout , George Shu Heng Pau , Stefan A. Finsterle , John B. Bell

We present a Monte Carlo algorithm for selectively sampling radial distribution functions and effective interaction potentials in asymmetric liquid mixtures. We demonstrate its efficiency for hard-sphere mixtures, and for model systems with…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-13 J. G. Malherbe , Werner Krauth

The need to condition distributional properties such as expectation, variance, and entropy arises in algorithmic fairness, model simplification, robustness and many other areas. At face value however, distributional properties are not…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Zenna Tavares , Xin Zhang , Edgar Minaysan , Javier Burroni , Rajesh Ranganath , Armando Solar Lezama

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

This paper considers an extension of the multivariate symmetric Laplace distribution to matrix variate case. The symmetric Laplace distribution is a scale mixture of normal distribution. The maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

The probability density function (PDF) of a global measure in a large class of highly correlated systems has been suggested to be of the same functional form. Here, we identify the analytical form of the PDF of one such measure, the order…