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We establish some limit theorems for quasi-arithmetic means of random variables. This class of means contains the arithmetic, geometric and harmonic means. Our feature is that the generators of quasi-arithmetic means are allowed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-09 Yuichi Akaoka , Kazuki Okamura , Yoshiki Otobe

The study of discrete-time stochastic processes on the half-line with mean drift at $x$ given by $\mu_1 (x) \to 0$ as $x \to \infty$ is known as Lamperti's problem. We give sharp almost-sure bounds for processes of this type in the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-11 Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

We introduce a graceful approach to probabilistic inference called bounded conditioning. Bounded conditioning monotonically refines the bounds on posterior probabilities in a belief network with computation, and converges on final…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Eric J. Horvitz , Jaap Suermondt , Gregory F. Cooper

We establish a new class of functional central limit theorems for partial sum of certain symmetric stationary infinitely divisible processes with regularly varying L\'{e}vy measures. The limit process is a new class of symmetric stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-16 Takashi Owada , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We consider random multiplicative functions taking the values $\pm 1$. Using Stein's method for normal approximation, we prove a central limit theorem for the sum of such multiplicative functions in appropriate short intervals.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-03 Sourav Chatterjee , Kannan Soundararajan

Border's theorem gives an intuitive linear characterization of the feasible interim allocation rules of a Bayesian single-item environment, and it has several applications in economic and algorithmic mechanism design. All known…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-30 Parikshit Gopalan , Noam Nisan , Tim Roughgarden

In this paper, we consider the subcritical branching random walk in a random environment. We assume the branching and the step jump are independent; and the branching is in random envirenment, i.e., the particles in generation $n$ produce…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Fu Wenxin , Hong Wenming

It is well-known that conditioning a supercritical (multi-type) branching process on the event that it eventually becomes extinct yields a subcritical branching process. We study the corresponding inverse problem: given a subcritical…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Ewain Gwynne , Jiaqi Liu

We study the precise large deviation probabilities for the sizes of intermediate level sets in branching Brownian motion (BBM). Our conclusions improve a result of A\"{i}dekon, Hu and Shi in [J. Math. Sci. \textbf{238}(2019)]. Additionally,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Xinxin Chen , Heng Ma

We prove a limit theorem on the convergence of the distributions of the scaled last exit time over a slowly moving nonlinear boundary for a class of Gaussian stationary processes. The limit is a double exponential (Gumbel) distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Nikita Karagodin

We analyze the practices of reservoir computing in the framework of statistical learning theory. In particular, we derive finite sample upper bounds for the generalization error committed by specific families of reservoir computing systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Lukas Gonon , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We rigorously prove a central limit theorem for neural network models with a single hidden layer. The central limit theorem is proven in the asymptotic regime of simultaneously (A) large numbers of hidden units and (B) large numbers of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Justin Sirignano , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We prove a functional limit theorem for Markov chains that, in each step, move up or down by a possibly state dependent constant with probability $1/2$, respectively. The theorem entails that the law of every one-dimensional regular…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Stefan Ankirchner , Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov

We consider a particle transport process in a one-dimensional system with a thin membrane, described by a normal diffusion equation. We consider two boundary conditions at the membrane that are linear combinations of integral operators,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-24 Tadeusz Kosztołowicz , Aldona Dutkiewicz

Random boundary conditions are one of the simplest realizations of quenched disorder. They have been used as an illustration of various conceptual issues in the theory of disordered spin systems. Here we review some of these results.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-11-26 Eric O. Endo , Aernout C. D. van Enter , Arnaud Le Ny

This article concerns the performance limits of strictly causal state estimation for linear systems with fixed, but uncertain, parameters belonging to a finite set. In particular, we provide upper and lower bounds on the smallest achievable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-29 Olle Kjellqvist

We give a finite-sample analysis of predictive inference procedures after model selection in regression with random design. The analysis is focused on a statistically challenging scenario where the number of potentially important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Hannes Leeb

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

We study the existence of Feller semigroups arising in the theory of multidimensional diffusion processes. We study bounded perturbations of elliptic operators with boundary conditions containing an integral over the closure of the domain…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-05-05 Pavel Gurevich

We study the asymptotic behavior of the probability of non extinction of a weakly subcritical multitype branching process in iid random environments. Under suitable assumptions, the survival probability is of order of $\rho^n n ^{-3/2}$ for…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 M Peigné , C Pham