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The foundational concept of Max-Margin in machine learning is ill-posed for output spaces with more than two labels such as in structured prediction. In this paper, we show that the Max-Margin loss can only be consistent to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Alex Nowak-Vila , Alessandro Rudi , Francis Bach

This paper provides some extended results on estimating parameter matrix of several regression models when the covariate or response possesses weaker moment condition. We study the $M$-estimator of Fan et al. (Ann Stat 49(3):1239--1266,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Kangqiang Li , Songqiao Tang , Lixin Zhang

We provide a general theoretical analysis of expected out-of-sample utility, also referred to as decision-theoretic classification, for non-decomposable binary classification metrics such as F-measure and Jaccard coefficient. Our key result…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-08 Nagarajan Natarajan , Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Pradeep Ravikumar , Inderjit S. Dhillon

Invertibility conditions for observation-driven time series models often fail to be guaranteed in empirical applications. As a result, the asymptotic theory of maximum likelihood and quasi-maximum likelihood estimators may be compromised.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-11 F Blasques , P Gorgi , S Koopman , O Wintenberger

This article concerns the performance limits of strictly causal state estimation for linear systems with fixed, but uncertain, parameters belonging to a finite set. In particular, we provide upper and lower bounds on the smallest achievable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-29 Olle Kjellqvist

We tackle covariance estimation in low-sample scenarios, employing a structured covariance matrix with shrinkage methods. These involve convexly combining a low-bias/high-variance empirical estimate with a biased regularization estimator,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-28 Olivier Flasseur , Eric Thiébaut , Loïc Denis , Maud Langlois

We consider the selection of prediction models for Markovian time series. For this purpose, we study the theoretical properties of the hold-out method. In the econometrics literature, the hold-out method is called out-of-sample and is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-13 Remy Garnier , Raphaël Langhendries , Joseph Rynkiewicz

In an instrumental variable model, the score statistic can be bounded for any alternative in parts of the parameter space. These regions involve a constraint on the first-stage regression coefficients and the reduced-form covariance matrix.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Marcelo J. Moreira , Geert Ridder

This paper is devoted to the multivariate estimation of a vector of Poisson means. A novel loss function that penalises bad estimates of each of the parameters and the sum (or equivalently the mean) of the parameters is introduced. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Emil Aas Stoltenberg , Nils Lid Hjort

Mean-based estimators of causal effects in randomized experiments may behave poorly if the potential outcomes have a heavy tail or contain outliers. An alternative estimator proposed by Rosenbaum (1993) estimates a constant additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Aditya Ghosh , Nabarun Deb , Bikram Karmakar , Bodhisattva Sen

The rapid adoption of deep learning has increasingly led to data-driven models replacing classical model-based algorithms, even in domains governed by well-understood physical laws. While data-driven models, such as long short-term memory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Sooraj Sunil , Balakumar Balasingam

In the framework of matrix valued observables with low rank means, Stein's unbiased risk estimate (SURE) can be useful for risk estimation and for tuning the amount of shrinkage towards low rank matrices. This was demonstrated by Cand\`es…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-01 Niels Richard Hansen

When applying machine learning/statistical methods to the environmental sciences, nonlinear regression (NLR) models often perform only slightly better and occasionally worse than linear regression (LR). The proposed reason for this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-19 William W. Hsieh

The best subset selection (or "best subsets") estimator is a classic tool for sparse regression, and developments in mathematical optimization over the past decade have made it more computationally tractable than ever. Notwithstanding its…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Ryan Thompson

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Generalized linear mixed models are useful in studying hierarchical data with possibly non-Gaussian responses. However, the intractability of likelihood functions poses challenges for estimation. We develop a new method suitable for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-26 Zexi Song , Zhiqiang Tan

In this article, we study the performance of the estimator that minimizes $L_{2k}- $ order loss function (for $ k \ge \; 2 )$ against the estimators which minimizes the $L_2-$ order loss function (or the least squares estimator). Commonly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Gopal K Basak , Samarjit Das , Arijit De , Atanu Biswas

We observe a random measure $N$ and aim at estimating its intensity $s$. This statistical framework allows to deal simultaneously with the problems of estimating a density, the marginals of a multivariate distribution, the mean of a random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Yannick Baraud

The beta regression model is a useful framework to model response variables that are rates or proportions, that is to say, response variables which are continuous and restricted to the interval (0,1). As with any other regression model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-27 Luis Firinguetti , Manuel González-Navarrete , Romer Machaca-Aguilar

Estimating linear regression using least squares and reporting robust standard errors is very common in financial economics, and indeed, much of the social sciences and elsewhere. For thick tailed predictors under heteroskedasticity this…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-17 Neil Shephard