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We construct Monte Carlo methods for the $L^2$-approximation in Hilbert spaces of multivariate functions sampling no more than $n$ function values of the target function. Their errors catch up with the rate of convergence and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-16 David Krieg

Space filling designs are central to studying complex systems in various areas of science. They are used for obtaining an overall understanding of the behaviour of the response over the input space, model construction and uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-10 Shirin Golchi , Jason L. Loeppky

This paper proposes a new theory and methodology to tackle the problem of unifying distributed analyses and inferences on shared parameters from multiple sources, into a single coherent inference. This surprisingly challenging problem…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-22 Hongsheng Dai , Murray Pollock , Gareth Roberts

This paper is a broad and accessible survey of the methods we have at our disposal for Monte Carlo gradient estimation in machine learning and across the statistical sciences: the problem of computing the gradient of an expectation of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-30 Shakir Mohamed , Mihaela Rosca , Michael Figurnov , Andriy Mnih

We develop a classical Monte Carlo algorithm based on a quasi-classical approximation for a pseudospin S=1 Hamiltonian in real space to construct a phase diagram of a model cuprate with a high Tc. A model description takes into account both…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2021-10-25 Yu. D. Panov , A. S. Moskvin , A. A. Chikov , V. A. Ulitko

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo has emerged as a standard tool for posterior computation. In this article, we present an extension that can efficiently explore target distributions with discontinuous densities. Our extension in particular enables…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-09 Akihiko Nishimura , David Dunson , Jianfeng Lu

A Monte Carlo algorithm is said to be adaptive if it automatically calibrates its current proposal distribution using past simulations. The choice of the parametric family that defines the set of proposal distributions is critical for good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Christian Schäfer , Nicolas Chopin

Monte Carlo sampling is a powerful toolbox of algorithmic techniques widely used for a number of applications wherein some noisy quantity, or summary statistic thereof, is sought to be estimated. In this paper, we survey the literature for…

This paper develops a comprehensive probabilistic setup to compute approximating functions in active subspaces. Constantine et al. proposed the active subspace method in (Constantine et al., 2014) to reduce the dimension of computational…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Mario Teixeira Parente

In recent years dynamical systems (of deterministic and stochastic nature), describing many models in mathematics, physics, engineering and finances, become more and more complex. Numerical analysis narrowed only to deterministic algorithms…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Paweł Przybyłowicz

Monte Carlo methods represent a cornerstone of computer science. They allow to sample high dimensional distribution functions in an efficient way. In this paper we consider the extension of Automatic Differentiation (AD) techniques to Monte…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2023-07-31 Guilherme Catumba , Alberto Ramos , Bryan Zaldivar

Although histogram methods have been extremely effective for analyzing data from Monte Carlo simulations, they do have certain limitations, including the range over which they are valid and the difficulties of combining data from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Robert H. Swendsen , Jian-Sheng Wang , Shing-Te Li , Brian Diggs , Christopher Genovese , Joseph B. Kadane

When properly tuned, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo scales to some of the most challenging high-dimensional problems at the frontiers of applied statistics, but when that tuning is suboptimal the performance leaves much to be desired. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-05 Michael Betancourt

We present a new Subset Simulation approach using Hamiltonian neural network-based Monte Carlo sampling for reliability analysis. The proposed strategy combines the superior sampling of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-11 Denny Thaler , Somayajulu L. N. Dhulipala , Franz Bamer , Bernd Markert , Michael D. Shields

The behaviour of the one--dimensional random--forced Burgers equation is investigated in the path integral formalism, using a discrete space--time lattice. We show that by means of Monte Carlo methods one may evaluate observables, such as…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-01-14 P. Düben , D. Homeier , K. Jansen , D. Mesterhazy , G. Münster , C. Urbach

Weighted histograms in Monte Carlo simulations are often used for the estimation of probability density functions. They are obtained as a result of random experiments with random events that have weights. In this paper, the bin contents of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-03-02 N. D. Gagunashvili

We propose to use deep neural networks for generating samples in Monte Carlo integration. Our work is based on non-linear independent components estimation (NICE), which we extend in numerous ways to improve performance and enable its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Thomas Müller , Brian McWilliams , Fabrice Rousselle , Markus Gross , Jan Novák

Active subspaces can effectively reduce the dimension of high-dimensional parameter studies enabling otherwise infeasible experiments with expensive simulations. The key components of active subspace methods are the eigenvectors of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-03 Paul Constantine , David Gleich

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is a widely used algorithm for sampling from posterior distributions of complex Bayesian models. It can efficiently explore high-dimensional parameter spaces guided by simulated Hamiltonian flows. However, the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-29 Lingge Li , Andrew Holbrook , Babak Shahbaba , Pierre Baldi

Acceptance-rejection (AR), Independent Metropolis Hastings (IMH) or importance sampling (IS) Monte Carlo (MC) simulation algorithms all involve computing ratios of probability density functions (pdfs). On the other hand, classifiers…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-11 Elouan Argouarc'h , François Desbouvries