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We consider fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameters from (1/2,1). We found that the increment of a fractional Brownian motion can be represented as the sum of a two independent Gaussian processes one of which is smooth in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Nikolai Dokuchaev

The aim of this article is to design a moment transformation for Student- t distributed random variables, which is able to account for the error in the numerically computed mean. We employ Student-t process quadrature, an instance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Jakub Prüher , Filip Tronarp , Toni Karvonen , Simo Särkkä , Ondřej Straka

In this paper we display a family of Gaussian processes, with explicit formulas and transforms. This is presented with the use of duality tools in such a way that the corresponding path-space measures are mutually singular. We make use of a…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-04-27 Daniel Alpay , Palle Jorgensen , Motke Porat

This paper presents a new model called infinite mixtures of multivariate Gaussian processes, which can be used to learn vector-valued functions and applied to multitask learning. As an extension of the single multivariate Gaussian process,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-07-29 Shiliang Sun

The solution to a multivariate linear Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) with constant initial state is well known to be a Gaussian Markov process, but its covariance kernel involves the solution to an integral equation in the general…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Kerry Fendick

In object tracking and state estimation problems, ambiguous evidence such as imprecise measurements and the absence of detections can contain valuable information and thus be leveraged to further refine the probabilistic belief state. In…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-23 Keith A. LeGrand , Silvia Ferrari

Data-driven discovery of "hidden physics" -- i.e., machine learning of differential equation models underlying observed data -- has recently been approached by embedding the discovery problem into a Gaussian Process regression of spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-05 Mamikon Gulian , Maziar Raissi , Paris Perdikaris , George Karniadakis

The paper deals with the expected maxima of continuous Gaussian processes $X = (X_t)_{t\ge 0}$ that are H\"older continuous in $L_2$-norm and/or satisfy the opposite inequality for the $L_2$-norms of their increments. Examples of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-04 Konstantin Borovkov , Yuliya Mishura , Alexander Novikov , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

Classical option pricing schemes assume that the value of a financial asset follows a geometric Brownian motion (GBM). However, a growing body of studies suggest that a simple GBM trajectory is not an adequate representation for asset…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-03 Viktor Stojkoski , Trifce Sandev , Lasko Basnarkov , Ljupco Kocarev , Ralf Metzler

Ice cores provide insight into the past climate over many millennia. Due to ice compaction, the raw data for any single core are irregular in time. Multiple cores have different irregularities; jointly these series are misaligned. After…

Applications · Statistics 2014-09-23 Thinh K. Doan , Andrew C. Parnell , John Haslett

Bayesian model updating based on Gaussian Process (GP) models has received attention in recent years, which incorporates kernel-based GPs to provide enhanced fidelity response predictions. Although most kernel functions provide high fitting…

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

We consider different types of processes obtained by composing Brownian motion $B(t)$, fractional Brownian motion $B_{H}(t)$ and Cauchy processes $% C(t)$ in different manners. We study also multidimensional iterated processes in…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-06 Luisa Beghin , Enzo Orsingher , Lyudmyla Sakhno

A new type of nonstationary Gaussian process model is developed for approximating computationally expensive functions. The new model is a composite of two Gaussian processes, where the first one captures the smooth global trend and the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Shan Ba , V. Roshan Joseph

Gaussian processes (GPs) are crucial in machine learning for quantifying uncertainty in predictions. However, their associated covariance matrices, defined by kernel functions, are typically dense and large-scale, posing significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Theresa Wagner , Tianshi Xu , Franziska Nestler , Yuanzhe Xi , Martin Stoll

GNSS localization is an important part of today's autonomous systems, although it suffers from non-Gaussian errors caused by non-line-of-sight effects. Recent methods are able to mitigate these effects by including the corresponding…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-20 Tim Pfeifer , Peter Protzel

In this paper we consider Bayesian parameter inference for partially observed fractional Brownian motion (fBM) models. The approach we follow is to time-discretize the hidden process and then to design Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-02 Mohamed Maama , Ajay Jasra , Hernando Ombao

We develop a (nearly) unbiased particle filtering algorithm for a specific class of continuous-time state-space models, such that (a) the latent process $X_t$ is a linear Gaussian diffusion; and (b) the observations arise from a Poisson…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-07 Ruiyang Jin , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Nicolas Chopin

Gaussian mixtures are a powerful and widely used tool to model non-Gaussian estimation problems. They are able to describe measurement errors that follow arbitrary distributions and can represent ambiguity in assignment tasks like point set…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Tim Pfeifer , Sven Lange , Peter Protzel

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely-used tools in spatial statistics and machine learning and the formulae for the mean function and covariance kernel of a GP $T u$ that is the image of another GP $u$ under a linear transformation $T$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Tadashi Matsumoto , T. J. Sullivan