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We develop a novel Monte Carlo algorithm for the vector consisting of the supremum, the time at which the supremum is attained and the position at a given (constant) time of an exponentially tempered L\'evy process. The algorithm, based on…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-20 Jorge Ignacio González Cázares , Aleksandar Mijatović

This work introduces meta estimators that combine multiple multifidelity techniques based on control variates, importance sampling, and information reuse to yield a quasi-multiplicative amount of variance reduction. The proposed meta…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-01-19 Frederick Law , Antoine Cerfon , Benjamin Peherstorfer , Florian Wechsung

Completely random measures provide a principled approach to creating flexible unsupervised models, where the number of latent features is infinite and the number of features that influence the data grows with the size of the data set. Due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Peiyuan Zhu , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Trevor Campbell

Parallel tempering Monte Carlo simulations have been applied to a variety of systems presenting rugged free-energy landscapes. Despite this, its efficiency depends strongly on the temperature set. With this query in mind, we present a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-20 Carlos E. Fiore

We report microcanonical Monte Carlo simulations of melting and superheating of a generic, Lennard-Jones system starting from the crystalline phase. The isochoric curve, the melting temperature $T_m$ and the critical superheating…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-20 Sergio Davis , Gonzalo Gutiérrez

We present a probabilistic generative model for timing deviations in expressive music performance. The structure of the proposed model is equivalent to a switching state space model. The switch variables correspond to discrete note…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-27 A. T. Cemgil , B. Kappen

Prior works have shown that in-context learning is brittle to presentation factors such as the order, number, and choice of selected examples. However, ablation-based guidance on selecting the number of examples may ignore the interplay…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Stephanie Schoch , Yangfeng Ji

Monte Carlo sampling techniques have been proposed as a strategy to reduce the computational cost of contractions in tensor network approaches to solving many-body systems. Here we put forward a variational Monte Carlo approach for the…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2012-05-01 Andrew J. Ferris , Guifre Vidal

Detailed studies of the thermodynamic properties of selected binary Lennard-Jones clusters of the type X_{13-n}Y_n (where n=1,2,3) are presented. The total energy, heat capacity and first derivative of the heat capacity as a function of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Dubravko Sabo , Cristian Predescu , J. D. Doll , David L. Freeman

We report on what seems to be an intriguing connection between variable integration time and partial velocity refreshment of Ideal Hamiltonian Monte Carlo samplers, both of which can be used for reducing the dissipative behavior of the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-20 Qijia Jiang

Monte Carlo methods play an important role in scientific computation, especially when problems have a vast phase space. In this lecture an introduction to the Monte Carlo method is given. Concepts such as Markov chains, detailed balance,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-05 Helmut G. Katzgraber

We study the efficiency of parallel tempering Monte Carlo technique for calculating true ground states of the Edwards-Anderson spin glass model. Bimodal and Gaussian bond distributions were considered in two and three-dimensional lattices.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 F. Roma , S. Risau-Gusman , A. J. Ramirez-Pastor , F. Nieto , E. E. Vogel

Monte Carlo rendering algorithms often utilize correlations between pixels to improve efficiency and enhance image quality. For real-time applications in particular, repeated reservoir resampling offers a powerful framework to reuse samples…

Graphics · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Rohan Sawhney , Daqi Lin , Markus Kettunen , Benedikt Bitterli , Ravi Ramamoorthi , Chris Wyman , Matt Pharr

Estimating failure probabilities of engineering systems is an important problem in many engineering fields. In this work we consider such problems where the failure probability is extremely small (e.g $\leq10^{-10}$). In this case, standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Xinjuan Chen , Jinglai Li

The kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) method is used in many scientific fields in applications involving rare-event transitions. Due to its discrete stochastic nature, efforts to parallelize kMC approaches often produce unbalanced time evolutions…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-01-04 Jerome P. Nilmeier , Jaime Marian

The reliability of a complex industrial system can rarely be assessed analytically. As system failure is often a rare event, crude Monte-Carlo methods are prohibitively expensive from a computational point of view. In order to reduce…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-03 H. Chraibi , A. Dutfoy , T. Galtier , J. Garnier

We present a hybrid method for time-dependent particle transport that combines Monte Carlo (MC) estimation with a deterministic discrete ordinates (\(S_N\)) solve, augmented by quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) sampling. For spatial discretizations,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Johannes Krotz , Ryan G. McClarren

We propose a modification, based on the RESTART (repetitive simulation trials after reaching thresholds) and DPR (dynamics probability redistribution) rare event simulation algorithms, of the standard diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) algorithm.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Martin Hairer , Jonathan Weare

The problem of optimising functions with intractable gradients frequently arise in machine learning and statistics, ranging from maximum marginal likelihood estimation procedures to fine-tuning of generative models. Stochastic approximation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 James Cuin , Davide Carbone , Yanbo Tang , O. Deniz Akyildiz

We present a theoretical and numerical analysis of Monte Carlo methods for the estimation of statistical moments of random variables $X:\Omega\rightarrow E$ taking values in a Banach space $E$. For practical computation, we consider…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Kristin Kirchner , Fabio Nobile , Christoph Schwab , Tommaso Vanzan