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Quasi-Monte Carlo methods have proven to be effective extensions of traditional Monte Carlo methods in, amongst others, problems of quadrature and the sample path simulation of stochastic differential equations. By replacing the random…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-12 Casper H. L. Beentjes , Ruth E. Baker

Solving decision problems in complex, stochastic environments is often achieved by estimating the expected outcome of decisions via Monte Carlo sampling. However, sampling may overlook rare, but important events, which can severely impact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-16 Lachlan Gibson , Marcus Hoerger , Dirk Kroese

Monte Carlo methods, Variational Inference, and their combinations play a pivotal role in sampling from intractable probability distributions. However, current studies lack a unified evaluation framework, relying on disparate performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Denis Blessing , Xiaogang Jia , Johannes Esslinger , Francisco Vargas , Gerhard Neumann

Modern problems in astronomical Bayesian inference require efficient methods for sampling from complex, high-dimensional, often multi-modal probability distributions. Most popular methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling, perform…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-16 Will Vousden , Will M. Farr , Ilya Mandel

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are essential tools in computational statistics for sampling from unnormalised probability distributions, but can be fragile when targeting high-dimensional, multimodal, or complex target…

We introduce and implement an importance-sampling Monte Carlo algorithm to study systems of globally-coupled oscillators. Our computational method efficiently obtains estimates of the tails of the distribution of various measures of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-07-12 Shamik Gupta , Jorge C. Leitao , Eduardo G. Altmann

Fast and accurate sampling method is in high demand, in order to bridge the large gaps between molecular dynamic simulations and experimental observations. Recently, integrated tempering enhanced sampling method (ITS) has been proposed and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-22 Zhiyi You , Liying Li , Jianfeng Lu , Hao Ge

From Physics and Biology to Seismology and Economics, the behaviour of countless systems is determined by impactful yet unlikely transitions between metastable states known as \emph{rare events}, the study of which is essential for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-07-22 Solomon Asghar , Qing-Xiang Pei , Giorgio Volpe , Ran Ni

In many real-world engineering systems, the performance or reliability of the system is characterised by a scalar parameter. The distribution of this performance parameter is important in many uncertainty quantification problems, ranging…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-03 Robert Millar , Jinglai Li , Hui Li

In recent years the Swap Monte Carlo algorithm has led to remarkable progress in equilibrating supercooled model liquids at low temperatures. Applications have so far been limited to systems composed of spherical particles, however, whereas…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-09-05 Till Böhmer , Jeppe C. Dyre , Lorenzo Costigliola

Parallel tempering, also known as replica exchange Monte Carlo, is studied in the context of two simple free energy landscapes. The first is a double well potential defined by two macrostates separated by a barrier. The second is a `golf…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Jon Machta

Adaptive Monte Carlo methods are very efficient techniques designed to tune simulation estimators on-line. In this work, we present an alternative to stochastic approximation to tune the optimal change of measure in the context of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-23 Benjamin Jourdain , Jérôme Lelong

Parallel tempering is a meta-algorithm for Markov Chain Monte Carlo that uses multiple chains to sample from tempered versions of the target distribution, enhancing mixing in multi-modal distributions that are challenging for traditional…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-30 Daniel Zhao , Natesh S. Pillai

We consider systems of stochastic differential equations with multiple scales and small noise and assume that the coefficients of the equations are ergodic and stationary random fields. Our goal is to construct provably-efficient importance…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-29 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Integrated tempering sampling (ITS) method is an approach to enhance the sampling over a broad range of energies and temperatures in computer simulations. In this paper, a new version of integrated tempering sampling method is proposed. In…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Peng Zhao , Li Jiang Yang , Yi Qin Gao , Zhong-Yuan Lu

We report the results of Monte Carlo simulations on several spin glass models at low temperatures. By using the parallel tempering (Exchange Monte Carlo) technique we are able to equilibrate down to low temperatures, for moderate sizes, and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Helmut G. Katzgraber , Matteo Palassini , A. P. Young

Recent years have seen a rise in the application of machine learning techniques to aid the simulation of hard-to-sample systems that cannot be studied using traditional methods. Despite the introduction of many different architectures and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-10-09 Luca Maria Del Bono , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi , Francesco Zamponi

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

We introduce an algorithm to systematically improve the efficiency of parallel tempering Monte Carlo simulations by optimizing the simulated temperature set. Our approach is closely related to a recently introduced adaptive algorithm that…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Helmut G. Katzgraber , Simon Trebst , David A. Huse , Matthias Troyer

Monte Carlo simulation techniques, like simulated annealing and parallel tempering, are often used to evaluate low-temperature properties and find ground states of disordered systems. Here we compare these methods using direct calculations…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 J. J. Moreno , H. G. Katzgraber , Alexander K. Hartmann