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In this paper we consider a fractional stochastic volatility model, that is a model in which the volatility may exhibit a long-range dependent or a rough/antipersistent behavior. We propose a dynamic sequential Monte Carlo methodology that…
The asymptotic analysis of a class of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with fully locally monotone coefficients covering a large variety of physical systems, a wide class of quasilinear SPDEs and a good number of fluid…
In this paper, we introduce a time-continuous production model that enables random machine failures, where the failure probability depends historically on the production itself. This bidirectional relationship between historical failure…
We prove that the stationary measure associated to a boundary driven exclusion process in any dimension satisfies a large deviation principle with rate function given by the quasi potential of the Freidlin and Wentzell theory.
We consider compartmental models in epidemiology. For the study of the divergence of the stochastic model from its corresponding deterministic limit (i.e., the solution of an ODE) for long time horizon, a large deviations principle suggests…
We study random compressible viscous magnetohydrodynamic flows. Combining the Monte Carlo method with a deterministic finite volume method we solve the random system numerically. Quantitative error estimates including statistical and…
We study the statistics of the efficiency in a class of isothermal cyclic machines with realistic coupling between the internal degrees of freedom. We derive, under fairly general assumptions, the probability distribution function for the…
A method for analytic continuation of imaginary-time correlation functions (here obtained in quantum Monte Carlo simulations) to real-frequency spectral functions is proposed. Stochastically sampling a spectrum parametrized by a large…
Existing variance reduction techniques used in stochastic simulations for rare event analysis still require a substantial number of model evaluations to estimate small failure probabilities. In the context of complex, nonlinear finite…
The theory of large deviations deals with the probabilities of rare events (or fluctuations) that are exponentially small as a function of some parameter, e.g., the number of random components of a system, the time over which a stochastic…
This work addresses some asymptotic behavior of solutions to the stochastic convective Brinkman-Forchheimer (SCBF) equations perturbed by multiplicative Gaussian noise in bounded domains. Using a weak convergence approach of Budhiraja and…
We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…
We investigate the density large deviation function for a multidimensional conservation law in the vanishing viscosity limit, when the probability concentrates on weak solutions of a hyperbolic conservation law conservation law. When the…
We establish the well-posedness of stationary solutions for a class of SPDEs with locally monotone coefficients, and prove the Freidlin--Wentzell large deviation principle (LDP) for these stationary solutions. The LDP for the associated…
We establish a Large Deviations Principle for stochastic processes with Lipschitz continuous oblique reflections on regular domains. The rate functional is given as the value function of a control problem and is proved to be good. The proof…
Averaging is an important method to extract effective macroscopic dynamics from complex systems with slow modes and fast modes. This article derives an averaged equation for a class of stochastic partial differential equations without any…
In this paper, we study the large deviation principle of invariant measures of stochastic reaction-diffusion lattice systems driven by multiplicative noise. We first show that any limit of a sequence of invariant measures of the stochastic…
A large deviation principle is established for a general class of stochastic flows in the small noise limit. This result is then applied to a Bayesian formulation of an image matching problem, and an approximate maximum likelihood property…
Models and methods that are able to accurately and efficiently predict the flows of low-speed rarefied gases are in high demand, due to the increasing ability to manufacture devices at micro and nano scales. One such model and method is a…
This work extends the variance reduction method for the pricing of possibly path-dependent derivatives, which was developed in (Genin and Tankov, 2016) for exponential L\'evy models, to affine stochastic volatility models (Keller-Ressel,…