English
Related papers

Related papers: Probability of Failure in Hypersonic Engines Using…

200 papers

It is well known that symplectic methods have been rigorously shown to be superior to non-symplectic ones especially in long-time computation, when applied to deterministic Hamiltonian systems. In this paper, we attempt to study the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Chuchu Chen , Jialin Hong , Diancong Jin , Liying Sun

Estimating the probability of failure is a critical step in developing safety-critical autonomous systems. Direct estimation methods such as Monte Carlo sampling are often impractical due to the rarity of failures in these systems. Existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Harrison Delecki , Sydney M. Katz , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

The method of choice for integrating the time-dependent Fokker-Planck equation in high-dimension is to generate samples from the solution via integration of the associated stochastic differential equation. Here, we study an alternative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Nicholas M. Boffi , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

In this review, an outline of the so called Freidlin-Wentzell theory and its recent extensions is given. Broadly, this theory studies the exponential rate at which the probabilities of rare events related to random perturbation of ODE…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Sergio A. Almada Monter

The theory of large deviations is concerned with the exponential decay of probabilities of large fluctuations in random systems. These probabilities are important in many fields of study, including statistics, finance, and engineering, as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-20 Hugo Touchette

We consider a multiscale system of stochastic differential equations in which the slow component is perturbed by a small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H>1/2$ and the fast component is driven by an independent Brownian motion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Siragan Gailus , Ioannis Gasteratos

This work focuses on multivalued stochastic differential equations with jumps. First, by employing the weak convergence approach, we establish the Freidlin-Wentzell uniform large deviation principle and the Dembo-Zeitouni uniform large…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Huijie Qiao

The large deviation function for entropy production is calculated for a particle driven along a periodic potential by solving a time-independent eigenvalue problem. In an intermediate force regime, the large deviation function shows…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-01-15 Jakob Mehl , Thomas Speck , Udo Seifert

For complex latent variable models, the likelihood function is not available in closed form. In this context, a popular method to perform parameter estimation is Importance Weighted Variational Inference. It essentially maximizes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Badr-Eddine Cherief-Abdellatif , Randal Douc , Arnaud Doucet , Hugo Marival

Importance sampling is a popular method for efficient computation of various properties of a distribution such as probabilities, expectations, quantiles etc. The output of an importance sampling algorithm can be represented as a weighted…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-18 Henrik Hult , Pierre Nyquist

This article is devoted to the design of importance sampling method for the Monte Carlo simulation of a linear transport equation. This model is of great importance in the simulation of inertial confinement fusion experiments. Our method is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-18 X Blanc , C Bordin , G Kluth , G Samba

We study the performance -- and specifically the rate at which the error probability converges to zero -- of Machine Learning (ML) classification techniques. Leveraging the theory of large deviations, we provide the mathematical conditions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-18 Paolo Braca , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Augusto Aubry , Stefano Marano , Antonio De Maio , Peter Willett

We introduce a variational algorithm to estimate the likelihood of a rare event within a nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulation through the evaluation of an optimal control force. Optimization of a control force within a chosen basis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-14 Avishek Das , David T. Limmer

We establish a comprehensive sample path large deviation principle (LDP) for log-processes associated with multivariate time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models. Examples of models for which the new LDP holds include Gaussian models,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Archil Gulisashvili

We prove a large deviation principle of Freidlin-Wentzell's type for the multivalued stochastic differential equations with monotone drifts, which in particular contains a class of SDEs with reflection in a convex domain.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-31 Jiagang Ren , Siyan Xu , Xicheng Zhang

In this paper, a simulation-based method for the analysis and design of abstracted models for a stochastic hybrid system is proposed. The accuracy of a model is evaluated in terms of its capability to reproduce the system output for all the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-05-29 M. Prandini , S. Garatti , R. Vignali

The stochastic efficiency of effusion as a thermal engine is investigated within the framework of stochastic thermodynamics. Explicit results are obtained for the probability distribution of the efficiency both at finite times and in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-02-10 Karel Proesmans , Bart Cleuren , Christian Van Den Broeck

We consider a generic Hamiltonian system of nonlinear interacting waves with 3-wave interactions. In the kinetic regime of wave turbulence, which assumes weak nonlinearity and large system size, the relevant observable associated with the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-07 Jules Guioth , Freddy Bouchet , Gregory L. Eyink

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

We establish large deviation principle (LDP) for the family of vector-valued random processes $(X^\epsilon,Y^\epsilon),\epsilon\to 0$ defined as $$ X^\epsilon_t=\frac{1}{\epsilon^\kappa}\int_0^t H(\xi^\epsilon_s,Y^\epsilon_s)ds,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 A. Guillin , R. Liptser