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Related papers: Ergodicity, Decisions, and Partial Information

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In many real world problems, optimization decisions have to be made with limited information. The decision maker may have no a priori or posteriori data about the often nonconvex objective function except from on a limited number of points…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Tansu Alpcan

This paper deals with a general class of observation-driven time series models with a special focus on time series of counts. We provide conditions under which there exist strict-sense stationary and ergodic versions of such processes. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-23 Randal Douc , Paul Doukhan , Eric Moulines

Iterative trajectory optimization techniques for non-linear dynamical systems are among the most powerful and sample-efficient methods of model-based reinforcement learning and approximate optimal control. By leveraging time-variant local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-01 Onur Celik , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

Consider a decision maker who is responsible to dynamically collect observations so as to enhance his information about an underlying phenomena of interest in a speedy manner while accounting for the penalty of wrong declaration. Due to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-12-19 Mohammad Naghshvar , Tara Javidi

We introduce a simple analysis of the structural complexity of infinite-memory processes built from random samples of stationary, ergodic finite-memory component processes. Such processes are familiar from the well known multi-arm Bandit…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-04-03 James P. Crutchfield , Sarah Marzen

From ancient philosophers to modern economists, biologists, and other researchers, there has been a continuous effort to unveil causal relations. The most formidable challenge lies in deducing the nature of the causal relationship: whether…

A truncated sequential procedure is constructed for estimating the drift coefficient at a given state point based on discrete data of ergodic diffusion process. A nonasymptotic upper bound is obtained for a pointwise absolute error risk.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 L. I. Galtchouk , S. M. Pergamenshchikov

This paper considers an ergodic version of the bounded velocity follower problem, assuming that the decision maker lacks knowledge of the underlying system parameters and must learn them while simultaneously controlling. We propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-07 Stefan Ankirchner , Sören Christensen , Jan Kallsen , Philip Le Borne , Stefan Perko

We introduce a variant of the asymmetric random average process with continuous state variables where the maximal transport is restricted by a cutoff. For periodic boundary conditions, we show the existence of a phase transition between a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Frank Zielen , Andreas Schadschneider

Dynamical processes can be classified in various ways as deterministic or stochastic, and continuous or discrete time. All these types can be studied by the path-spaces they generate, and stationary measures on that path-space. Such…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Suddhasattwa Das

Multi-stage decision-making under uncertainty, where decisions are taken under sequentially revealing uncertain problem parameters, is often essential to faithfully model managerial problems. Given the significant computational challenges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Simon Thomä , Maximilian Schiffer , Wolfram Wiesemann

In order to solve complex, long-horizon tasks, intelligent robots need to carry out high-level, abstract planning and reasoning in conjunction with motion planning. However, abstract models are typically lossy and plans or policies computed…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Naman Shah , Siddharth Srivastava

We propose a data-driven portfolio selection model that integrates side information, conditional estimation and robustness using the framework of distributionally robust optimization. Conditioning on the observed side information, the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-10 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Shanshan Wang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

Understanding a complex system entails capturing the non-trivial collective phenomena that arise from interactions between its different parts. Information theory is a flexible and robust framework to study such behaviours, with several…

We consider stochastic programs conditional on some covariate information, where the only knowledge of the possible relationship between the uncertain parameters and the covariates is reduced to a finite data sample of their joint…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales

We derive the explicit solutions to singular stochastic control problems of the monotone follower type with (a) an expected discounted criterion, (b) an expected ergodic criterion and (c) a pathwise ergodic criterion. These problems have…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-05 Gechun Liang , Zhesheng Liu , Mihail Zervos

Biological information processing manifests a huge variety in its complexity and capability among different organisms, which presumably stems from the evolutionary optimization under limited computational resources. Starting from the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-10-21 Takehiro Tottori , Tetsuya J. Kobayashi

Any reliable biomarker has to be specific, generalizable, and reproducible across individuals and contexts. The exact values of such a biomarker must represent similar health states in different individuals and at different times within the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-12 Madhur Mangalam , Arash Sadri , Junichiro Hayano , Eiichi Watanabe , Ken Kiyono , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

Individual components such as cells, particles, or agents within a larger system often require detailed understanding of their relative position to act accordingly, enabling the system as a whole to function in an organised and efficient…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-28 Jonas Berx , Prashant Singh , Karel Proesmans

We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock
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