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Total solar irradiance variations, about 0.1% between solar activity maximum and minimum, are available from accurate satellite measurements since 1978 and thus do not provide useful information on longer-term secular trends. Recently,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-05-23 S. Sello

Solar activity has a cyclic nature with the ~11-year Schwabe cycle dominating its variability on the interannual timescale. However, solar cycles are significantly modulated in length, shape and magnitude, from near-spotless grand minima to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-29 Akash Biswas , Bidya Karak , Ilya Usoskin , Eckhard Weisshaar

The sunspot number data during the past 400 years indicates that both the profile and the amplitude of the solar cycle have large variations. Some precursors of the solar cycle were identified aiming to predict the solar cycle. The polar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Jie Jiang

It has recently been discovered that the time phases (time-varying delays) of the irregular periodicities observed in the Sunspot series, consisting of the approximate 27-day latitude-averaged plasma rotation and approximate 11-yr magnetic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-24 William A. Gardner , Antonio Napolitano

Sunspot Cycle 25 over 3 years past the cycle minimum of December 2019. At this point, curve-fitting becomes reliable and consistently indicates a maximum sunspot number of 135+/-10 - slightly larger than Cycle 24's maximum of 116.4, but…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-02 Lisa A. Upton , David H. Hathaway

Recently, using Greenwich and Solar Optical Observing Network sunspot group data during the period 1874-2006, (Javaraiah, MNRAS, 377, L34, 2007: Paper I), has found that: (1) the sum of the areas of the sunspot groups in 0-10 deg latitude…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-08-31 J. Javaraiah

The unexpected development of cycle 24 emphasizes the need for a better way to model future solar activity. In this article, we analyze the accumulation of spotless days during individual cycles from 1798-2010. The analysis shows that…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-04-27 M. Lindholm Nielsen , H. Kjeldsen

We analyzed the size, intensity, and magnetic field strength of sunspot umbrae to compare the present cycle 24 with the previous one. We used data of the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager onboard the Solar Dynamics Observatory and selected…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 Christoph Kiess , Reza Rezaei , Wolfgang Schmidt

The extension of the sunspot number series backward in time is of considerable interest for dynamo theory, solar, stellar, and climate research. We have used records of the Be-10 concentration in polar ice to reconstruct the average sunspot…

The slopes of the linear relations between sunspot and white light (WL) facular areas at the onset of sunspot Cycles 12-21 correlate well with the amplitudes of those cycles between 1878-1980 (Brown and Evans, 1980). We use continuum images…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-10 Peter Foukal

We analyzed the daily sunspot-group data reported by the Greenwich Photoheliographic Results (GPR) during the period 1874-1976 and Debrecen Photoheliographic Data (DPD) during the period 1977-2017 and studied North-South asymmetry in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-29 J. Javaraiah

We create a continuous series of daily and monthly hemispheric sunspot numbers (HSNs) from 1874 to 2020, which will be continuously expanded in the future with the HSNs provided by SILSO. Based on the available daily measurements of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 Astrid M. Veronig , Shantanu Jain , Tatiana Podladchikova , Werner Poetzi , Frederic Clette

Human living environment is influenced by intense solar activity. The solar activity exhibits periodicity and regularity. Although many deep-learning models are currently used for solar cycle prediction, most of them are based on a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-04 Cui Zhao , Kun Liu , Shangbin Yang , Jinchao Xia , Jingxia Chen , Jie Ren , Shiyuan Liu , Fangyuan He

The length of the solar activity cycle fluctuates considerably. The temporal evolution of the corresponding cycle phase, that is, the deviation of the epochs of activity minima or maxima from strict periodicity, provides relevant…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-15 E. Weisshaar , R. H. Cameron , M. Schüssler

In this work we predict the maximum amplitude, its time of occurrence, and the total length of Solar Cycle 24 by linear regression to the curvature (second derivative) at the preceding minimum of a smoothed version of the sunspots time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 L. C. Uzal , R. D. Piacentini , P. F. Verdes

Reliable prediction of the solar cycle is a formidable challenge, yet it is increasingly vital in our technology-dependent society as solar activity drives space weather. Various methods, including precursors, nonlinear curve fitting and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-20 Bidya Binay Karak

The short-term periodicities of the daily sunspot area fluctuations from August 1923 to October 1933 are discussed. For these data the correlative analysis indicates negative correlation for the periodicity of about 155 days, but the power…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-17 Ryszarda Getko

Sizes of the sunspots vary in a wide range during the progression of a solar cycle. Long-term variation study of different sunspot sizes are key to better understand the underlying process of sunspot formation and their connection to the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-26 Sudip Mandal , Dipankar Banerjee

The paper shows the recurrence and cross recurrence plots of three time series, concerning data of the solar activity. The data are the sunspot number and the values of solar radio flux at 10.7 cm and of solar total irradiance, which are…

Popular Physics · Physics 2008-04-14 Amelia Sparavigna

We study the sunspot activity in relation to spotless days (SLDs) during the descending phase of solar cycle $11$--$24$ to predict the amplitude of sunspot cycle $25$. For this purpose, in addition to SLD, we also use the geomagnetic…