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This note studies the behavior of an index I_t which is assumed to be a tradable security, to satisfy the BSM model dI_t/I_t = \mu dt + \sigma dW_t, and to be efficient in the following sense: we do not expect a prespecified trading…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-13 Vladimir Vovk

We demonstrate that future market correlation structure can be predicted with high out-of-sample accuracy using a multiplex network approach that combines information from social media and financial data. Market structure is measured by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-04 Thársis T. P. Souza , Tomaso Aste

We analyse the temporal changes in the cross correlations of returns on the New York Stock Exchange. We show that lead-lag relationships between daily returns of stocks vanished in less than twenty years. We have found that even for high…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-01-11 Bence Toth , Janos Kertesz

The money market and the capital market of the Indian financial markets have a symbiotic relationship in the development of the Indian economy. The nature and the characteristics of the markets differ to a large extent as the money market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-21 Bilal Hungund , Shilpa Rastogi

The high-frequency cross-correlation existing between pairs of stocks traded in a financial market are investigated in a set of 100 stocks traded in US equity markets. A hierarchical organization of the investigated stocks is obtained by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Giovanni Bonanno , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Numerous centrality measures have been proposed to evaluate the importance of nodes in networks, yet comparative analyses of these measures remain limited. Based on 80 real-world networks, we conducted an empirical analysis of 16…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-08-14 Yilin Bi , Xinshan Jiao , Tao Zhou

Efficient Market Hypothesis is the popular theory about stock prediction. With its failure much research has been carried in the area of prediction of stocks. This project is about taking non quantifiable data such as financial news…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-07-08 Joshi Kalyani , Prof. H. N. Bharathi , Prof. Rao Jyothi

Financial empirical correlation matrices of all the companies which both, the Deutsche Aktienindex (DAX) and the Dow Jones comprised during the time period 1990-1999 are studied using a time window of a limited, either 30 or 60, number of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 S. Drozdz , F. Gruemmer , F. Ruf , J. Speth

The cross-correlations between price fluctuations of 201 frequently traded stocks in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India are analyzed in this paper. We use daily closing prices for the period 1996-2006, which coincides with the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-11 Sitabhra Sinha , Raj Kumar Pan

Index funds are substantially preferred by investors nowadays, and market sensitivities are instrumental in managing index funds. An index fund is a mutual fund aiming to track the returns of a predefined market index (e.g., the S&P 500). A…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-20 Yoonsik Hong , Yanghoon Kim , Jeonghun Kim , Yongmin Choi

This paper introduces a new framework to quantify distance between finite sets with uncertainty present, where probability distributions determine the locations of individual elements. Combining this with a Bayesian change point detection…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-28 Nick James , Max Menzies

Given the importance of urban sustainability and resilience to the future of our planet, there is a need to better understand the interconnectedness between the social, economic, environmental, and governance outcomes that underline these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-15 Anand Sahasranaman , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

In this study, we establish a network structure of the Korean stock market, one of the emerging markets, with its minimum spanning tree through the correlation matrix. Base on this analysis, it is found that the Korean stock market doesn't…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Woo-Sung Jung , Seungbyung Chae , Jae-Suk Yang , Hie-Tae Moon

We examine the dynamics of informational efficiency in a market with asymmetrically informed, boundedly rational traders who adaptively learn optimal strategies using simple multiarmed bandit (MAB) algorithms. The strategies available to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-11 Aleksei Pastushkov

Financial markets have been extensively studied as highly complex evolving systems. In this paper, we quantify financial price fluctuations through a coupled dynamical system composed of phase oscillators. We find a Financial Coherence and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-10 Shangmei Zhao , Qiuchao Xie , Qing Lu , Xin Jiang , Wei Chen

This letter uses the Block Maxima Extreme Value approach to quantify catastrophic risk in international equity markets. Risk measures are generated from a set threshold of the distribution of returns that avoids the pitfall of using…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 john cotter

This paper, for the first time, focuses on the sector-wise analysis of a stock market through multifractal analysis. We have considered Bombay Stock Exchange, India, and identified two time scales, short ($<200$ days) and long time-scale…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-19 Suchetana Sadhukhan , Poulomi Sadhukhan

We investigate the emergence of a structure in the correlation matrix of assets' returns as the time-horizon over which returns are computed increases from the minutes to the daily scale. We analyze data from different stock markets (New…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-12-08 Christian Borghesi , Matteo Marsili , Salvatore Miccichè

Markets efficiency implies that the stock returns are intrinsically unpredictable, a property that makes markets comparable to random number generators. We present a novel methodology to investigate ultra-high frequency financial data and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-24 Silvia Onofri , Andrey Shternshis , Stefano Marmi

Portfolio optimization is a task that investors use to determine the best allocations for their investments, and fund managers implement computational models to help guide their decisions. While one of the most common portfolio optimization…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-23 Kapil Panda
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