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Several objects in the Extremes literature are special instances of max-stable random sup-measures. This perspective opens connections to the theory of random sets and the theory of risk measures and makes it possible to extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Ilya Molchanov , Kirstin Strokorb

In the study of heavy tail data, several models have been introduced. If the interest is in the tail of the distribution, block maxima or excess over thresholds are the typical approaches, wasting relevant information in the bulk of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

Series representations consisting of spherical harmonics are obtained for characteristic exponents and probability density functions of multivariate stable distributions under various conditions. A esult potentially applicable in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Zhiyi Chi

Operator regular variation reveals general power-law distribution tail decay phenomena using operator scaling, that includes multivariate regular variation with scalar scaling as a special case. In this paper, we show that a multivariate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Haijun Li

The tail correlation function (TCF) is one of the most popular bivariate extremal dependence measures that has entered the literature under various names. We study to what extent the TCF can distinguish between different classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-20 Kirstin Strokorb , Felix Ballani , Martin Schlather

In previous work Majda and McLaughlin computed explicit expressions for the $2N$th moments of a passive scalar advected by a linear shear flow in the form of an integral over ${\bf R}^N$. In this paper we first compute the asymptotics of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Bronski , R. M. McLaughlin

A statistical algorithm for estimating the characteristic parameter $\alpha$ of the stable law is presented and the estimate of its quadratic deviation is obtained in the paper. This algorithm is applied in the description of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-03 Olga Yanushkevichiene , Viacheslav Saenko

In this paper we consider a variety of procedures for numerical statistical inference in the family of univariate and multivariate stable distributions. In connection with univariate distributions (i) we provide approximations by finite…

Computation · Statistics 2012-09-04 Efthymios G. Tsionas

The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions received much interest for modelling impulsive phenomena occur in engineering, economics, insurance, and physics. The lack of non-analytical form for probability density function is considered as…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Mahdi Teimouri

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

Stable distribution is one of the attractive models that well describes fat-tail behaviors and scaling phenomena in various scientific fields. The approach based upon the method of moments yields a simple procedure for estimating stable law…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

We develop the first exact and computationally tractable method for simulating from tempered stable distributions in the infinite variation case, which corresponds to $\alpha\in[1,2)$. A small simulation study shows that the approach works…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Michael Grabchak

We introduce a new class of heavy-tailed distributions for which any weighted average of independent and identically distributed random variables is larger than one such random variable in (usual) stochastic order. We show that many…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Yuyu Chen , Seva Shneer

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

We introduce a general class of continuous univariate distributions with positive support obtained by transforming the class of two-piece distributions. We show that this class of distributions is very flexible, easy to implement, and…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-06 Francisco J. Rubio , Yili Hong

Strong anomalous diffusion is {often} characterized by a piecewise-linear spectrum of the moments of displacement. The spectrum is characterized by slopes $\xi$ and $\zeta$ for small and large moments, respectively, and by the critical…

Statistical description of stochastic dynamics in highly unstable potentials is strongly affected by properties of divergent trajectories, that quickly leave meta-stable regions of the potential landscape and never return. Using ideas from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-22 Artem Ryabov , Viktor Holubec , Ekaterina Berestneva

The distribution of the first positive position reached by a random walker starting from the origin is fundamental for understanding the statistics of extremes and records in one-dimensional random walks. We present a comprehensive study of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-03 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck