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Random forests are ensemble methods which grow trees as base learners and combine their predictions by averaging. Random forests are known for their good practical performance, particularly in high dimensional set-tings. On the theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-18 Erwan Scornet

The probability that two randomly selected phylogenetic trees of the same size are isomorphic is found to be asymptotic to a decreasing exponential modulated by a polynomial factor. The number of symmetrical nodes in a random phylogenetic…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-07 Miklos Bona , Philippe Flajolet

We analyze the trade-off between model complexity and accuracy for random forests by breaking the trees up into individual classification rules and selecting a subset of them. We show experimentally that already a few rules are sufficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Michael Rapp , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Johannes Fürnkranz

Tree shape statistics provide valuable quantitative insights into evolutionary mechanisms underpinning phylogenetic trees, a commonly used graph representation of evolution systems ranging from viruses to species. By developing limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Kwok Pui Choi , Gursharn Kaur , Taoyang Wu

We show that an algorithmic construction of sequences of recursive trees leads to a direct proof of the convergence of random recursive trees in an associated Doob-Martin compactification; it also gives a representation of the limit in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Rudolf Grübel , Igor Michailow

The problem of estimating the probability of a random process reaching a certain level is well known. In this article, two-sided estimates are established for the probability that a regenerative process reaches a high level. Two auxiliary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Kateryna Akbash , Ivan Matsak , Oleg Zakusylo

We consider a new approach in the definition of two-dimensional heavy-tailed distributions. Namely, we introduce the classes of two-dimensional long-tailed, of twodimensional dominatedly varying and of two-dimensional consistently varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We study a random tree, which was introduced by Ajazi et al. as part of a model of a neuronal network. Realising a scaling relation for the law of the tree, we can use elementary techniques to derive asymptotic results on the geometry as…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Lukas Schoug

The sudden arrest of motion due to confinement is commonly observed via the clogging transition in the flow of particles through a constriction. We present results of a simple experiment to elucidate a similar transition in the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-04-07 Emily A. Hobbs , Alexander Christensen , Brian C. Utter

For a uniform random labelled tree, we find the limiting distribution of tree parameters which are stable (in some sense) with respect to local perturbations of the tree structure. The proof is based on the martingale central limit theorem…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Mikhail Isaev , Angus Southwell , Maksim Zhukovskii

We consider the task of learning Ising models when the signs of different random variables are flipped independently with possibly unequal, unknown probabilities. In this paper, we focus on the problem of robust estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Ashish Katiyar , Vatsal Shah , Constantine Caramanis

This paper deals with the construction of a correlation decay tree (hypertree) for interacting systems modeled using graphs (hypergraphs) that can be used to compute the marginal probability of any vertex of interest. Local message passing…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Chandra Nair , Prasad Tetali

An elliptic random matrix $X$ is a square matrix whose $(i,j)$-entry $X_{ij}$ is independent of the rest of the entries except possibly $X_{ji}$. Elliptic random matrices generalize Wigner matrices and non-Hermitian random matrices with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-03 Andrew Campbell , Sean O'Rourke

The wrapped normal distribution arises when a the density of a one-dimensional normal distribution is wrapped around the circle infinitely many times. At first look, evaluation of its probability density function appears tedious as an…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-01 Gerhard Kurz , Igor Gilitschenski , Uwe D. Hanebeck

In this paper we study the tightness of solutions for a family of recursion equations. These equations arise naturally in the study of random walks on tree-like structures. Examples include the maximal displacement of a branching random…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-23 Maury Bramson , Ofer Zeitouni

This paper deals with the size of the spanning tree of p randomly chosen nodes in a binary search tree. It is shown via generating functions methods, that for fixed p, the (normalized) spanning tree size converges in law to the Normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alois Panholzer , Helmut Prodinger

We study spanning trees on Sierpinski graphs (i.e., finite approximations to the Sierpinski gasket) that are chosen uniformly at random. We construct a joint probability space for uniform spanning trees on every finite Sierpinski graph and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-14 Masato Shinoda , Elmar Teufl , Stephan Wagner

We consider a recursively defined random set of points and its barycenter, where the random set is constructed by the following inductive rule: Given a realization of $n-1$ points, one of them is picked at random and serves as a source the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-09 Mathias Rafler

We consider a Yule process until the total population reaches size $n\gg 1$, and assume that neutral mutations occur with high probability $1-p$ (in the sense that each child is a new mutant with probability $1-p$, independently of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Erich Baur , Jean Bertoin

We prove that it is NP-hard to properly PAC learn decision trees with queries, resolving a longstanding open problem in learning theory (Bshouty 1993; Guijarro-Lavin-Raghavan 1999; Mehta-Raghavan 2002; Feldman 2016). While there has been a…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Caleb Koch , Carmen Strassle , Li-Yang Tan