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Motivated by applications in movement ecology, in this paper I propose a new class of integrated continuous-time hidden Markov models in which each observation depends on the underlying state of the process over the whole interval since the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-01 Paul G Blackwell

A regularized vector autoregressive hidden semi-Markov model is developed to analyze multivariate financial time series with switching data generating regimes. Furthermore, an augmented EM algorithm is proposed for parameter estimation by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-19 Zekun Xu , Ye Liu

Let $\mu$ = ($\mu$t)t$\in$R be any 1-parameter family of probability measures on R. Its quantile process (Gt)t$\in$R : ]0, 1[ $\rightarrow$ RR, given by Gt($\alpha$) = inf{x $\in$ R : $\mu$t(]--$\infty$, x]) > $\alpha$}, is not Markov in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-30 Charles Boubel , Nicolas Juillet

We introduce Markov substitute processes, a new model at the crossroad of statistics and formal grammars, and prove its main property : Markov substitute processes with a given support form an exponential family.

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-28 Olivier Catoni , Thomas Mainguy

We study growth lemmas and questions of regularity for generators of Markov processes. The generators are allowed to have an arbitrary order of differentiability less than 2. In general, this order is represented by a function and not by a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Moritz Kassmann , Ante Mimica

We introduce the notion of induced topological pressure for countable state Markov shifts with respect to a non-negative scaling function and an arbitrary subset of finite words. Firstly, the scaling function allows a direct access to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-01-28 Johannes Jaerisch , Marc Kesseböhmer , Sanaz Lamei

The aim of this note is to give a straightforward proof of a general version of the Ciesielski-Taylor identity for positive self-similar Markov processes of the spectrally negative type which umbrellas all previously known Ciesielski-Taylor…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-15 A. E. Kyprianou , P. Patie

T. Szarek [Stud. Math. 189 (2008), {\S} 4] have discussed the relationship between two important notions concerning Markov semigroups: the asymptotic strong Feller property and the e-property, asserting that the former property implies the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-23 Joanna Jaroszewska

Decomposable graphs are known for their tedious and complicated Markov update steps. Instead of modelling them directly, this work introduces a class of tree-dependent bipartite graphs that span the projective space of decomposable graphs.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Mohamad Elmasri

Transformer based models have shown remarkable capabilities in sequence learning across a wide range of tasks, often performing well on specific task by leveraging input-output examples. Despite their empirical success, a comprehensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Yifan Hao , Chenlu Ye , Chi Han , Tong Zhang

This paper treats functional marked point processes (FMPPs), which are defined as marked point processes where the marks are random elements in some (Polish) function space. Such marks may represent e.g. spatial paths or functions of time.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Ottmar Cronie , Mohammad Ghorbani , Jorge Mateu , Jun Yu

Given a data set of numerical values which are sampled from some unknown probability distribution, we will show how to check if the data set exhibits the Markov property and we will show how to use the Markov property to predict future…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-11 Robert A. Murphy

We use Markov categories to generalize the basic theory of Markov chains and hidden Markov models to an abstract setting. This comprises characterizations of hidden Markov models in terms of conditional independences and algorithms for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Tobias Fritz , Andreas Klingler , Drew McNeely , Areeb Shah-Mohammed , Yuwen Wang

The study presents a vector-valued extension of the classical Mercer theorem within the framework of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces defined over Kaplansky-Hilbert modules associated with the algebra of essentially bounded measurable…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-24 A. Arziev , K. Kudaybergenov. P. Orinbaev

In this lecture note, we discuss a fundamental concept, referred to as the {\it characteristic rank}, which suggests a general framework for characterizing the basic properties of various low-dimensional models used in signal processing.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Alexander Shapiro , Yao Xie , Rui Zhang

Feature attributions are post-training analysis methods that assess how various input features of a machine learning model contribute to an output prediction. Their interpretation is straightforward when features act independently, but it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Kurt Butler , Guanchao Feng , Petar Djuric

We study the size properties of a general model of fractal sets that are based on a tree-indexed family of random compacts and a tree-indexed Markov chain. These fractals may be regarded as a generalization of those resulting from the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-25 Arnaud Durand

Value decomposition has long been a fundamental technique in multi-agent dynamic programming and reinforcement learning (RL). Specifically, the value function of a global state $(s_1,s_2,\ldots,s_N)$ is often approximated as the sum of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Shuze Chen , Tianyi Peng

In this paper, we establish a version of the central limit theorem for Markov-Feller continuous time processes (with a Polish state space) that are exponentially ergodic in the bounded-Lipschitz distance and enjoy a continuous form of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We present a short introduction into the framework of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We illustrate the abstract mathematical setting with a series of examples related to dispersal of biological systems, cell cycle models, gene…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Ryszard Rudnicki , Marta Tyran-Kaminska