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In this work we consider the online control of a known linear dynamic system with adversarial disturbance and adversarial controller cost. The goal in online control is to minimize the regret, defined as the difference between cumulative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-15 Deepan Muthirayan , Jianjun Yuan , Pramod P. Khargonekar

Dynamic pricing of goods in a competitive environment to maximize revenue is a natural objective and has been a subject of research over the years. In this paper, we focus on a class of markets exhibiting the substitutes property with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-18 Paresh Nakhe

Reinforcement learning (RL) has shown promise for trading, yet most open-source backtesting environments assume negligible or fixed transaction costs, causing agents to learn trading behaviors that fail under realistic execution. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Lucas Riera Abbade , Anna Helena Reali Costa

An iterative learning based economic model predictive controller (ILEMPC) is proposed for repetitive tasks in this paper. Compared with existing works, the initial feasible trajectory of the proposed ILEMPC is not restricted to be…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Yushen Long , Lihua Xie , Shuai Liu

We propose a novel constrained reinforcement learning method for finding optimal policies in Markov Decision Processes while satisfying temporal logic constraints with a desired probability throughout the learning process. An…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Derya Aksaray , Yasin Yazicioglu , Ahmet Semi Asarkaya

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is central to data-driven decision-making, yet industrial applications often face a fundamental tension between limited randomized controlled trial (RCT) budgets and abundant but biased…

We consider a periodical equilibrium pricing problem for multiple firms over a planning horizon of T periods. At each period, firms set their selling prices and receive stochastic demand from consumers. Firms do not know their underlying…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Yongge Yang , Yu-Ching Lee , Po-An Chen

Stock markets exhibit regime-dependent behavior where prediction models optimized for stable conditions often fail during volatile periods. Existing approaches typically treat all market states uniformly or require manual regime labeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Mohammad Al Ridhawi , Mahtab Haj Ali , Hussein Al Osman

We address the problem of maximizing Gain from Trade (GFT) in repeated buyer-seller exchanges subject to global budget balance constraints. While this problem is well-understood in purely adversarial and stochastic settings, these…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Anna Lunghi , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi

We present a Temporal Rule-Anchored Chain-of-Evidence (TRACE) on knowledge graphs for interpretable stock movement prediction that unifies symbolic relational priors, dynamic graph exploration, and LLM-guided decision making in a single…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Qianggang Ding , Haochen Shi , Luis Castejón Lozano , Miguel Conner , Juan Abia , Luis Gallego-Ledesma , Joshua Fellowes , Gerard Conangla Planes , Adam Elwood , Bang Liu

We present a model predictive control (MPC) formulation to directly optimize economic criteria for linear constrained systems subject to disturbances and uncertain model parameters. The proposed formulation combines a certainty equivalent…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-11 Maximilian Degner , Raffaele Soloperto , Melanie N. Zeilinger , John Lygeros , Johannes Köhler

Considering that a trader or a trading algorithm interacting with markets during continuous auctions can be modeled by an iterating procedure adjusting the price at which he posts orders at a given rhythm, this paper proposes a procedure…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-12 Sophie Laruelle , Charles-Albert Lehalle , Gilles Pagès

When models are inaccurate, the performance of model-based control will degrade. For linear quadratic control, an event-triggered learning framework is proposed that automatically detects inaccurate models and triggers the learning of a new…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Henning Schlüter , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

We present a new algorithm based on posterior sampling for learning in constrained Markov decision processes (CMDP) in the infinite-horizon undiscounted setting. The algorithm achieves near-optimal regret bounds while being advantageous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Danil Provodin , Pratik Gajane , Mykola Pechenizkiy , Maurits Kaptein

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a powerful control technique that handles constraints, takes the system's dynamics into account, and optimizes for a given cost function. In practice, however, it often requires an expert to craft and tune…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Napat Karnchanachari , Miguel I. Valls , David Hoeller , Marco Hutter

We propose the use of Bayesian networks, which provide both a mean value and an uncertainty estimate as output, to enhance the safety of learned control policies under circumstances in which a test-time input differs significantly from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Keuntaek Lee , Kamil Saigol , Evangelos A. Theodorou

We present a numerically efficient approach for learning a risk-neutral measure for paths of simulated spot and option prices up to a finite horizon under convex transaction costs and convex trading constraints. This approach can then be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

Safe Reinforcement Learning (Safe RL) aims to train an RL agent to maximize its performance in real-world environments while adhering to safety constraints, as exceeding safety violation limits can result in severe consequences. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-07 Hanping Zhang , Yuhong Guo

Real-world reinforcement learning (RL) problems often demand that agents behave safely by obeying a set of designed constraints. We address the challenge of safe RL by coupling a safety guide based on model predictive control (MPC) with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Samuel Pfrommer , Tanmay Gautam , Alec Zhou , Somayeh Sojoudi

We study a speculative trading problem within the exploratory reinforcement learning (RL) framework of Wang et al. [2020]. The problem is formulated as a sequential optimal stopping problem over entry and exit times under general utility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Yun Zhao , Alex S. L. Tse , Harry Zheng
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