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We consider a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) where the integrated continuous-time Markov chain can be observed at discrete time points perturbed by a Brownian motion. The aim is to derive a filter for the underlying continuous-time Markov chain.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Igor Gilitschenski , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Gaining insights from realistic dynamical models of biochemical systems can be challenging given their large number of state variables. Model reduction techniques can mitigate this by decreasing complexity by mapping the model onto a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Alexander Leguizamon-Robayo , Antonio Jiménez-Pastor , Micro Tribastone , Max Tschaikowski , Andrea Vandin

The paper addresses the problem of distributed filtering with guaranteed convergence properties using minimum-energy filtering and $H_\infty$ filtering methodologies. A linear state space plant model is considered observed by a network of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-09-19 Mohammad Zamani , Valery Ugrinovskii

A prevalent problem in general state space models is the approximation of the smoothing distribution of a state conditional on the observations from the past, the present, and the future. The aim of this paper is to provide a rigorous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-30 Thi Ngoc Minh Nguyen , Sylvain Le Corff , Eric Moulines

We present a novel algorithm for reducing the state dimension, i.e. order, of linear parameter varying (LPV) discrete-time state-space (SS) models with affine dependence on the scheduling variable. The input-output behavior of the reduced…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-08-17 Mert Bastug , Mihaly Petreczky , Roland Toth , Rafael Wisniewski , John Leth , Denis Efimov

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skew-t distributed measurement noise are presented. The proposed algorithms improve upon our earlier proposed filter and smoother using the mean field…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piche , Fredrik Gustafsson

We introduce Variational State-Space Filters (VSSF), a new method for unsupervised learning, identification, and filtering of latent Markov state space models from raw pixels. We present a theoretically sound framework for latent state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Daniel Pfrommer , Nikolai Matni

The use of quantum stochastic models is widespread in dynamical reduction, simulation of open systems, feedback control and adaptive estimation. In many applications only part of the information contained in the filter's state is actually…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-01 Tommaso Grigoletto , Clément Pellegrini , Francesco Ticozzi

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

State-space models provide an important body of techniques for analyzing time-series, but their use requires estimating unobserved states. The optimal estimate of the state is its conditional expectation given the observation histories, and…

There are numerous contexts where one wishes to describe the state of a randomly evolving system. Effective solutions combine models that quantify the underlying uncertainty with available observational data to form scientifically…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-15 Wonjung Lee , Terry Lyons

The aim of this paper is to approximate a finite-state Markov process by another process with fewer states, called herein the approximating process. The approximation problem is formulated using two different methods. The first method,…

We study an approximation method for partially observed Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with continuous spaces. Belief MDP reduction, which has been the standard approach to study POMDPs requires rigorous approximation methods for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Ali Devran Kara , Erhan Bayraktar , Serdar Yuksel

In this note, we propose a method to under-approximate finite-time reachable sets and tubes for a class of continuous-time linear uncertain systems. The class under consideration is the linear time-varying (LTV) class with integrable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-12 Mohamed Serry

Particle smoothers are widely used algorithms allowing to approximate the smoothing distribution in hidden Markov models. Existing algorithms often suffer from slow computational time or degeneracy. We propose in this paper a way to improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-28 Cyrille Dubarry , Randal Douc

In this paper, we consider the learning of a Reduced-Order Linear Parameter-Varying Model (ROLPVM) of a nonlinear dynamical system based on data. This is achieved by a two-step procedure. In the first step, we learn a projection to a lower…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Patrick J. W. Koelewijn , Rajiv Sing , Peter Seiler , Roland Tóth

This paper presents a new iterative state estimation algorithm for advection dominated flows with non-Gaussian uncertainty description of $L^\infty$-type: uncertain initial condition and model error are assumed to be pointvise bounded in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Emanuele Ragnoli , Mykhaylo Zayats , Fearghal O'Donncha , Sergiy Zhuk

We analyse the performance of a recursive Monte Carlo method for the Bayesian estimation of the static parameters of a discrete--time state--space Markov model. The algorithm employs two layers of particle filters to approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-31 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

Estimating hidden states in dynamical systems, also known as optimal filtering, is a long-standing problem in various fields of science and engineering. In this paper, we introduce a general filtering framework, \textbf{LLM-Filter}, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Shiqi Liu , Wenhan Cao , Chang Liu , Zeyu He , Tianyi Zhang , Shengbo Eben Li

We consider the problem of high-dimensional filtering of state-space models (SSMs) at discrete times. This problem is particularly challenging as analytical solutions are typically not available and many numerical approximation methods can…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-13 Hamza Ruzayqat , Aimad Er-Raiy , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas