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Related papers: Exploring the limits of safety analysis in complex…

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Motivated by learning from experience and exploiting existing knowledge in civil nuclear operations, we have developed in-house generic PSA models for pressurized and boiling water reactors. The models are computationally light, handy,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-01 Ali Ayoub , Wolfgang Kröger , Didier Sornette

A key goal of the System-Theoretic Process Analysis (STPA) hazard analysis technique is the identification of loss scenarios - causal factors that could potentially lead to an accident. We propose an approach that aims to assist engineers…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Craig Innes , Andrew Ireland , Yuhui Lin , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

For large-scale power networks, the failure of particular transmission lines can offload power to other lines and cause self-protection trips to activate, instigating a cascade of line failures. In extreme cases, this can bring down the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-08 Charles Matthews , Bradly Stadie , Jonathan Weare , Mihai Anitescu , Christopher Demarco

From an operational and planning perspective, it is important to quantify the impact of increasing penetration of photovoltaics on the distribution system. Most existing impact assessment studies are scenario-based where derived results are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-30 Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Kumarsinh Jhala , Kexing Lai

The aim of this paper is to compare the probabilistic approach based on fault trees and event trees, to an approach called "semi-quantitative" as presented by the guide Omega 10 (INERIS, 2008), for the industrial risk management. A brief…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-21 Elsa Rosner , Florent Brissaud , Bruno Declerck , Yann Flauw , Valérie De Dianous

The declining synchronous inertia in power systems undergoing the energy transition increases the sensitivity of system frequency to generation and interconnector disturbances, making accurate frequency risk quantification increasingly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Sewedo Todowede

Most existing time-to-event methods focus on either single-event or competing-risks settings, leaving multi-event scenarios relatively underexplored. In many healthcare applications, for example, a patient may experience multiple clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Christian Marius Lillelund , Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Weijie Sun , Shi-ang Qi , Russell Greiner

Safety assurance is of paramount importance across various domains, including automotive, aerospace, and nuclear energy, where the reliability and acceptability of mission-critical systems are imperative. This assurance is effectively…

The transition to the smart grid introduces complexity to the design and operation of electric power systems. This complexity has the potential to result in safety-related losses that are caused, for example, by unforeseen interactions…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Paul Smith , Eva Piatkowska , Edmund Widl , Filip Pröstl Andrén , Thomas I. Strasser

This paper addresses how to improve the computational efficiency and estimation reliability in cascading outage analysis. We first formulate a cascading outage as a Markov chain with specific state space and transition probability by…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-03 Jinpeng Guo , Feng Liu , Jianhui Wang , Junhao Lin , Shengwei Mei

In this article, we address the problem of risk assessment of stealthy attacks on uncertain control systems. Considering data injection attacks that aim at maximizing impact while remaining undetected, we use the recently proposed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Sribalaji C. Anand , André M. H. Teixeira , Anders Ahlén

In recent times we hear increasingly often about cyber attacks on various commercial and strategic sites that manage to escape any defense. In this article, we model such attacks on networks via stochastic processes and predict the time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Jewgeni H. Dshalalow , Ryan T. White

Electricity networks are vulnerable to weather damage, with severe events often leading to faults and power outages. Timely forecasts of fault occurrences, ranging from nowcasts to several days ahead, can enhance preparedness, support…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Mateus Maia , Daniela Castro-Camilo , Jethro Browell

Security analysis is an essential activity in security engineering to identify potential system vulnerabilities and achieve security requirements in the early design phases. Due to the increasing complexity of modern systems, traditional…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Jinghua Yu , Stefan Wagner , Feng Luo

Modern power networks face increasing vulnerability to cascading failures due to high complexity and the growing penetration of intermittent resources, necessitating rigorous security assessment beyond the conventional $N-1$ criterion.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-10 Alexandre Gracia-Calvo , Francesca Rossi , Eduardo Iraola , Juan Carlos Olives-Camps , Eduardo Prieto-Araujo

This paper presents the results of a research study related to software system failures, with the goal of understanding how we might better evolve, maintain and support software systems in production. We have qualitatively analyzed thirty…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Jonathan Sillito , Esdras Kutomi

Neural networks are increasingly deployed in real-world safety-critical domains such as autonomous driving, aircraft collision avoidance, and malware detection. However, these networks have been shown to often mispredict on inputs with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Shiqi Wang , Kexin Pei , Justin Whitehouse , Junfeng Yang , Suman Jana

We address the problem of maintaining high voltage power transmission networks in security at all time, namely anticipating exceeding of thermal limit for eventual single line disconnection (whatever its cause may be) by running slow, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-04 Benjamin Donnot , Isabelle Guyon , Antoine Marot , Marc Schoenauer , Patrick Panciatici

The understanding of cascading failures in complex systems has been hindered by the lack of realistic large-scale modeling and analysis that can account for variable system conditions. Here, using the North American power grid, we identify,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-23 Yang Yang , Takashi Nishikawa , Adilson E. Motter

Electrical power systems are one of the most important infrastructures that support our society. However, their vulnerabilities have raised great concern recently due to several large-scale blackouts around the world. In this paper, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-14 Yingrui Zhang , Osman Yagan