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Many AI researchers argue that probability theory is only capable of dealing with uncertainty in situations where a full specification of a joint probability distribution is available, and conclude that it is not suitable for application in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Linda C. van der Gaag

Measures of uncertainty and divergence are introduced for interval-valued probability distributions and are shown to have desirable mathematical properties. A maximum uncertainty inference procedure for marginal interval distributions is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Michael Pittarelli

This paper investigates interval estimation for a measurand that is known to be positive. Both the Neyman and Bayesian procedures are considered and the difference between the two, not always perceived, is discussed in detail. A solution is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Giovanni Mana , CArlo Palmisano

We study the problem of mismatched binary hypothesis testing between i.i.d. distributions. We analyze the tradeoff between the pairwise error probability exponents when the actual distributions generating the observation are different from…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Parham Boroumand , Albert Guillén i Fàbregas

For analysis of a high-dimensional dataset, a common approach is to test a null hypothesis of statistical independence on all variable pairs using a non-parametric measure of dependence. However, because this approach attempts to identify…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Yakir A. Reshef , David N. Reshef , Pardis C. Sabeti , Michael M. Mitzenmacher

Multiple imputation (MI) has become one of the main procedures used to treat missing data, but the guidelines from the methodological literature are not easily transferred to multilevel research. For models including random slopes, proper…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-30 Simon Grund , Oliver Lüdtke , Alexander Robitzsch

This paper considers inference in a linear instrumental variable regression model with many potentially weak instruments, in the presence of heterogeneous treatment effects. I first show that existing test procedures, including those that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Luther Yap

The assessment of trust between users is essential for collaboration. General reputation and ID mechanisms may support users' trust assessment. However, these mechanisms lack sensitivity to pairwise interactions and specific experience such…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Claudia-Lavinia Ignat , Quang-Vinh Dang , Valerie Shalin

Sampling algorithms play a pivotal role in probabilistic AI. However, verifying if a sampler program indeed samples from the claimed distribution is a notoriously hard problem. Provably correct testers like Barbarik, Teq, Flash, CubeProbe…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Rishiraj Bhattacharyya , Sourav Chakraborty , Yash Pote , Uddalok Sarkar , Sayantan Sen

This paper shows that the problem of testing hypotheses in moment condition models without any assumptions about identification may be considered as a problem of testing with an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Isaiah Andrews , Anna Mikusheva

We study a large class of stochastic $p$-Laplace Allen-Cahn equations with singular potential. Under suitable assumptions on the (multiplicative-type) noise we first prove existence, uniqueness, and regularity of variational solutions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Federico Bertacco , Carlo Orrieri , Luca Scarpa

One of the major challenges for collective intelligence is inconsistency, which is unavoidable whenever subjective assessments are involved. Pairwise comparisons allow one to represent such subjective assessments and to process them by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-06 J. Fueloep , W. W. Koczkodaj , S. J. Szarek

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

In contrast to its common definition and calculation, interpretation of p-values diverges among statisticians. Since p-value is the basis of various methodologies, this divergence has led to a variety of test methodologies and evaluations…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-27 Tomokazu Konishi

In this paper, the problem of error control of stepwise multiple testing procedures is considered. For two-sided hypotheses, control of both type 1 and type 3 (or directional) errors is required, and thus mixed directional familywise error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-10 Wenge Guo , Joseph P. Romano

The simple pairwise comparison is a method to provide different criteria with weights. We show that the values of those weights (in particular the maximum) depend just on the number of criteria. Additionally, it is shown that the distance…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-03-25 Stefan Lörcks

We examine the location properties of a conditional selective confidence interval constructed via the polyhedral method. The interval is derived from the distribution of a test statistic conditional on the event of statistical significance.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Andreas Dzemski , Ryo Okui , Wenjie Wang

An $\epsilon$-test for any non-trivial property (one for which there are both satisfying inputs and inputs of large distance from the property) should use a number of queries that is at least inversely proportional in $\epsilon$. However,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Eldar Fischer

When interpreting A/B tests, we typically focus only on the statistically significant results and take them by face value. This practice, termed post-selection inference in the statistical literature, may negatively affect both point…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-01 Alex Deng , Yicheng Li , Jiannan Lu , Vivek Ramamurthy

A language L has a property tester if there exists a probabilistic algorithm that given an input x only asks a small number of bits of x and distinguishes the cases as to whether x is in L and x has large Hamming distance from all y in L.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 H. Buhrman , L. Fortnow , I. Newman , H. Roehrig
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