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Related papers: Generalized Interacting Urn Models

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We study the long-time asymptotics of a network of weakly reinforced P\'olya urns. In this system, which extends the WARM introduced by R. van der Hofstad et. al. (2016) to countable networks, the nodes fire at times given by a Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-28 Yannick Couzinié , Christian Hirsch

Generalized Friedman urn is one of the simplest and most useful models considered in probability theory. Since Athreya and Ney (1972) showed the almost sure convergence of urn proportions in a randomized urn model with irreducible…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Li-Xin Zhang

We study a general preferential attachment and Polya's urn model. At each step a new vertex is introduced, which can be connected to at most one existing vertex. If it is disconnected, it becomes a pioneer vertex. Given that it is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-18 Andrea Collevecchio , Codina Cotar , Marco LiCalzi

Given a finite connected graph G, place a bin at each vertex. Two bins are called a pair if they share an edge of G. At discrete times, a ball is added to each pair of bins. In a pair of bins, one of the bins gets the ball with probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Michel Benaim , Itai Benjamini , Jun Chen , Yuri Lima

The Friedman's urn model is a popular urn model which is widely used in many disciplines. In particular, it is extensively used in treatment allocation schemes in clinical trials. In this paper, we prove that both the urn composition…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-30 Li-Xin Zhang , Feifang Hu

Generalized Polya urn models can describe the dynamics of finite populations of interacting genotypes. Three basic questions these models can address are: Under what conditions does a population exhibit growth? On the event of growth, at…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michel Benaim , Sebastian J. Schreiber , Pierre Tarres

Urn models have been widely studied and applied in both scientific and social science disciplines. In clinical studies, the adoption of urn models in treatment allocation schemes has been proved to be beneficial to both researchers, by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Li-Xin Zhang , Feifang Hu , Siu Hung Cheung , Wei Sum Chan

We introduce a novel preferential attachment model using the draw variables of a modified P\'olya urn with an expanding number of colors, notably capable of modeling influential opinions (in terms of vertices of high degree) as the graph…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Somya Singh , Fady Alajaji , Bahman Gharesifard

In an empirical study of persuasion, researchers often use a binary instrument to encourage individuals to consume information and take some action. We show that, with a binary Imbens-Angrist instrumental variable model and the monotone…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-02 Zeyang Yu

We study a P\'olya-type urn model defined as follows. Start at time 0 with a single ball of some colour. Then, at each time n>0, choose a ball from the urn uniformly at random. With probability 1/2<p<1, return the ball to the urn along with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Erik Thörnblad

An urn contains black and red balls. Let $Z_n$ be the proportion of black balls at time $n$ and $0\leq L<U\leq 1$ random barriers. At each time $n$, a ball $b_n$ is drawn. If $b_n$ is black and $Z_{n-1}<U$, then $b_n$ is replaced together…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-27 Patrizia Berti , Irene Crimaldi , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

We study an urn process with two urns, initialized with a ball each. Balls are added sequentially, the urn being chosen independently with probability proportional to the $\alpha^{th}$ power $(\alpha >1)$ of the existing number of balls. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Svante Janson , Subhabrata Sen , Joel Spencer

Consider a number, finite or not, of urns each with fixed capacity $r$ and balls randomly distributed among them. An overflow is the number of balls that are assigned to urns that already contain $r$ balls. When $r=1$, using analytic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Raul Gouet , Paweł Hitczenko , Jacek Wesołowski

The random vector of frequencies in a generalized urn model is viewed as conditionally independent random variables, given their sum. Such a representation is exploited to derive Edgeworth expansions for a sum of functions of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Sh. M. Mirakhmedov , S. Rao Jammalamadaka , Ibrahim B. Mohamed

We propose a stochastic model of opinion exchange in networks. A finite set of agents is organized in a fixed network structure. There is a binary state of the world and each agent receives a private signal on the state. We model beliefs as…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Emilien Macault

We study the competing urn model in which $m$ balls are placed independently into $n$ urns according to (possibly distinct) ball distributions. Kahn and Neiman (2010) showed that, under identical ball distributions, the induced urn measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Swee Hong Chan

We consider P\'olya urns with infinitely many colours that are of a random walk type, in two related version. We show that the colour distribution a.s., after rescaling, converges to a normal distribution, assuming only second moments on…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Svante Janson

Generalized P\'olya urns with non-linear feedback are an established probabilistic model to describe the dynamics of growth processes with reinforcement, a generic example being competition of agents in evolving markets. It is well known…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Thomas Gottfried , Stefan Grosskinsky

A classical P\'olya urn scheme is a Markov process whose evolution is encoded by a replacement matrix $(R_{i,j})_{1\leq i,j\leq d}$. At every discrete time-step, we draw a ball uniformly at random, denote its colour $c$, and replace it in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Nabil Lasmar , Cécile Mailler , Olfa Selmi

Innovation is the driving force of human progress. Recent urn models reproduce well the dynamics through which the discovery of a novelty may trigger further ones, in an expanding space of opportunities, but neglect the effects of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-14 Iacopo Iacopini , Gabriele Di Bona , Enrico Ubaldi , Vittorio Loreto , Vito Latora