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Related papers: Inference of kinetic Ising model on sparse graphs

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Ising models originated in statistical physics and are widely used in modeling spatial data and computer vision problems. However, statistical inference of this model remains challenging due to intractable nature of the normalizing constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-06 Minwoo Kim , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

Understanding and quantifying the dynamics of disordered out-of-equilibrium models is an important problem in many branches of science. Using the dynamic cavity method on time trajectories, we construct a general procedure for deriving the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-22 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Mézard , Lenka Zdeborová

Inferring a binary connectivity graph from resting-state fMRI data for a single subject requires making several methodological choices and assumptions that can significantly affect the results. In this study, we investigate the robustness…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Alice Chevaux , Ali Fahkar , Kévin Polisano , Irène Gannaz , Sophie Achard

We consider the problem of solving TAP mean field equations by iteration for Ising model with coupling matrices that are drawn at random from general invariant ensembles. We develop an analysis of iterative algorithms using a dynamical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-04-06 Manfred Opper , Burak Çakmak , Ole Winther

Correlations between two variables of a high-dimensional system can be indicative of an underlying interaction, but can also result from indirect effects. Inverse Ising inference is a method to distinguish one from the other. Essentially,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-10 Benedikt Obermayer , Erel Levine

Using methods of statistical physics, we analyse the error of learning couplings in large Ising models from independent data (the inverse Ising problem). We concentrate on learning based on local cost functions, such as the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-08-02 Ludovica Bachschmid-Romano , Manfred Opper

Dynamic processes of interacting units on a network are out of equilibrium in general. In the case of a directed tree, the dynamic cavity method provides an efficient tool that characterises the dynamic trajectory of the process for the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-05-25 Giuseppe Torrisi , Reimer Kühn , Alessia Annibale

In an era of unprecedented deluge of (mostly unstructured) data, graphs are proving more and more useful, across the sciences, as a flexible abstraction to capture complex relationships between complex objects. One of the main challenges…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-10-17 Alaa Saade

We introduce a new variational approach to the stationary state of kinetic Ising-like models. The approach is based on the cluster expansion of the entropy term appearing in a functional which is minimized by the system history. We rederive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-26 Alessandro Pelizzola

We consider classical spin systems evolving in continuous time with interactions given by a locally tree-like graph. Several approximate analysis methods have earlier been reported based on the idea of Belief Propagation / cavity method. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-19 Erik Aurell , David Machado Perez , Roberto Mulet

In public opinion studies, the relationships between opinions on different topics are likely to shift based on the characteristics of the respondents. Thus, understanding the complexities of public opinion requires methods that can account…

The field of hypothesis generation promises to reduce costs in neuroscience by narrowing the range of interventional studies needed to study various phenomena. Existing machine learning methods can generate scientific hypotheses from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Zachary C. Brown , David Carlson

We consider ferromagnetic Ising models on graphs that converge locally to trees. Examples include random regular graphs with bounded degree and uniformly random graphs with bounded average degree. We prove that the "cavity" prediction for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-08 Amir Dembo , Andrea Montanari

We consider the problem of inferring a causality structure from multiple binary time series by using the Kinetic Ising Model in datasets where a fraction of observations is missing. We take our steps from a recent work on Mean Field methods…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-03 Carlo Campajola , Fabrizio Lillo , Daniele Tantari

Ising models are a simple generative approach to describing interacting binary variables. They have proven useful in a number of biological settings because they enable one to represent observed many-body correlations as the separable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Emma Slade , Sonya Kiselgof , Lena Granovsky , Jeremy L. England

Inference and learning of graphical models are both well-studied problems in statistics and machine learning that have found many applications in science and engineering. However, exact inference is intractable in general graphical models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-04 Jason K. Johnson , Diane Oyen , Michael Chertkov , Praneeth Netrapalli

We study the dynamics of macroscopic observables such as the magnetization and the energy per degree of freedom in Ising spin models on random graphs of finite connectivity, with random bonds and/or heterogeneous degree distributions. To do…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 J. P. L. Hatchett , I. Pérez Castillo , A. C. C. Coolen , N. S. Skantzos

This paper introduces sparse dynamic chain graph models for network inference in high dimensional non-Gaussian time series data. The proposed method parametrized by a precision matrix that encodes the intra time-slice conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-28 Pariya Behrouzi , Fentaw Abegaz , Ernst C. Wit

A common issue when analyzing real-world complex systems is that the interactions between the elements often change over time: this makes it difficult to find optimal models that describe this evolution and that can be estimated from data,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-04 Carlo Campajola , Domenico Di Gangi , Fabrizio Lillo , Daniele Tantari

The Ising model is important in statistical modeling and inference in many applications, however its normalizing constant, mean number of active vertices and mean spin interaction -- quantities needed in inference -- are computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Alejandro Murua-Sazo , Ranjan Maitra