English
Related papers

Related papers: Exactly Solvable Balanced Tenable Urns with Random…

200 papers

We introduce a simple model which shows non-trivial self organized critical properties. The model describes a system of interacting units, modelled by Polya urns, subject to perturbations and which occasionally break down. Three equivalent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Matteo Marsili , Angelo Valleriani

In [arXiv:1906.10951 (forthcoming on Advances in Applied Probability),arXiv:2011.05933 (published on PLOS ONE)] the authors introduce, study and apply a new variant of the Eggenberger-Polya urn, called the "Rescaled" Polya urn, which, for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi

Consider an urn containing balls labeled with integer values. Define a discrete-time random process by drawing two balls, one at a time and with replacement, and noting the labels. Add a new ball labeled with the sum of the two drawn…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Mackenzie Simper

A classical P\'olya urn scheme is a Markov process whose evolution is encoded by a replacement matrix $(R_{i,j})_{1\leq i,j\leq d}$. At every discrete time-step, we draw a ball uniformly at random, denote its colour $c$, and replace it in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Nabil Lasmar , Cécile Mailler , Olfa Selmi

Sanov's Theorem and the Conditional Limit Theorem (CoLT) are established for a multicolor Polya Eggenberger urn sampling scheme, giving the Polya divergence and the Polya extension to the Maximum Relative Entropy (MaxEnt) method. Polya…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marian Grendar , Robert K. Niven

This paper explores the distribution of indistinguishable balls into distinct urns with varying capacity constraints, a foundational issue in combinatorial mathematics with applications across various disciplines. We present a comprehensive…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Jingwei Li , Thomas G. Robertazzi

We give a central limit theorem, which has applications to Bayesian statistics and urn problems. The latter are investigated, by paying special attention to multicolor randomly reinforced generalized Polya urns.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-27 Patrizia Berti , Irene Crimaldi , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

The Generalized P\'{o}lya Urn (GPU) is a popular urn model which is widely used in many disciplines. In particular, it is extensively used in treatment allocation schemes in clinical trials. In this paper, we propose a sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Li-X. Zhang , Feifang Hu , Siu Hung Cheung

Given a finite connected graph $G$, place a bin at each vertex. Two bins are called a pair if they share an edge of $G$. At discrete times, a ball is added to each pair of bins. In a pair of bins, one of the bins gets the ball with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Yuri Lima

We introduce and discuss a special type of feedback interacting urn model with deterministic interaction. This is a generalisation of the very well known Eggenberger and Polya (1923) urn model. In our model, balls are added to a particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Krishanu Maulik , Manit Paul

We consider a system of urns of Polya-type, with balls of two colors; the reinforcement of each urn depends both on the content of the same urn and on the average content of all urns. We show that the urns synchronize almost surely, in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida G. Minelli

An urn containing specified numbers of balls of distinct ordered colors is considered. A multiple q-Polya urn model is introduced by assuming that the probability of q-drawing a ball of a specific color from the urn varies geometrically,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Charalambos A. Charalambides

Consider a generalized time-dependent P\'olya urn process defined as follows. Let $d\in \mathbb{N}$ be the number of urns/colors. At each time $n$, we distribute $\sigma_n$ balls randomly to the $d$ urns, proportionally to $f$, where $f$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Wioletta M. Ruszel , Debleena Thacker

Early investigation of P\'{o}lya urns considered drawing balls one at a time. In the last two decades, several authors considered multiple drawing in each step, but mostly for schemes on two colors. In this manuscript, we consider multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Joshua Sparks , Markus Kuba , Srinivasan Balaji , Hosam Mahmoud

We show that the supremum of the successive percentages of red balls in P\'olya's urn model is almost surely rational, give the set of values that are taken with positive probability and derive several exact distributional results for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-10 Ernst Schulte-Geers , Wolfgang Stadje

In this work we generalize Polya urn schemes with possibly infinitely many colors and extend the earlier models described in [4, 5, 7]. We provide a novel and unique approach of representing the observed sequence of colors in terms a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Debleena Thacker

We consider a special case of the generalized P\'{o}lya's urn model introduced by Benaim et al (2013). Given a finite connected graph $G$, place a bin at each vertex. Two bins are called a pair if they share an edge of $G$. At discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-06 Jun Chen , Cyrille Lucas

This paper deals with a new design methodology for stratified comparative experiments based on interacting reinforced urn systems. The key idea is to model the interaction between urns for borrowing information across strata and to use it…

In this work, recent results on the moments of balanced P\'olya urns are generalized to unbalanced urns, with the condition that the expected change in total activity at each step is constant. We also provide applications of our results to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Colin Desmarais

In this paper, we consider a multi-drawing urn model with random addition. At each discrete time step, we draw a sample of m balls. According to the composition of the drawn colors, we return the balls together with a random number of balls…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Rafik Aguech , Nabil Lasmar , Olfa Selmi