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We investigate the profitability and risk of energy storage arbitrage in electricity markets under price uncertainty, exploring both robust and chance-constrained optimization approaches. We analyze various uncertainty representations,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Yiqian Wu , Bolun Xu , James Anderson

Dealers make money by providing liquidity to clients but face flow uncertainty and thus price risk. They can efficiently skew their prices and wait for clients to mitigate risk (internalization), or trade with other dealers in the open…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-16 Alexander Barzykin , Philippe Bergault , Olivier Guéant

We propose a probabilistic framework for pricing derivatives, which acknowledges that information and beliefs are subjective. Market prices can be translated into implied probabilities. In particular, futures imply returns for these implied…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-12 Ulrich Kirchner

We develop two alternate approaches to arbitrage-free, market-complete, option pricing. The first approach requires no riskless asset. We develop the general framework for this approach and illustrate it with two specific examples. The…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-27 W. Brent Lindquist , Svetlozar T. Rachev

This paper investigates optimal portfolio strategies in a financial market where the drift of the stock returns is driven by an unobserved Gaussian mean reverting process. Information on this process is obtained from observing stock returns…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Abdelali Gabih , Hakam Kondakji , Jörn Sass , Ralf Wunderlich

The problem of robust utility maximization in an incomplete market with volatility uncertainty is considered, in the sense that the volatility of the market is only assumed to lie between two given bounds. The set of all possible models…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Anis Matoussi , Dylan Possamaï , Chao Zhou

This paper proposes two approaches that quantify the exact relationship among the viability, the absence of arbitrage, and/or the existence of the num\'eraire portfolio under minimal assumptions and for general continuous-time market…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-20 Tahir Choulli , Jun Deng , Junfeng Ma

We consider a general local-stochastic volatility model and an investor with exponential utility. For a European-style contingent claim, whose payoff may depend on either a traded or non-traded asset, we derive an explicit approximation for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-04 Matthew Lorig

I consider the problem of the optimal limit order price of a financial asset in the framework of the maximization of the utility function of the investor. The analytical solution of the problem gives insight on the origin of the recently…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Fabrizio Lillo

Econometrics is based on the nonempiric notion of utility. Prices, dynamics, and market equilibria are supposed to be derived from utility. Utility is usually treated by economists as a price potential, other times utility rates are treated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Joseph L. McCauley

We study the expected utility maximization problem of a large investor who is allowed to make transactions on tradable assets in an incomplete financial market with endogenous permanent market impacts. The asset prices are assumed to follow…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-23 Thai Nguyen , Mitja Stadje

An investor with constant relative risk aversion and an infinite planning horizon trades a risky and a safe asset with constant investment opportunities, in the presence of small transaction costs and a binding exogenous portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-09 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Ren Liu

We consider the problem of maximizing portfolio value when an agent has a subjective view on asset value which differs from the traded market price. The agent's trades will have a price impact which affect the price at which the asset is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-13 Ryan Donnelly , Matthew Lorig

This paper considers the optimal portfolio selection problem in a dynamic multi-period stochastic framework with regime switching. The risk preferences are of exponential (CARA) type with an absolute coefficient of risk aversion which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-02-25 Traian A Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

A range of empirical puzzles in finance has been explained as a consequence of traders being averse to ambiguity. Ambiguity averse traders can behave in financial portfolio problems in ways that cannot be rationalized as maximizing…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-24 Michael Greinecker , Christoph Kuzmics

This paper presents a stochastic model for discrete-time trading in financial markets where trading costs are given by convex cost functions and portfolios are constrained by convex sets. The model does not assume the existence of a cash…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-24 Teemu Pennanen

The price multiplier effect provides precious insight into the behavior of investors during episodes of speculative trading. It tells us that the higher the price of an asset is (within a set of similar assets) the more its price is likely…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Sergei Maslov , Bertrand M. Roehner

We are interested in the existence of equivalent martingale measures and the detection of arbitrage opportunities in markets where several multi-asset derivatives are traded simultaneously. More specifically, we consider a financial market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-23 Antonis Papapantoleon , Paulo Yanez Sarmiento

Contrary to the claims made by several authors, a financial market model in which the price of a risky security follows a reflected geometric Brownian motion is not arbitrage-free. In fact, such models violate even the weakest no-arbitrage…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-07 Dean Buckner , Kevin Dowd , Hardy Hulley

We study an optimization problem for a portfolio with a risk-free, a liquid, and an illiquid risky asset. The illiquid risky asset is sold in an exogenous random moment with a prescribed liquidation time distribution. The investor prefers a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-11 Ljudmila A. Bordag