Related papers: Predicting the time at which a L\'evy process atta…
Last passage times arise in a number of areas of applied probability, including risk theory and degradation models. Such times are obviously not stopping times since they depend on the whole path of the underlying process. We consider the…
Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$ drifting to infinity, (inspired on the early ideas of Shiryaev (2002)) we are interested in finding a stopping time that minimises the $L^p$ distance ($p>1$) with $g$, the last time $X$ is…
Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process, we predict, in a $L_1$ sense, the last passage time of the process below zero before an independent exponential time. This optimal prediction problem generalises Baurdoux and Pedraza (2020) where…
We consider the optimal prediction problem of stopping a spectrally negative L\'evy process as close as possible to a given distance $b \geq 0$ from its ultimate supremum, under a squared error penalty function. Under some mild conditions,…
Given a stable L\'{e}vy process $X=(X_t)_{0\le t\le T}$ of index $\alpha\in(1,2)$ with no negative jumps, and letting $S_t=\sup_{0\le s\le t}X_s$ denote its running supremum for $t\in [0,T]$, we consider the optimal prediction problem…
Infinite horizon optimal stopping problems for a L\'evy processes with a two-sided reward function are considered. A two-sided verification theorem is presented in terms of the overall supremum and the overall infimum of the process. A…
The optimal stopping problem for a Hunt processes on $\R$ is considered via the representation theory of excessive functions. In particular, we focus on infinite horizon (or perpetual) problems with one-sided structure, that is, there…
Let $M$ and $\tau$ be the supremum and its time of a L\'evy process $X$ on some finite time interval. It is shown that zooming in on $X$ at its supremum, that is, considering $((X_{\tau+t\varepsilon}-M)/a_\varepsilon)_{t\in\mathbb R}$ as…
Let X_t, 0<=t<=T be a one-dimensional stochastic process with independent and stationary increments. This paper considers the problem of stopping the process X_t "as close as possible" to its eventual supremum M_T:=sup{X_t: 0<=t<=T}, when…
Motivated by recent studies of record statistics in relation to strongly correlated time series, we consider explicitly the drawdown time of a Levy process, which is defined as the time since it last achieved its running maximum when…
Explicit solution of an infinite horizon optimal stopping problem for a Levy processes with a polynomial reward function is given, in terms of the overall supremum of the process, when the solution of the problem is one-sided. The results…
In this paper we derive a technique of obtaining limit theorems for suprema of L\'evy processes from their random walk counterparts. For each $a>0$, let $\{Y^{(a)}_n:n\ge 1\}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random…
We consider the passage time problem for L\'evy processes, emphasising heavy tailed cases. Results are obtained under quite mild assumptions, namely, drift to $-\infty$ a.s. of the process, possibly at a linear rate (the finite mean case),…
This paper studies an optimal stopping problem for L\'evy processes. We give a justification of the form of the Snell envelope using standard results of optimal stopping. We also justify the convexity of the value function, and without a…
For a L\'evy process $X$ on a finite time interval consider the probability that it exceeds some fixed threshold $x>0$ while staying below $x$ at the points of a regular grid. We establish exact asymptotic behavior of this probability as…
We consider the problem of absolute continuity for the one-dimensional SDE \[X_t=x+\int_0^ta(X_s) ds+Z_t,\] where $Z$ is a real L\'{e}vy process without Brownian part and $a$ a function of class $\mathcal{C}^1$ with bounded derivative.…
In this paper we present new theoretical results on optimal estimation of certain random quantities based on high frequency observations of a L\'evy process. More specifically, we investigate the asymptotic theory for the conditional mean…
We present a method to solve optimal stopping problems in infinite horizon for a L\'evy process when the reward function can be non-monotone. To solve the problem we introduce two new objects. Firstly, we define a random variable $\eta(x)$…
We derive a criterium for the almost sure finiteness of perpetual integrals of \LL processes for a class of real functions including all continuous functions and for general one-dimensional L\'evy processes that drifts to plus infinity.…
We consider a process $Z$ on the real line composed from a L\'evy process and its exponentially tilted version killed with arbitrary rates and give an expression for the joint law of $Z$ seen from its supremum, the supremum $\overline Z$…