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This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

This paper describes the conversion of a Hidden Markov Model into a finite state transducer that closely approximates the behavior of the stochastic model. In some cases the transducer is equivalent to the HMM. This conversion is especially…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Andre Kempe

Across most qubit platforms, the readout fidelities do not keep up with the gate fidelities, and new ways to increase the readout fidelities are searched for. For semiconductor spin qubits, a typical qubit-readout signal consists of a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-17 Maria Spethmann , Peter Stano , Daniel Loss

The well-established methodology for the estimation of hidden semi-Markov models (HSMMs) as hidden Markov models (HMMs) with extended state spaces is further developed to incorporate covariate influences across all aspects of the state…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Jan-Ole Koslik

This paper presents a new and flexible prognostics framework based on a higher order hidden semi-Markov model (HOHSMM) for systems or components with unobservable health states and complex transition dynamics. The HOHSMM extends the basic…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-14 Ying Liao , Yisha Xiang , Min Wang

The hidden Markov model (HMM) provides a powerful framework for inference in time-varying environments, where the underlying state evolves according to a Markov chain. To address the optimal filtering problem in general dynamic settings, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Dongyan Sui , Haotian Pu , Siyang Leng , Stefan Vlaski

Recent experimental tests of Bell inequalities confirm that entangled quantum systems cannot be described by local classical theories but still do not answer the question whether or not quantum systems could in principle be modelled by…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-07 Kawthar Al Rasbi , Lewis A. Clark , Almut Beige

Regime-switching models, in particular Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) where the switching is driven by an unobservable Markov chain, are widely-used in financial applications, due to their tractability and good econometric properties. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-18 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Elisabeth Leoff , Jörn Sass

This paper introduces a hidden quantum Markov models (HQMMs) framework to the Affleck-Kennedy-Lieb-Tasaki (AKLT) state-a cornerstone example of a symmetry-protected topological (SPT) phase. The model's observation system is the physical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-23 Abdessatar Souissi , Amenallah Andolsi

We develop a symmetry action framework for hidden quantum Markov models (HQMMs) tailored to one-dimensional quantum spin systems and symmetry-protected topological (SPT) phases. In our setting, a symmetry group $G$ acts projectively on the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-05-28 Abdessatar Souissi , Abdessatar Barhoumi

Working on the daily closing prices and logreturns, in this paper we deal with the use of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) to forecast the price of the EUR/USD Futures. The aim of our work is to understand how the HMMs describe different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-09 Sara Rebagliati , Emanuela Sasso , Samuele Soraggi

Factorial hidden Markov models (FHMMs) are powerful tools of modeling sequential data. Learning FHMMs yields a challenging simultaneous model selection issue, i.e., selecting the number of multiple Markov chains and the dimensionality of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-29 Shaohua Li , Ryohei Fujimaki , Chunyan Miao

The prevalence of hidden Markov models (HMMs) in various applications of statistical signal processing and communications is a testament to the power and flexibility of the model. In this paper, we link the identifiability problem with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-05-03 Paul Tune , Hung X. Nguyen , Matthew Roughan

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are popular models to identify a finite number of latent states from sequential data. However, fitting them to large data sets can be computationally demanding because most likelihood maximization techniques…

We propose DenseHMM - a modification of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) that allows to learn dense representations of both the hidden states and the observables. Compared to the standard HMM, transition probabilities are not atomic but composed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Joachim Sicking , Maximilian Pintz , Maram Akila , Tim Wirtz

Hidden Markov model (HMM) has been well studied and extensively used. In this paper, we present DPHMM ({Differentially Private Hidden Markov Model}), an HMM embedded with a private data release mechanism, in which the privacy of the data is…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-09-30 Yonghui Xiao , Yilin Shen , Jinfei Liu , Li Xiong , Hongxia Jin , Xiaofeng Xu

Suppose that we are given a time series where consecutive samples are believed to come from a probabilistic source, that the source changes from time to time and that the total number of sources is fixed. Our objective is to estimate the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Mark Kozdoba , Shie Mannor

Industrial processes generate a massive amount of monitoring data that can be exploited to uncover hidden time losses in the system. This can be used to enhance the accuracy of maintenance policies and increase the effectiveness of the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-27 Fernando Miguelez , Josu Doncel , Maria Dolores Ugarte

Price movements of stock market are not totally random. In fact, what drives the financial market and what pattern financial time series follows have long been the interest that attracts economists, mathematicians and most recently computer…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-20 G. Kavitha , A. Udhayakumar , D. Nagarajan

Pairwise Markov Models (PMMs) extend the wellknown Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). Being significantly more general, PMMs enable several types of processing, like Bayesian filtering or smoothing, similar to those used in HMMs. In this paper,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Marc Escudier , Ikram Abdelkefi , Clément Fernandes , Wojciech Pieczynski
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