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We seek to provide an interpretable framework for segmenting users in a population for personalized decision-making. We propose a general methodology, Market Segmentation Trees (MSTs), for learning market segmentations explicitly driven by…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-16 Ali Aouad , Adam N. Elmachtoub , Kris J. Ferreira , Ryan McNellis

The field of world modeling is fragmented, with researchers developing bespoke architectures that rarely build upon each other. We propose a framework that specifies the natural building blocks for structured world models based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Lancelot Da Costa , Sanjeev Namjoshi , Mohammed Abbas Ansari , Bernhard Schölkopf

Dynamic temporal graphs represent evolving relations between entities, e.g. interactions between social network users or infection spreading. We propose an extension of graph echo state networks for the efficient processing of dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Domenico Tortorella , Alessio Micheli

Generative models such as diffusion models, excel at capturing high-dimensional distributions with diverse input modalities, e.g. robot trajectories, but are less effective at multi-step constraint reasoning. Task and Motion Planning (TAMP)…

Learning dynamical systems from incomplete or noisy data is inherently ill-posed, as a single observation may correspond to multiple plausible futures. While physics-based ensemble forecasting relies on perturbing initial states to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Siddharth Rout , Eldad Haber , Stephane Gaudreault

We study systems of interacting reinforced stochastic processes, where agents' decisions evolve under reinforcement, network-mediated interactions, and environmental influences. In competitive environments with irreducible networks, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Michele Aleandri , Paolo Dai Pra , Ida Germana Minelli

Learning the continuous dynamics of a system from snapshots of its temporal marginals is a problem which appears throughout natural sciences and machine learning, including in quantum systems, single-cell biological data, and generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Kirill Neklyudov , Rob Brekelmans , Daniel Severo , Alireza Makhzani

Stochastic dynamic models have been extensively used for the description of processes with uncertainties arising in the operations research, behavioral sciences, and many other application areas. A large class of the problems from these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Thi Kim Thoa Thieu , Roderick Melnik

In this paper we develop a theory to describe innovation processes in a network of interacting units. We introduce a stochastic picture that allows for the clarification of the role of fluctuations for the survival of innovations in such a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ingrid Hartmann-Sonntag , Andrea Scharnhorst , Werner Ebeling

Simple nonlinear dynamical systems with multiple stable stationary states are often taken as models for switchlike biological systems. This paper considers the interaction of multiple such simple multistable systems when they are embedded…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2008-04-10 Dennis Cates Wylie

It is well established that gene expression can be modeled as a Markovian stochastic process and hence proper observables might be subjected to large fluctuations and rare events. Since dynamics is often more than statics, one can work with…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-09-11 Pegah Torkaman , Farhad H. Jafarpour

Repeated small dynamic networks are integral to studies in evolutionary game theory, where networked public goods games offer novel insights into human behaviors. Building on these findings, it is necessary to develop a statistical model…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-26 Hiroyasu Ando , Akihiro Nishi , Mark S. Handcock

Particle dynamics and multi-agent systems provide accurate dynamical models for studying and forecasting the behavior of complex interacting systems. They often take the form of a high-dimensional system of differential equations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Yuxuan Liu , Scott G. McCalla , Hayden Schaeffer

Spatially extended patterns and multistability of possible different states is common in many ecosystems, and their combination has an important impact on their dynamical behaviours. One potential combination involves tristability between a…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2023-03-29 Fahad Al Saadi , Pedro Parra-Rivas

The schema-guided paradigm overcomes scalability issues inherent in building task-oriented dialogue (TOD) agents with static ontologies. Instead of operating on dialogue context alone, agents have access to hierarchical schemas containing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-03-20 A. Coca , B. H. Tseng , W. Lin , B. Byrne

Evolutionary game theory is a framework to formalize the evolution of collectives ("populations") of competing agents that are playing a game and, after every round, update their strategies to maximize individual payoffs. There are two…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-01-05 Sergey Denisov , Olga Vershinina , Juzar Thingna , Peter Hänggi , Mikhail Ivanchenko

Dynamical processes can be transformed into graphs through a family of mappings called visibility algorithms, enabling the possibility of (i) making empirical data analysis and signal processing and (ii) characterising classes of dynamical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-18 Lucas Lacasa

We consider a dynamic social network model in which agents play repeated games in pairings determined by a stochastically evolving social network. Individual agents begin to interact at random, with the interactions modeled as games. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Brian Skyrms , Robin Pemantle

Tree-shaped graphical models are widely used for their tractability. However, they unfortunately lack expressive power as they require committing to a particular sparse dependency structure. We propose a novel class of generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Nikil Roashan Selvam , Honghua Zhang , Guy Van den Broeck

The Grey System Theory (GST) is a powerful mathematical framework employed for modeling systems with uncertain or incomplete information. This paper proposes an integration of the GST with time scales, a generalized approach that…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-17 Wanli Xie