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We introduce tree linear cascades, a class of linear structural equation models for which the error variables are uncorrelated but need not be Gaussian nor independent. We show that, in spite of this weak assumption, the tree structure of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Nicholas C. Landolfi , Sanjay Lall

The problem of learning forest-structured discrete graphical models from i.i.d. samples is considered. An algorithm based on pruning of the Chow-Liu tree through adaptive thresholding is proposed. It is shown that this algorithm is both…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-02-15 Vincent Y. F. Tan , Animashree Anandkumar , Alan S. Willsky

We consider the problem of learning underlying tree structure from noisy, mixed data obtained from a linear model. To achieve this, we use the expectation maximization algorithm combined with Chow-Liu minimum spanning tree algorithm. This…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-06 Navid Tafaghodi Khajavi

We consider the problem of learning a tree-structured Ising model from data, such that subsequent predictions computed using the model are accurate. Concretely, we aim to learn a model such that posteriors $P(X_i|X_S)$ for small sets of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-25 Enric Boix-Adsera , Guy Bresler , Frederic Koehler

In this paper we investigate the use of staged tree models for discrete longitudinal data. Staged trees are a type of probabilistic graphical model for finite sample space processes. They are a natural fit for longitudinal data because a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Jack Storror Carter , Manuele Leonelli , Eva Riccomagno , Alessandro Ugolini

This paper considers the problem of invoking auxiliary, unobservable variables to facilitate the structuring of causal tree models for a given set of continuous variables. Paralleling the treatment of bi-valued variables in [Pearl 1986], we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Lei Xu , Judea Pearl

We provide finite sample guarantees for the classical Chow-Liu algorithm (IEEE Trans.~Inform.~Theory, 1968) to learn a tree-structured graphical model of a distribution. For a distribution $P$ on $\Sigma^n$ and a tree $T$ on $n$ nodes, we…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Sutanu Gayen , Eric Price , N. V. Vinodchandran

Scalable probabilistic modeling and prediction in high dimensional multivariate time-series is a challenging problem, particularly for systems with hidden sources of dependence and/or homogeneity. Examples of such problems include dynamic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-07 Forough Arabshahi , Furong Huang , Animashree Anandkumar , Carter T. Butts , Sean M. Fitshugh

Consider the problem of learning undirected graphical models on trees from corrupted data. Recently Katiyar et al. showed that it is possible to recover trees from noisy binary data up to a small equivalence class of possible trees. Their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Marta Casanellas , Marina Garrote-López , Piotr Zwiernik

We consider learning the structures of Gaussian latent tree models with vector observations when a subset of them are arbitrarily corrupted. First, we present the sample complexities of Recursive Grouping (RG) and Chow-Liu Recursive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Fengzhuo Zhang , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We present a method for conditional time series forecasting based on an adaptation of the recent deep convolutional WaveNet architecture. The proposed network contains stacks of dilated convolutions that allow it to access a broad range of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-18 Anastasia Borovykh , Sander Bohte , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

In order to reach the supply/demand balance, electricity providers need to predict the demand and production of electricity at different time scales. This implies the need of modeling weather variables such as temperature, wind speed, solar…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-24 Augustin Touron

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are powerful tools for modeling sequential data, where the underlying states evolve in a stochastic manner and are only indirectly observable. Traditional HMM approaches are well-established for linear sequences,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Farzan Vafa , Sahand Hormoz

It is becoming increasingly important to explain complex, black-box machine learning models. Although there is an expanding literature on this topic, Shapley values stand out as a sound method to explain predictions from any type of machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-03 Annabelle Redelmeier , Martin Jullum , Kjersti Aas

This work considers the problem of learning the structure of multivariate linear tree models, which include a variety of directed tree graphical models with continuous, discrete, and mixed latent variables such as linear-Gaussian models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Animashree Anandkumar , Kamalika Chaudhuri , Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Le Song , Tong Zhang

Joint distributions over many variables are frequently modeled by decomposing them into products of simpler, lower-dimensional conditional distributions, such as in sparsely connected Bayesian networks. However, automatically learning such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Scott Davies , Andrew Moore

This paper considers structure learning from data with $n$ samples of $p$ variables, assuming that the structure is a forest, using the Chow-Liu algorithm. Specifically, for incomplete data, we construct two model selection algorithms that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-06 Joe Suzuki

In this paper, we present a density estimation framework based on tree tensor-network states. The proposed method consists of determining the tree topology with Chow-Liu algorithm, and obtaining a linear system of equations that defines the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-07 Xun Tang , Yoonhaeng Hur , Yuehaw Khoo , Lexing Ying

The efficiency of a query execution plan depends on the accuracy of the selectivity estimates given to the query optimiser by the cost model. The cost model makes simplifying assumptions in order to produce said estimates in a timely…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Max Halford , Philippe Saint-Pierre , Frank Morvan
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