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This paper develops a simple method to construct confidence bands, centered at a principal component analysis (PCA) based estimator, for the slope function in a functional linear regression model with a scalar response variable and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Masaaki Imaizumi , Kengo Kato

We propose a general framework for studying adaptive regret bounds in the online learning framework, including model selection bounds and data-dependent bounds. Given a data- or model-dependent bound we ask, "Does there exist some algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-14 Dylan J. Foster , Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

Deep learning models have significantly improved prediction accuracy in various fields, gaining recognition across numerous disciplines. Yet, an aspect of deep learning that remains insufficiently addressed is the assessment of prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-18 Asaf Ben Arie , Malka Gorfine

Contextual bandit algorithms are increasingly replacing non-adaptive A/B tests in e-commerce, healthcare, and policymaking because they can both improve outcomes for study participants and increase the chance of identifying good or even…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-02 Aurélien Bibaut , Antoine Chambaz , Maria Dimakopoulou , Nathan Kallus , Mark van der Laan

This article considers inference in linear instrumental variables models with many regressors, all of which could be endogenous. We propose the STIV estimator. Identification robust confidence sets are derived by solving linear programs. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-09 Eric Gautier , Christiern Rose

Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated prediction sets with precise coverage guarantees for any classification model. However, its reliance…

When data is collected in an adaptive manner, even simple methods like ordinary least squares can exhibit non-normal asymptotic behavior. As an undesirable consequence, hypothesis tests and confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Koulik Khamaru , Yash Deshpande , Tor Lattimore , Lester Mackey , Martin J. Wainwright

The paper deals with the nonparametric estimation problem at a given fixed point for an autoregressive model with unknown distributed noise. Kernel estimate modifications are proposed. Asymptotic minimax and efficiency properties for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Ouerdia Arkoun , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

The paper deals with asymptotic properties of the adaptive procedure proposed in the author paper (2007) for estimation of unknown nonparametric regression. We prove that this procedure is asymptotically efficient for a quadratic risk. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguey Pergamenshchikov

``Benign overfitting'', the ability of certain algorithms to interpolate noisy training data and yet perform well out-of-sample, has been a topic of considerable recent interest. We show, using a fixed design setup, that an important class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Daniel Beaglehole , Mikhail Belkin , Parthe Pandit

Regulatory guidance notes the need for caution in the interpretation of confidence intervals (CIs) constructed during and after an adaptive clinical trial. Conventional CIs of the treatment effects are prone to undercoverage (as well as…

Rejoinder of "Frequentist coverage of adaptive nonparametric Bayesian credible sets" by Szab\'o, van der Vaart and van Zanten [arXiv:1310.4489v5].

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-07 Botond Szabó , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

Functional Data Analysis represents a field of growing interest in statistics. Despite several studies have been proposed leading to fundamental results, the problem of obtaining valid and efficient prediction sets has not been thoroughly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

We study the problem of robust linear regression with response variable corruptions. We consider the oblivious adversary model, where the adversary corrupts a fraction of the responses in complete ignorance of the data. We provide a nearly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-21 Arun Sai Suggala , Kush Bhatia , Pradeep Ravikumar , Prateek Jain

In this paper we propose a new parameter estimator that ensures global exponential convergence of linear regression models requiring only the necessary assumption of identifiability of the regression equation,which we show is equivalent to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-20 Lei Wang , Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Jose Guadalupe Romero , Bowen Yi

Adaptive experiments are used extensively in online platforms, healthcare and biotechnology, and a variety of other settings. In many of these applications, the main goal is not to precisely estimate a treatment effect, but to demonstrate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Guido Imbens , Lorenzo Masoero , Alexander Rakhlin , Thomas S. Richardson , Suhas Vijaykumar

We investigate and extend the conformal prediction method due to Vovk,Gammerman and Shafer (2005) to construct nonparametric prediction regions. These regions have guaranteed distribution free, finite sample coverage, without any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-08 Jing Lei , James Robins , Larry Wasserman

We are interested in the rate of consistency of kernel density estimators with respect to the weighted sup-norm determined by some unbounded weight function. This problem has been considered by Gine, Koltchinskii and Zinn (2004) for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Julia Dony , Uwe Einmahl

Based on a progressively type-II censored sample from the exponential distribution with unknown location and scale parameter, confidence bands are proposed for the underlying distribution function by using confidence regions for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Stefan Bedbur , Fabian Mies

We study location-scale mixture priors for nonparametric statistical problems, including multivariate regression, density estimation and classification. We show that a rate-adaptive procedure can be obtained if the prior is properly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-12 R. de Jonge , J. H. van Zanten
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