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This paper describes an expectation propagation (EP) method for multi-class classification with Gaussian processes that scales well to very large datasets. In such a method the estimate of the log-marginal-likelihood involves a sum across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-23 Carlos Villacampa-Calvo , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

A method for large scale Gaussian process classification has been recently proposed based on expectation propagation (EP). Such a method allows Gaussian process classifiers to be trained on very large datasets that were out of the reach of…

Bayesian inference is a popular method to build learning algorithms but it is hampered by the fact that its key object, the posterior probability distribution, is often uncomputable. Expectation Propagation (EP) (Minka (2001)) is a popular…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-16 Guillaume P. Dehaene

This paper considers the robust and efficient implementation of Gaussian process regression with a Student-t observation model. The challenge with the Student-t model is the analytically intractable inference which is why several…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-28 Pasi Jylänki , Jarno Vanhatalo , Aki Vehtari

This paper presents a novel approach for approximate integration over the uncertainty of noise and signal variances in Gaussian process (GP) regression. Our efficient and straightforward approach can also be applied to integration over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-18 Ville Tolvanen , Pasi Jylänki , Aki Vehtari

Bayesian binary regression is a prosperous area of research due to the computational challenges encountered by currently available methods either for high-dimensional settings or large datasets, or both. In the present work, we focus on the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-06 Augusto Fasano , Niccolò Anceschi , Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

Gaussian process training decomposes into inference of the (approximate) posterior and learning of the hyperparameters. For non-Gaussian (non-conjugate) likelihoods, two common choices for approximate inference are Expectation Propagation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Rui Li , ST John , Arno Solin

Variational methods have been recently considered for scaling the training process of Gaussian process classifiers to large datasets. As an alternative, we describe here how to train these classifiers efficiently using expectation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-17 Daniel Hernández-Lobato , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer hierarchical generalisations of Gaussian processes (GPs) and are formally equivalent to neural networks with multiple, infinitely wide hidden layers. DGPs are probabilistic and non-parametric…

We propose a novel approach for nonlinear regression using a two-layer neural network (NN) model structure with sparsity-favoring hierarchical priors on the network weights. We present an expectation propagation (EP) approach for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-01-23 Pasi Jylänki , Aapo Nummenmaa , Aki Vehtari

I propose a novel approach for nonlinear Logistic regression using a two-layer neural network (NN) model structure with hierarchical priors on the network weights. I present a hybrid of expectation propagation called Variational Expectation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Kehinde Olobatuyi

Expectation Propagation (Minka, 2001) is a widely successful algorithm for variational inference. EP is an iterative algorithm used to approximate complicated distributions, typically to find a Gaussian approximation of posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-01 Guillaume Dehaene , Simon Barthelmé

Approximate inference in Gaussian process (GP) models with non-conjugate likelihoods gets entangled with the learning of the model hyperparameters. We improve hyperparameter learning in GP models and focus on the interplay between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Rui Li , ST John , Arno Solin

This paper proposes a new algorithm for Gaussian process classification based on posterior linearisation (PL). In PL, a Gaussian approximation to the posterior density is obtained iteratively using the best possible linearisation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

Approximate Bayesian inference methods provide a powerful suite of tools for finding approximations to intractable posterior distributions. However, machine learning applications typically involve selecting actions, which -- in a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-11 Michael J. Morais , Jonathan W. Pillow

We study asymptotic properties of expectation propagation (EP) -- a method for approximate inference originally developed in the field of machine learning. Applied to generalized linear models, EP iteratively computes a multivariate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-11 Burak Çakmak , Manfred Opper

Generalized linear models (GLMs) arguably represent the standard approach for statistical regression beyond the Gaussian likelihood scenario. When Bayesian formulations are employed, the general absence of a tractable posterior distribution…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-03 Niccolò Anceschi , Augusto Fasano , Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

Expectation Propagation (EP) provides a framework for approximate inference. When the model under consideration is over a latent Gaussian field, with the approximation being Gaussian, we show how these approximations can systematically be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-28 Manfred Opper , Ulrich Paquet , Ole Winther

The smoothing distribution of dynamic probit models with Gaussian state dynamics was recently proved to belong to the unified skew-normal family. Although this is computationally tractable in small-to-moderate settings, it may become…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-06 Niccolò Anceschi , Augusto Fasano , Giovanni Rebaudo

Expectation propagation (EP) is a family of algorithms for performing approximate inference in probabilistic models. The updates of EP involve the evaluation of moments -- expectations of certain functions -- which can be estimated from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jonathan So , Richard E. Turner
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