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For nearly any challenging scientific problem evaluation of the likelihood is problematic if not impossible. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) allows us to employ the whole Bayesian formalism to problems where we can use simulations…

Computation · Statistics 2011-07-04 Chris Barnes , Sarah Filippi , Michael P. H. Stumpf , Thomas Thorne

To identify the robust settings of the control factors, it is very important to understand how they interact with the noise factors. In this article, we propose space-filling designs for computer experiments that are more capable of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-26 V. Roshan Joseph , Li Gu , Shan Ba , William R. Myers

One of the major limitations for the employment of model-based planning and scheduling in practical applications is the need of costly re-planning when an incongruence between the observed reality and the formal model is encountered during…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Michael Cashmore , Alessandro Cimatti , Daniele Magazzeni , Andrea Micheli , Parisa Zehtabi

This article aims to introduce the paradigm of distributional robustness from the field of convex optimization to tackle optimal design problems under uncertainty. We consider realistic situations where the physical model, and thereby the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Charles Dapogny , Julien Prando , Boris Thibert

Over the recent years the importance of numerical experiments has gradually been more recognized. Nonetheless, sufficient documentation of how computational results have been obtained is often not available. Especially in the scientific…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Jörg Fehr , Jan Heiland , Christian Himpe , Jens Saak

Several philosophical issues in connection with computer simulations rely on the assumption that results of simulations are trustworthy. Examples of these include the debate on the experimental role of computer simulations \cite{Parker2009,…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Juan M. Durán , Nico Formanek

Identifying a reasonably small Hilbert space that completely describes an unknown quantum state is crucial for efficient quantum information processing. We introduce a general dimension-certification protocol for both discrete and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-08-07 Y. S. Teo , H. Jeong , N. Prasannan , B. Brecht , C. Silberhorn , M. Evans , D. Mogilevtsev , L. L. Sanchez-Soto

We initiate a formal study of reproducibility in optimization. We define a quantitative measure of reproducibility of optimization procedures in the face of noisy or error-prone operations such as inexact or stochastic gradient computations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-06 Kwangjun Ahn , Prateek Jain , Ziwei Ji , Satyen Kale , Praneeth Netrapalli , Gil I. Shamir

We study the design of computationally efficient algorithms with provable guarantees, that are robust to adversarial (test time) perturbations. While there has been an proliferation of recent work on this topic due to its connections to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Pranjal Awasthi , Abhratanu Dutta , Aravindan Vijayaraghavan

Our previous work on classifying complex ship images [1,2] has evolved into an effort to develop software tools for building and solving generic classification problems. Managing the uncertainty associated with feature data and other…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Lashon B. Booker , Naveen Hota , Gavin Hemphill

Reliable, risk-averse design of complex engineering systems with optimized performance requires dealing with uncertainties. A conventional approach is to add safety margins to a design that was obtained from deterministic optimization.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Anirban Chaudhuri , Boris Kramer , Matthew Norton , Johannes O. Royset , Karen Willcox

Almost every numerical task can be cast as extrapolation with respect to the fidelity or tolerance parameters of a consistent numerical method. This perspective enables probabilistic uncertainty quantification and optimal experimental…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Chris. J. Oates , Richard Howey , Toni Karvonen

We propose a computational framework to quantify (measure) and to optimize the reliability of complex systems. The approach uses a graph representation of the system that is subject to random failures of its components (nodes and edges).…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Joshua L. Pulsipher , Victor M. Zavala

Probabilistic graphical models have emerged as a powerful modeling tool for several real-world scenarios where one needs to reason under uncertainty. A graphical model's partition function is a central quantity of interest, and its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Durgesh Agrawal , Yash Pote , Kuldeep S Meel

In Bayesian statistics probability distributions express beliefs. However, for many problems the beliefs cannot be computed analytically and approximations of beliefs are needed. We seek a loss function that quantifies how "embarrassing" it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Reimar H. Leike , Torsten A. Enßlin

This manuscript studies a general approach to construct confidence sets for the solution of stochastic optimization, rendering empirical risk minimization as special cases. Statistical inference for stochastic optimization poses significant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Kenta Takatsu , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We present a novel approach for designing complex approximate arithmetic circuits that trade correctness for power consumption and play important role in many energy-aware applications. Our approach integrates in a unique way formal methods…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Milan Ceska , Jiri Matyas , Vojtech Mrazek , Lukas Sekanina , Zdenek Vasicek , Tomas Vojnar

This short paper describes a numerical method for optimising the conservative confidence bound on the reliability of a system based on tests of its individual components. This is an alternative to the algorithmic approaches identified in…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Peter Bishop , Andrey Povyakalo

Belief systems are often treated as globally consistent sets of propositions or as scalar-valued probability distributions. Such representations tend to obscure the internal structure of belief, conflate external credibility with internal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Saleh Nikooroo

We propose a robust optimization approach for constructing confidence bands for stochastic processes using a finite number of simulated sample paths. Our approach can be used to quantify uncertainty in realizations of stochastic processes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Timothy Chan , Jangwon Park , Vahid Sarhangian