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Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) are critical to precision medicine, optimizing long-term outcomes through personalized, real-time decision-making in evolving clinical contexts, but require careful supervision for unsafe treatment risks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Yishan Shen , Yuyang Ye , Hui Xiong , Yong Chen

Many problems within personalized medicine and digital health rely on the analysis of continuous-time functional biomarkers and other complex data structures emerging from high-resolution patient monitoring. In this context, this work…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-14 Marcos Matabuena

In this article, we propose novel structural nested models to estimate causal effects of continuous treatments based on mobile health data. To find the treatment regime that optimizes the expected short-term outcomes for patients, we define…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-24 Liangyu Zhu , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

Given a malfunctioning system, sequential diagnosis aims at identifying the root cause of the failure in terms of abnormally behaving system components. As initial system observations usually do not suffice to deterministically pin down…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Patrick Rodler , Wolfgang Schmid

To maximize clinical benefit, clinicians routinely tailor treatment to the individual characteristics of each patient, where individualized treatment rules are needed and are of significant research interest to statisticians. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Trinetri Ghosh , Yanyuan Ma , Rui Song , Pingshou Zhong

A key question in clinical practice is accurate prediction of patient prognosis. To this end, nowadays, physicians have at their disposal a variety of tests and biomarkers to aid them in optimizing medical care. These tests are often…

Decision-theoretic planning is a popular approach to sequential decision making problems, because it treats uncertainty in sensing and acting in a principled way. In single-agent frameworks like MDPs and POMDPs, planning can be carried out…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-11-02 Frans A. Oliehoek , Matthijs T. J. Spaan , Nikos Vlassis

We study the selection of covariate adjustment sets for estimating the value of point exposure dynamic policies, also known as dynamic treatment regimes, assuming a non-parametric causal graphical model with hidden variables, in which at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-27 Ezequiel Smucler , Facundo Sapienza , Andrea Rotnitzky

Estimating dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) from retrospective observational data is challenging as some degree of unmeasured confounding is often expected. In this work, we develop a framework of estimating properly defined "optimal" DTRs…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-19 Shuxiao Chen , Bo Zhang

A new meta-algorithm for estimating the conditional average treatment effects is proposed in the paper. The main idea underlying the algorithm is to consider a new dataset consisting of feature vectors produced by means of concatenation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-10 Lev V. Utkin , Mikhail V. Kots , Viacheslav S. Chukanov

Clinical decision support tools rooted in machine learning and optimization can provide significant value to healthcare providers, including through better management of intensive care units. In particular, it is important that the patient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Fernando Lejarza , Jacob Calvert , Misty M Attwood , Daniel Evans , Qingqing Mao

Optimal treatment regimes are personalized policies for making a treatment decision based on subject characteristics, with the policy chosen to maximize some value. It is common to aim to maximize the mean outcome in the population, via a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Liu Leqi , Edward H. Kennedy

We introduce a Reinforcement Learning Psychotherapy AI Companion that generates topic recommendations for therapists based on patient responses. The system uses Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) to generate multi-objective policies for four…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Baihan Lin , Guillermo Cecchi , Djallel Bouneffouf

Reinforcement learning (RL) has garnered increasing recognition for its potential to optimise dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) in personalised medicine, particularly for drug dosage prescriptions and medication recommendations. However, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Zhiyao Luo , Mingcheng Zhu , Fenglin Liu , Jiali Li , Yangchen Pan , Jiandong Zhou , Tingting Zhu

This paper aims at presenting a new application of information geometry to reinforcement learning focusing on dynamic treatment resumes. In a standard framework of reinforcement learning, a Q-function is defined as the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-17 Shinto Eguchi

A new probabilistic network construction system, DYNASTY, is proposed for diagnostic reasoning given variables whose probabilities change over time. Diagnostic reasoning is formulated as a sequential stochastic process, and is modeled using…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Gregory M. Provan

In clinical practice, there is significant interest in integrating novel biomarkers with existing clinical data to construct interpretable and robust decision rules. Motivated by the need to improve decision-making for early disease…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Albert Osom , Camden Lopez , Ashley Alexander , Suresh Chari , Ziding Feng , Ying-Qi Zhao

Unlike classical causal inference, which often has an average causal effect of a treatment within a population as a target, in settings such as personalized medicine, the goal is to map a given unit's characteristics to a treatment tailored…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-13 Ilya Shpitser , Sourjya Sarkar

New approaches to the theory of dynamic programming view dynamic programs as families of policy operators acting on partially ordered sets. In this paper, we extend these ideas by shifting from arbitrary partially ordered sets to ordered…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Nisha Peng , John Stachurski

Individualized treatment decisions can improve health outcomes, but using data to make these decisions in a reliable, precise, and generalizable way is challenging with a single dataset. Leveraging multiple randomized controlled trials…