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Related papers: Improved diffusion Monte Carlo

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Estimating failure probabilities of engineering systems is an important problem in many engineering fields. In this work we consider such problems where the failure probability is extremely small (e.g $\leq10^{-10}$). In this case, standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Xinjuan Chen , Jinglai Li

We propose a novel sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method for sampling from unnormalized target distributions based on a reverse denoising diffusion process. While recent diffusion-based samplers simulate the reverse diffusion using…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-06 Luhuan Wu , Yi Han , Christian A. Naesseth , John P. Cunningham

We present a Cross-Entropy based population Monte Carlo algorithm. This methods stands apart from previous work in that we are not optimizing a mixture distribution. Instead, we leverage deterministic mixture weights and optimize the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-09 Caleb Miller , Jem N. Corcoran , Michael D. Schneider

We present a new algorithm for radiative transfer-based on a statistical Monte Carlo approach-that does not suffer from teleportation effects, on the one hand, and yields smooth results, on the other hand. Implicit Monte Carlo (IMC)…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-12 Elad Steinberg , Shay I. Heizler

In this paper a method based on a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is proposed to compute the probability of a rare event. The conditional distribution of the underlying process given that the rare event occurs has the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-12 Thorbjörn Gudmundsson , Henrik Hult

We consider the problem of estimating rare event probabilities, focusing on systems whose evolution is governed by differential equations with uncertain input parameters. If the system dynamics is expensive to compute, standard sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros

A resampling scheme provides a way to switch low-weight particles for sequential Monte Carlo with higher-weight particles representing the objective distribution. The less the variance of the weight distribution is, the more concentrated…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-19 Xiongming Dai , Gerald Baumgartner

Bayesian inversions followed by estimations of rare event probabilities are often needed to analyse groundwater hazards. Instead of focusing on the posterior distribution of model parameters, the main interest lies then in the distribution…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-25 Lea Friedli , Niklas Linde

Sampling from complicated probability distributions is a hard computational problem arising in many fields, including statistical physics, optimization, and machine learning. Quantum computers have recently been used to sample from…

Due to its constrained support, the Dirichlet distribution is uniquely suited to many applications. The constraints that make it powerful, however, can also hinder practical implementations, particularly those utilizing Markov Chain Monte…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-02 M. J. Betancourt

One of the most significant drawbacks of the all-electron ab initio diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) is that its computational cost drastically increases with the atomic number ($Z$), which typically scales with $Z^{\sim 6}$. In this study, we…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-15 Kousuke Nakano , Ryo Maezono , Sandro Sorella

In the field of computational physics and material science, the efficient sampling of rare events occurring at atomic scale is crucial. It aids in understanding mechanisms behind a wide range of important phenomena, including protein…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Xinru Hua , Rasool Ahmad , Jose Blanchet , Wei Cai

Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

Diffusion processes with small noise conditioned to reach a target set are considered. The AMS algorithm is a Monte Carlo method that is used to sample such rare events by iteratively simulating clones of the process and selecting…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Frédéric Cérou , Sofiane Martel , Mathias Rousset

In Part I (arXiv:1911.00619) of this article, we proposed an importance sampling algorithm to compute rare-event probabilities in forward uncertainty quantification problems. The algorithm, which we termed the "Bayesian Inverse Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-06 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros

We develop diffusion-based samplers for target distributions known up to a normalising constant. To this end, we rely on the well-known diffusion path that smoothly interpolates between a simple base distribution and the target, popularised…

Importance sampling is a rare event simulation technique used in Monte Carlo simulations to bias the sampling distribution towards the rare event of interest. By assigning appropriate weights to sampled points, importance sampling allows…

We present a new efficient method for Monte Carlo simulations of diffusion-reaction processes. First introduced by us in [Phys. Rev. Lett., 97:230602, 2006], the new algorithm skips the traditional small diffusion hops and propagates the…

Materials Science · Physics 2013-05-29 T. Oppelstrup , V. V. Bulatov , A. Donev , M. H. Kalos , G. H. Gilmer , B. Sadigh

We describe a new approach to the rare-event Monte Carlo sampling problem. This technique utilizes a symmetrization strategy to create probability distributions that are more highly connected and thus more easily sampled than their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Nuria Plattner , J. D. Doll , Paul Dupuis , Hui Wang , Yufei Liu , J. E. Gubernatis

We provide a mathematical study of the modified Diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) algorithm introduced in the companion article \cite{DMC}. DMC is a simulation technique that uses branching particle systems to represent expectations associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-11 Martin Hairer , Jonathan Weare