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Temporal graphs are widespread in real-world applications such as social networks, as well as trade and transportation networks. Predicting dynamic links within these evolving graphs is a key problem. Many memory-based methods use temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Xiaohui Zhang , Yanbo Wang , Xiyuan Wang , Muhan Zhang

This paper considers the problem of knowledge-based model construction in the presence of uncertainty about the association of domain entities to random variables. Multi-entity Bayesian networks (MEBNs) are defined as a representation for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Kathryn Blackmond Laskey , Suzanne M. Mahoney , Ed Wright

This work develops the concept of temporal network epistemology model enabling the simulation of the learning process in dynamic networks. The results of the research, conducted on the temporal social network generated using the CogSNet…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Radosław Michalski , Damian Serwata , Mateusz Nurek , Boleslaw K. Szymanski , Przemysław Kazienko , Tao Jia

We describe systems using Kauffman and similar networks. They are directed funct ioning networks consisting of finite number of nodes with finite number of discr ete states evaluated in synchronous mode of discrete time. In this paper we…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Andrzej Gecow

Statistical node clustering in discrete time dynamic networks is an emerging field that raises many challenges. Here, we explore statistical properties and frequentist inference in a model that combines a stochastic block model (SBM) for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-23 Catherine Matias , Vincent Miele

Continuous-time Markov chains are used to model stochastic systems where transitions can occur at irregular times, e.g., birth-death processes, chemical reaction networks, population dynamics, and gene regulatory networks. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Majerle Reeves , Harish S. Bhat

Many empirical networks display an inherent tendency to cluster, i.e. to form circles of connected nodes. This feature is typically measured by the clustering coefficient (CC). The CC, originally introduced for binary, undirected graphs,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Giorgio Fagiolo

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have recently emerged as the dominant model in computer vision. If provided with enough training data, they predict almost any visual quantity. In a discrete setting, such as classification, CNNs are not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-11-25 Deepak Pathak , Philipp Krähenbühl , Stella X. Yu , Trevor Darrell

Theory of graphical models has matured over more than three decades to provide the backbone for several classes of models that are used in a myriad of applications such as genetic mapping of diseases, credit risk evaluation, reliability and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-13 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Timo Koski , Jukka Corander

Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial in many application domains such as retail, ecommerce, finance, or biology. With the increasing availability of large volumes of data, a number of neural architectures have been proposed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

Real-life statistical samples are often plagued by selection bias, which complicates drawing conclusions about the general population. When learning causal relationships between the variables is of interest, the sample may be assumed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-15 Angelos P. Armen , Robin J. Evans

The causal (belief) network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independencies in a joint probability distribution. The exact methods and the approximation methods, which perform probabilistic inference in causal networks,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

Many epidemic processes in networks spread by stochastic contacts among their connected vertices. There are two limiting cases widely analyzed in the physics literature, the so-called contact process (CP) where the contagion is expanded at…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-02-19 S. Gomez , A. Arenas , J. Borge-Holthoefer , S. Meloni , Y. Moreno

We perform theoretical and algorithmic studies for the problem of clustering and semi-supervised classification on graphs with both pairwise relational information and single-point feature information, upon a joint stochastic block model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-02 Pengfei Zhou , Tianyi Li , Pan Zhang

The natural habitat of most Bayesian methods is data represented by exchangeable sequences of observations, for which de Finetti's theorem provides the theoretical foundation. Dirichlet process clustering, Gaussian process regression, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-16 Peter Orbanz , Daniel M. Roy

We introduce the \emph{temporal graphlet kernel} for classifying dissemination processes in labeled temporal graphs. Such dissemination processes can be spreading (fake) news, infectious diseases, or computer viruses in dynamic networks.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Lutz Oettershagen , Nils M. Kriege , Claude Jordan , Petra Mutzel

Temporal Graph Neural Network (TGNN) has been receiving a lot of attention recently due to its capability in modeling time-evolving graph-related tasks. Similar to Graph Neural Networks, it is also non-trivial to interpret predictions made…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Minh N. Vu , My T. Thai

Monte Carlo (MC) simulations of transport in random porous networks indicate that for high variances of the log-normal permeability distribution, the transport of a passive tracer is non-Fickian. Here we model this non-Fickian dispersion in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-08-01 Amir H. Delgoshaie , Patrick Jenny , Hamdi A. Tchelepi

Classical distributed estimation scenarios typically assume timely and reliable exchanges of information over the sensor network. This paper, in contrast, considers single time-scale distributed estimation via a sensor network subject to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-08 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Usman A. Khan , Mohammad Pirani , Themistoklis Charalambous
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